WAS

2025-26 Season

JAMIR WATKINS

Washington Wizards | Forward | 6-6
Jamir Watkins
7.4PPG
3.9RPG
1.3APG
20.6MPG
-2.2 Impact

Watkins produces at an below average rate for a 21-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.2
Scoring +6.2
Points Scored 7.4 PPG = +7.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.7
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.5
Creation +0.6
Assists & Self-Creation 1.3 AST/g + self-creation = +0.6
Turnovers -2.1
Turnovers 0.8/g (live + dead blend) = -2.1
Defense +0.7
Steals 1.1/g = +2.5
Blocks 0.5/g = +0.5
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.3
Hustle & Effort +3.4
Rebounds 3.9 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.9
Contested Shots 3.1/g = +0.6
Deflections 2.1/g = +1.4
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.2
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +8.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.0
Net Impact
-2.2
40th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 44th
8.2 PPG
Efficiency 76th
59.9% TS
Playmaking 44th
1.5 APG
Rebounding 53th
4.3 RPG
Defense 80th
+9.8/g
Hustle 24th
+8.9/g
Creation 31th
+1.86/g
Shot Making 44th
+5.36/g
TO Discipline 71th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jamir Watkins spent the first stretch of the 2025-26 season wandering through the wilderness of end-of-bench obscurity, struggling to translate sporadic minutes into meaningful production. His lone bright spot arrived on 12/13 vs CLE, where he exploded for 15 points and 8 rebounds on blistering 6-of-7 shooting. That sudden outburst earned him a +6.5 Impact score, driven entirely by hyper-efficient shot selection and aggressive work on the glass. However, that flash of competence was an anomaly in a sea of otherwise dreadful performances. When thrust into the starting lineup on 12/30 vs PHX, Watkins managed just 3 points on 1-of-4 shooting. He posted a brutal -11.6 Impact score in that contest because his offensive passivity and clunky shot creation actively stalled the unit. Even when he hit the boards hard, as he did while grabbing 7 rebounds on 01/19 vs LAC, his complete inability to score dragged down his overall value. His -7.4 Impact score in that matchup reveals the steep cost of playing a wing who cannot hit shots or space the floor.

Jamir Watkins spent this mid-season stretch riding a chaotic rollercoaster, oscillating wildly between erratic chucker and essential sparkplug. When given a spot start on 02/11 vs CLE, he poured in a stretch-high 16 points, but his dismal -4.1 Impact score revealed the hidden costs of his selfish offense. He needed a staggering 16 field goal attempts to get those points, dragging down the entire unit with forced, contested jumpers. Yet, when he reined in his worst impulses, he was wildly effective. During the 01/24 vs CHA matchup, Watkins posted a massive +14.5 Impact despite scoring a modest 11 points. That stellar rating stemmed directly from his relentless rebounding, smart ball movement, and suffocating perimeter effort rather than raw scoring volume. He capped off the stretch on 03/14 vs BOS with a highly efficient 15 points on 11 shots, generating a +11.2 Impact. If he can stop hijacking the offense and focus on gritty hustle, he might actually survive in this league.

Jamir Watkins spent the late winter oscillating wildly between invaluable rotational glue guy and outright offensive liability. He occasionally found ways to tilt games without filling the cup. Look directly at his performance on 03/19 vs DET. Despite scoring a modest 9 points, he generated a massive +11.5 Impact by crashing the glass for 6 rebounds and playing suffocating perimeter defense. However, erratic shot selection frequently dragged his overall value into the red. During the 04/07 vs CHI matchup, Watkins reached double figures with 13 points but still posted a frustrating -2.5 Impact. That negative score stemmed entirely from brutal 1-for-7 chucking from beyond the arc, wasting possessions that completely stalled the offense. He finally put the puzzle together as a starter on 04/12 vs CLE, dropping 24 points with a +11.5 Impact by simply taking better, in-rhythm shots.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. Watkins has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~6 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 39% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Watkins locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -5.2, second-half: +0.8. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 10 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 50 days ago

Based on 50 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

M. Porter Jr. 30.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
C. LeVert 27.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
L. James 27.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
J. Allen 27.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.19
PTS 5
D. Mitchell 26.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 3
D. DeRozan 23.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
K. Brown 19.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
J. Harden 17.8 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 4
S. Hauser 17.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 2
L. Dončić 17.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

M. Porter Jr. 44.5 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.31
PTS 14
D. Mitchell 39.0 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 16
L. James 38.8 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
C. LeVert 35.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
D. DeRozan 29.3 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 12
J. Allen 26.5 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 8
J. Harden 25.7 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.58
PTS 15
P. Watson 22.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
C. Cunningham 21.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 9
P. Pritchard 21.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

50
Games
7.4
PPG
3.9
RPG
1.3
APG
1.1
SPG
0.5
BPG
44.6
FG%
29.7
3P%
69.5
FT%
20.6
MPG

GAME LOG

50 games played