WAS

2025-26 Season

ALEX SARR

Washington Wizards | Center | 7-0
Alex Sarr
16.3PPG
7.4RPG
2.7APG
27.2MPG
+8.5 Impact

Sarr produces at an elite rate for a 27-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+8.5
Scoring +13.8
Points Scored 16.3 PPG = +16.3
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -5.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.1
Creation +1.0
Assists & Self-Creation 2.7 AST/g + self-creation = +1.0
Turnovers -4.0
Turnovers 1.7/g (live + dead blend) = -4.0
Defense +0.5
Steals 0.8/g = +1.8
Blocks 2.0/g = +1.8
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -3.1
Hustle & Effort +7.7
Rebounds 7.4 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +3.4
Contested Shots 9.4/g = +1.9
Deflections 1.5/g = +1.0
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 3.6/g = +1.1
Raw Impact +19.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.5
Net Impact
+8.5
78th pctl vs Centers

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 93 Centers with 10+ games

Scoring 85th
16.3 PPG
Efficiency 10th
52.8% TS
Playmaking 81th
2.7 APG
Rebounding 68th
7.4 RPG
Defense 66th
+7.4/g
Hustle 63th
+19.1/g
Creation 63th
+2.70/g
Shot Making 84th
+7.71/g
TO Discipline 25th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Alex Sarr’s opening stretch of the season was defined by a terrifying offensive breakout that transformed him from a raw rim-runner into a legitimate primary option. Even before his jumper fully materialized, he found ways to dictate the game's rhythm. During the 10/22 vs MIL matchup, he managed a +7.1 Impact score despite scoring just 10 points because he dominated the glass with 11 rebounds and offered relentless defensive resistance in the paint. Once his perimeter stroke caught fire, the results were devastating. Look no further than his 11/06 vs BOS masterpiece, where he erupted for 31 points on 12-for-20 shooting to post a massive +30.6 Impact score. That sky-high rating stemmed directly from his ruthless shot selection and hyper-efficient mechanics, draining four of his five three-point attempts rather than settling for contested mid-range looks. He isn't entirely immune to youthful lapses, however, as seen on 11/16 vs BKN. In that contest, Sarr forced the issue to score just 9 points on an ugly 4-for-12 shooting night, grabbing a mere three rebounds and registering a dismal -8.4 Impact score because his lack of hustle and poor offensive decisions actively dragged the team down.

This stretch was defined by soaring peaks and sudden, baffling valleys as Alex Sarr learned to navigate the physical toll of a starting role. He absolutely dominated the interior on 01/12 vs PHX, hauling in 15 rebounds to go with 19 points and generating a massive +29.8 Impact. Even when his jump shot completely abandoned him, as it did on 12/24 vs CHA, he still found ways to dictate the flow of the game. His meager seven points on 2-for-6 shooting in that contest were offset by 11 hard-fought rebounds, yielding a respectable +7.7 Impact because he simply refused to give up on the glass. Yet, game-to-game consistency remains his white whale. Look at his performance on 01/18 vs DEN, where a seemingly productive 16-point, 8-rebound night actually carried a -4.8 Impact because his efficient shooting was hollowed out by a lack of playmaking and poor defensive rotations. When he pairs his offensive touch with relentless rebounding, he looks like a franchise cornerstone, but those quiet, passive nights reveal a big man still finding his NBA footing.

Alex Sarr’s midseason stretch was defined by a volatile shift from a rebounding terror to an erratic volume shooter. He initially looked unstoppable. During a monstrous outing on 01/28 vs POR, he racked up 29 points and 12 rebounds. Despite needing a staggering 29 shot attempts to get his points, his relentless effort on the boards earned him a massive +28.5 Impact score. The very next night on 01/29 vs MIL, Sarr took a backseat offensively with just 16 points. He still generated a stellar +17.1 Impact simply by swallowing up 17 rebounds and completely controlling the glass to create extra possessions. By March, however, the wheels completely fell off his offensive game. During an abysmal showing on 03/19 vs DET, his disastrous shot selection yielded just 2 points on 1-of-12 shooting, dragging him down to a brutal -23.3 Impact score and highlighting the hidden costs of his cold spells.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Sarr posts positive impact in 77% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~7 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 62% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Sarr consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +11.6, second-half: +5.5. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 12 games. Longest cold streak: 2 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 55 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

M. Turner 103.2 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 20
J. Duren 91.7 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.22
PTS 20
K. Towns 76.1 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 13
W. Carter Jr. 71.2 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 12
N. Queta 67.1 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.18
PTS 12
A. Gordon 62.7 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 12
M. Diabaté 49.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
I. Hartenstein 49.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
K. Porziņģis 48.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.23
PTS 11
B. Adebayo 47.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 80.0%
PPP 0.47
PTS 22

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

M. Turner 86.8 poss
FG% 31.2%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.16
PTS 14
J. Duren 85.9 poss
FG% 46.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 22
K. Towns 79.7 poss
FG% 46.7%
3P% 30.0%
PPP 0.44
PTS 35
W. Carter Jr. 75.6 poss
FG% 72.7%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 19
M. Diabaté 67.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 12
N. Queta 62.7 poss
FG% 92.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 24
A. Gordon 58.9 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 7
K. Porziņģis 55.2 poss
FG% 47.1%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.43
PTS 24
B. Adebayo 50.3 poss
FG% 59.3%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.82
PTS 41
D. Clingan 46.4 poss
FG% 23.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

48
Games
16.3
PPG
7.4
RPG
2.7
APG
0.8
SPG
2.0
BPG
48.2
FG%
33.3
3P%
69.2
FT%
27.2
MPG

GAME LOG

48 games played