WAS

2025-26 Season

TRE JOHNSON

Washington Wizards | Guard | 6-5
Tre Johnson
12.2PPG
2.8RPG
2.0APG
24.1MPG
-3.5 Impact

Johnson produces at an below average rate for a 24-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-3.5
Scoring +10.7
Points Scored 12.2 PPG = +12.2
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -4.7
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.2
Creation +0.6
Assists & Self-Creation 2.0 AST/g + self-creation = +0.6
Turnovers -3.5
Turnovers 1.6/g (live + dead blend) = -3.5
Defense -0.7
Steals 0.6/g = +1.4
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.4
Hustle & Effort +1.8
Rebounds 2.8 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.3
Contested Shots 2.5/g = +0.5
Deflections 1.4/g = +0.9
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +8.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −12.4
Net Impact
-3.5
36th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 65th
12.2 PPG
Efficiency 45th
54.1% TS
Playmaking 35th
2.0 APG
Rebounding 50th
2.8 RPG
Defense 7th
+3.8/g
Hustle 68th
+10.5/g
Creation 36th
+2.33/g
Shot Making 54th
+6.91/g
TO Discipline 36th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Tre Johnson's first twenty games were defined by a jarring identity crisis, bouncing erratically between instant-offense sparkplug and defensive liability. When his perimeter shot abandoned him, his overall utility completely cratered. You can see this glaring flaw in the 11/06 vs BOS matchup, where a frigid 2-for-5 shooting night resulted in a disastrous -13.7 Impact due to a total lack of defensive resistance. Conversely, he actually offered more winning value on 12/19 vs SAS despite a modest eight-point outing, earning a +2.4 Impact because he crashed the glass for six rebounds and made timely hustle plays. Yet, even when he found his scoring rhythm, hidden costs often dragged him down. During the 12/21 vs MEM game, he managed 12 points but posted a brutal -9.9 Impact because his erratic shot selection from deep and constant defensive lapses gave those points right back. Relying on streaky scoring to mask fundamental flaws is a dangerous game for any young rotation player.

Tre Johnson’s second quarter of the season was defined by a permanent promotion to the starting lineup and the wild shooting variance that came with his expanded workload. When he found his rhythm, he was lethal. He caught absolute fire on 12/30 vs PHX, pouring in 24 points on a flawless 5-for-5 from beyond the arc to generate a massive +11.7 impact score. Yet, high point totals did not always translate to winning basketball. During the 01/24 vs CHA matchup, Johnson dropped a stretch-high 26 points, but his heavy volume and brutal inefficiency—needing 22 shots to get there—dragged his impact down to a mediocre +1.8. When his shot abandoned him completely, the results were disastrous. That glaring floor was exposed on 01/18 vs DEN, where a miserable 1-for-10 shooting night yielded a devastating -15.8 impact score because he offered virtually zero playmaking or rebounding to compensate.

Tre Johnson spent this twenty-game stretch trapped in a brutal offensive deep-freeze that routinely sabotaged his team on the floor. His shot selection was completely erratic. Look no further than the 03/12 vs ORL disaster. Johnson managed just 3 points on an abysmal 1/11 from the field, resulting in a catastrophic -24.3 Impact score because his forced, clanking jumpers constantly fueled Orlando's transition game. Even when his attempts actually fell, his hollow floor game dragged down his overall value. During the 03/10 vs MIA matchup, he scored a respectable 17 points on 7/12 shooting, yet still posted a -2.0 Impact due to empty-calorie isolation tendencies and a failure to facilitate for his teammates. He did find a fleeting rhythm on 03/08 vs NOP, stretching the defense with four made threes en route to 20 points and a +8.0 Impact. Unfortunately, that brief spark was quickly swallowed by a sea of inefficient chucking.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. Johnson has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~5 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 43% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Johnson doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -1.6, second-half: -5.4. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

In a rough stretch — 10 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 10 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 64 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Bane 68.2 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 4
D. Robinson 62.7 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 18
K. Knueppel 57.5 poss
FG% 27.3%
3P% 12.5%
PPP 0.12
PTS 7
A. Green 54.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
K. Dunn 54.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 8
C. McCollum 41.8 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 6
V. Edgecombe 37.0 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 7
T. Hardaway Jr. 33.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 5
D. Mitchell 33.6 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. DiVincenzo 31.5 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Bane 67.3 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 11
K. Dunn 55.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
K. Knueppel 54.4 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
R. Rollins 45.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 4
V. Edgecombe 45.9 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 4
D. Robinson 40.9 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.27
PTS 11
J. Pickett 39.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Thompson 35.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
E. Dëmin 34.6 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.14
PTS 5
D. DiVincenzo 34.5 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

60
Games
12.2
PPG
2.8
RPG
2.0
APG
0.6
SPG
0.3
BPG
41.9
FG%
35.8
3P%
87.4
FT%
24.1
MPG

GAME LOG

60 games played