CHA

2025-26 Season

LAMELO BALL

Charlotte Hornets | Guard | 6-7
LaMelo Ball
20.2PPG
4.8RPG
7.1APG
28.1MPG
+7.9 Impact

Ball produces at an elite rate for a 28-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+7.9
Scoring +17.9
Points Scored 20.2 PPG = +20.2
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -7.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +5.3
Creation +1.9
Assists & Self-Creation 7.1 AST/g + self-creation = +1.9
Turnovers -6.5
Turnovers 2.8/g (live + dead blend) = -6.5
Defense +0.8
Steals 1.2/g = +2.8
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.2
Hustle & Effort +3.3
Rebounds 4.8 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.4
Contested Shots 1.7/g = +0.3
Deflections 1.9/g = +1.2
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +17.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.5
Net Impact
+7.9
87th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 92th
20.2 PPG
Efficiency 49th
54.7% TS
Playmaking 96th
7.1 APG
Rebounding 86th
4.8 RPG
Defense 64th
+8.6/g
Hustle 80th
+12.7/g
Creation 90th
+4.86/g
Shot Making 96th
+10.98/g
TO Discipline 8th
0.10/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

LaMelo Ball’s first 25 games of the season were defined by a maddening tug-of-war between transcendent playmaking and catastrophic shot selection. When his jumper was falling, he looked utterly unstoppable. He erupted for 38 points, 13 rebounds, and 13 assists on 10/26 vs WAS, generating a monstrous +39.2 impact score through pure offensive dominance. Yet, his tendency to force heavily contested looks often sabotaged his team's momentum. Take the 10/28 vs MIA matchup, where he stuffed the box score with 20 points, eight boards, and nine assists, but still posted a -2.4 impact score because his miserable 6-for-18 shooting wasted critical possessions. Thankfully, he occasionally found ways to add value when his scoring touch vanished entirely. During the 01/03 vs MIL contest, Ball managed only 12 points, but earned a +4.5 impact score by digging in defensively and keeping the offense moving with seven assists. If he can curb his worst shot-chucking impulses, his ceiling remains limitless.

This midseason stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency, with LaMelo alternating between unstoppable offensive bursts and frustratingly hollow performances. When fully engaged, he looked like a superstar. He erupted for 37 points and 10 made threes on 02/22 vs WAS to post a staggering +38.2 impact score. Yet he also had nights where his scoring completely masked his actual detriment to the team. On 01/11 vs UTA, he dropped a seemingly efficient 17 points on just 12 shots, but a dismal -9.5 impact score revealed the hidden costs of his careless turnovers and lazy defensive rotations. Conversely, Ball occasionally found ways to salvage his nightly value when his shooting touch vanished. During the 01/08 vs TOR matchup, he needed a grueling 20 shots to scrape together 15 points. Regardless of the offensive bricks, he still generated a +11.4 impact score by crashing the glass for seven rebounds, distributing seven assists, and making crucial defensive hustle plays.

This late-season stretch was defined by a wild pendulum of scorching shot-making and downright erratic volume chucking. Look no further than the 03/06 vs MIA matchup. Despite scoring 21 points, he posted a damaging -0.2 Impact score because his brutal 7-for-22 shooting performance and stubborn shot selection actively bailed out the defense. When he dialed in his efficiency, however, he was absolutely lethal. During the 04/05 vs MIN contest, Ball erupted for 35 points on a crisp 13-of-22 from the floor, generating a massive +25.4 Impact score by simply taking what the coverage gave him. Sometimes his jumper abandoned him entirely, but he still found ways to impact winning. On 03/03 vs DAL, he scored just 15 points on 5-of-19 shooting, yet salvaged a +9.4 Impact score through relentless defensive effort and sharp playmaking that yielded nine assists. He remains a mesmerizing talent, but reining in those chaotic shooting nights is his next necessary step.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Ball posts positive impact in 76% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~7 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 35% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Ball locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: +5.9, second-half: +9.8. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Hot right now — 8 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 9 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 67 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Black 74.1 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 27.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 15
D. Mitchell 63.1 poss
FG% 58.3%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.38
PTS 24
I. Quickley 62.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 15
M. McBride 56.2 poss
FG% 36.8%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.32
PTS 18
D. Daniels 53.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 7
R. Rollins 51.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 10
B. Carrington 49.1 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 55.6%
PPP 0.47
PTS 23
B. Sheppard 48.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 14
V. Edgecombe 44.5 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.22
PTS 10
K. Dunn 43.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

K. Oubre Jr. 69.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 4
J. Hart 68.1 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.15
PTS 10
D. Mitchell 67.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.15
PTS 10
Z. Risacher 65.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 13
I. Quickley 63.7 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 16
B. Sheppard 53.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 6
T. da Silva 53.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.13
PTS 7
J. Wells 48.3 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.14
PTS 7
B. Carrington 48.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
K. Dunn 47.0 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

74
Games
20.2
PPG
4.8
RPG
7.1
APG
1.2
SPG
0.2
BPG
40.6
FG%
36.3
3P%
90.5
FT%
28.1
MPG

GAME LOG

74 games played