2025-26 Season
PAOLO BANCHERO
2025-26 Season
PAOLO BANCHERO
Banchero produces at an elite rate for a 35-minute workload.
Banchero produces at an elite rate for a 35-minute workload.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 16 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Paolo Banchero’s first 25 games were defined by a massive leap in his playmaking and rebounding, transforming him from a volume scorer into a true offensive hub. He finally learned how to tilt games even when his jumper abandoned him. Look at the 11/08 vs BOS matchup. Despite managing just 15 points on four made field goals, he still posted a +9.6 Impact by locking in defensively and fighting for nine crucial rebounds. Conversely, when he settled for bad looks, his value plummeted. During the 10/24 vs ATL game, he forced up 15 shots to score just 11 points, resulting in a brutal -12.7 Impact driven by poor shot selection and stalled offensive flow. When he actually balanced scoring with orchestration, he was an absolute nightmare for opposing defenses. In the 12/30 vs TOR matchup, his elite court vision and relentless effort on the glass yielded 23 points, 15 rebounds, and 10 assists, generating a massive +27.5 Impact score.
This mid-season stretch was defined by Paolo Banchero evolving from a pure volume scorer into a relentless, two-way battering ram. He reached a terrifying peak on 01/15 vs MEM, racking up 26 points and 13 rebounds to generate a staggering +37.6 Impact score. That massive figure wasn't just about his efficient 9-of-16 shooting; it was driven by suffocating defensive effort and constant hustle on the glass that completely disrupted the Grizzlies. Even when his shot abandoned him, Banchero found ways to control the game. During his 02/26 vs HOU outing, he managed only 19 points on a mediocre 6-of-16 from the floor, yet still posted a robust +16.1 Impact score. He salvaged his value in that matchup by acting as a brilliant offensive hub with 9 assists while competing hard on the defensive end to make up for the missed shots. Conversely, when he settled for contested jumpers without putting in the dirty work—as he did on 01/10 vs PHI—his inefficient 6-for-18 shooting dragged him down to a poor -3.7 Impact score. Banchero is learning that his true superstar value lies in physical dominance and playmaking, not just pure isolation scoring.
Banchero spent the final months of the season oscillating between unstoppable offensive juggernaut and erratic volume shooter. When his jumper fell, he was utterly terrifying, as seen on 03/08 vs MIL when he torched the defense for 33 points on blistering 12-of-16 shooting to earn a massive +25.8 Impact score. Yet even when his shot abandoned him, he frequently found ways to tilt the floor. During a rough 4-for-14 shooting night on 03/21 vs LAL, he still managed a +7.2 Impact score by leaning into his playmaking with six assists and grinding out defensive stops. The hustle couldn't save him on 03/29 vs TOR, however. Forcing bad looks and bricking all five of his three-point attempts, he scraped together just nine points, resulting in a brutal -13.9 Impact score as his inefficient chucking dragged the team down. He remains a brilliant focal point, but dialing back the forced shots on cold nights is his next necessary hurdle.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Very consistent. Banchero posts positive impact in 84% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~8 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 50% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive difference-maker. Banchero consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Hot right now — 8 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 9 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago
Based on 65 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
81 games played
