MIL

2025-26 Season

GARY TRENT JR.

Milwaukee Bucks | Guard | 6-5
Gary Trent Jr.
8.1PPG
1.0RPG
1.2APG
21.2MPG
-5.4 Impact

Jr. produces at an poor rate for a 21-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-5.4
Scoring +7.0
Points Scored 8.1 PPG = +8.1
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -3.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.3
Creation +0.3
Assists & Self-Creation 1.2 AST/g + self-creation = +0.3
Turnovers -1.5
Turnovers 0.6/g (live + dead blend) = -1.5
Defense +0.1
Steals 0.5/g = +1.1
Blocks 0.0/g = +0.0
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.0
Hustle & Effort +0.5
Rebounds 1.0 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.7
Contested Shots 0.8/g = +0.2
Deflections 1.4/g = +0.9
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.0/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +6.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.8
Net Impact
-5.4
20th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 45th
8.7 PPG
Efficiency 19th
48.7% TS
Playmaking 20th
1.3 APG
Rebounding 3th
1.1 RPG
Defense 36th
+6.4/g
Hustle 4th
+3.8/g
Creation 31th
+2.18/g
Shot Making 93th
+10.50/g
TO Discipline 90th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Gary Trent Jr.’s opening stretch of the 2025-26 campaign was defined by an offensive slump so severe it ultimately cost him his starting job. Even when his jumper found the bottom of the net, the hidden costs of his game dragged down the lineup. He dropped 20 points on 10/24 vs TOR, yet posted a -1.2 Impact score because his defensive lapses gave back everything he created on offense. Occasionally, he found ways to contribute without scoring, grinding out a +6.2 Impact score on 10/31 vs GSW through sheer hustle and defensive grit despite an ugly 4-for-14 shooting night. Those moments faded quickly. A completely passive two-point dud on 11/13 vs CHA resulted in a catastrophic -11.7 Impact score, forcing the coaching staff to finally pull him from the starting five. Relegated to a reserve role, Trent Jr. looks like a lost player searching for a way to stay on the floor when his erratic three-point shot refuses to fall.

This midseason stretch was defined by a brutal shooting slump that rendered Gary Trent Jr. nearly unplayable on most nights. He briefly flashed his ceiling as a spot-starter on 12/14 vs BKN, dropping 20 points on 4-of-8 from deep to earn a +9.5 Impact score through efficient perimeter execution and engaged defense. But that rhythm quickly vanished into a fog of forced jumpers and empty minutes. Look at his dismal outing on 01/12 vs DEN. He went completely scoreless in 15 minutes, posting a brutal -17.5 Impact score because his lack of offensive gravity and failure to grab a single rebound made him a massive liability. Even when his shot occasionally fell, the hidden costs of his one-dimensional game dragged the lineup down. During the 01/28 vs PHI matchup, Trent managed 13 points on four triples, yet still finished with a -3.9 Impact score because his complete lack of rebounds, playmaking, and defensive awareness bled points at the other end. When a supposed floor-spacer cannot hit water from a boat, his entire utility collapses.

This brutal late-season stretch was defined by erratic minutes, abysmal shooting slumps, and a fleeting mirage of competence. Even when his shot occasionally fell off the bench, his one-dimensional style actively hurt the team. During the 02/03 vs CHI matchup, Trent scored 15 points on red-hot perimeter shooting but still posted an Impact: -3.0 because his complete lack of playmaking and rebounding left the second unit stranded. For weeks, he was virtually unplayable, culminating in a disastrous 03/25 vs POR outing where he threw up a goose egg on 0-for-7 shooting to earn a ghastly Impact: -17.2. Out of nowhere, a brief promotion to the starting lineup sparked a massive offensive eruption. He torched the nets during the 03/29 vs LAC game, dropping 36 points and draining nine triples to generate a massive Impact: +17.2 as he finally found an aggressive, efficient rhythm. The magic vanished almost immediately. Sent back to the second unit for the 04/08 vs DET contest, he chucked his way to an Impact: -15.9 by missing all eight of his three-point attempts, confirming he remains a wildly volatile rotation piece.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Jr. has posted negative impact in 80% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 38% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Defensive impact is minimal for a 21-minute player. Not generating enough contests, rim protection, or forced turnovers to move the needle.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -3.8, second-half: -6.9. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 13 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 72 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

B. Ingram 82.7 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.11
PTS 9
D. Garland 51.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.1
PTS 5
T. Maxey 41.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
V. Edgecombe 41.0 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
K. Middleton 40.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
C. Sexton 39.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Love 37.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 5
J. Brunson 35.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
J. Walker 35.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
W. Riley 34.8 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

B. Ingram 85.0 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 19
B. Carrington 41.9 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
M. Christie 36.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Sexton 36.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 10
J. Walker 35.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
K. Middleton 31.0 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 10
S. James 30.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
R. Westbrook 29.9 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5
V. Edgecombe 29.8 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
K. George 29.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

65
Games
8.1
PPG
1.0
RPG
1.2
APG
0.5
SPG
0.0
BPG
38.7
FG%
36.0
3P%
76.9
FT%
21.2
MPG

GAME LOG

65 games played