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WAS

2025-26 Season

LEAKY BLACK

Washington Wizards | Forward | 6-6
Leaky Black
7.1PPG
5.0RPG
1.5APG
28.9MPG
-3.3 Impact

Black produces at an below average rate for a 29-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-3.3
Scoring +5.7
Points Scored 7.1 PPG = +7.1
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -3.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.9
Creation +0.2
Assists & Self-Creation 1.5 AST/g + self-creation = +0.2
Turnovers -2.2
Turnovers 0.9/g (live + dead blend) = -2.2
Defense +0.6
Steals 1.2/g = +2.8
Blocks 0.5/g = +0.5
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.7
Hustle & Effort +4.1
Rebounds 5.0 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +2.7
Contested Shots 2.1/g = +0.4
Deflections 1.1/g = +0.7
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.6/g = +0.2
Raw Impact +8.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.7
Net Impact
-3.3
29th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 39th
7.6 PPG
Efficiency 20th
51.5% TS
Playmaking 49th
1.6 APG
Rebounding 72th
5.4 RPG
Defense 85th
+10.0/g
Hustle 35th
+10.5/g
Creation 7th
+1.12/g
Shot Making 30th
+4.33/g
TO Discipline 84th
0.03/min

ON / OFF COURT

WAS performance per 100 possessions with Black on vs off the floor · 551 poss on, 5,696 off

Team net — ON court
-7.2
ORtg 87.3 · DRtg 94.4
Team net — OFF court
-5.1
ORtg 89.5 · DRtg 94.7
On/Off swing
-2.0
Points per 100 possessions the team gains (or loses) when he plays

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Black has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~5 points between games.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 20% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Defensive impact is minimal for a 29-minute player. Not generating enough contests, rim protection, or forced turnovers to move the needle.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -0.1, second-half: -6.1. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 20 days ago

Based on 13 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

C. Sexton 32.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
B. Mbeng 31.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3
P. Banchero 29.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 7
J. Konchar 25.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 5
S. Fontecchio 22.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
P. Williams 22.5 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 4
G. Santos 20.0 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
C. Williams 19.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 3
A. Bailey 19.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.31
PTS 6
D. Bane 18.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

A. Bailey 35.6 poss
FG% 77.8%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.48
PTS 17
C. Williams 29.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4
J. Konchar 24.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
P. Banchero 21.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 4
C. Sexton 21.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 7
B. Mbeng 21.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Wiggins 21.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.43
PTS 9
G. Santos 19.9 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.4
PTS 8
N. Penda 17.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Green 17.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

15
Games
7.1
PPG
5.0
RPG
1.5
APG
1.2
SPG
0.5
BPG
38.8
FG%
34.5
3P%
87.5
FT%
28.9
MPG

GAME LOG

15 games played