WAS

2025-26 Season

JADEN HARDY

Washington Wizards | Guard | 6-3
Jaden Hardy
9.1 PPG
1.5 RPG
0.9 APG
15.6 MPG
-2.9 Impact

Hardy produces at an below average rate for a 16-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.9
Scoring +5.2
Points 9.1 PPG × +1.00 = +9.1
Missed 2PT 1.5/g × -0.78 = -1.2
Missed 3PT 2.7/g × -0.87 = -2.4
Missed FT 0.3/g × -1.00 = -0.3
Creation +1.0
Assists 0.9/g × +0.50 = +0.5
Off. Rebounds 0.4/g × +1.26 = +0.5
Turnovers -2.1
Turnovers 1.1/g × -1.95 = -2.1
Defense -0.8
Steals 0.3/g × +2.30 = +0.7
Blocks 0.1/g × +0.90 = +0.1
Def. Rebounds 1.2/g × +0.30 = +0.3
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +1.2
Contested Shots 1.2/g × +0.20 = +0.2
Deflections 0.6/g × +0.65 = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.1/g × +2.70 = +0.3
Loose Balls 0.2/g × +0.60 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.1/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.2
Raw Impact +4.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −7.4
Net Impact
-2.9
25th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 53th
10.0 PPG
Efficiency 43th
54.1% TS
Playmaking 10th
1.0 APG
Rebounding 9th
1.6 RPG
Rim Protection 1th
0.05/min
Hustle 13th
0.07/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 29th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jaden Hardy’s early-season campaign was defined by maddening volatility, oscillating wildly between explosive microwave scoring and deeply destructive tunnel vision. Even when the ball went through the hoop, hidden costs often dragged down his overall value. During the 11/19 vs NYK matchup, he tallied 11 points but posted a dismal -3.9 impact score because his heavy reliance on contested, early-clock jumpers completely suffocated the offensive flow. His shot selection hit rock bottom on 11/22 vs MEM, where a barrage of forced perimeter attempts resulted in zero points and a catastrophic -9.4 impact score. Beyond his erratic trigger, Hardy routinely bled value on the other end of the floor by getting blown by in isolation matchups and missing basic defensive rotations. Yet, his raw talent occasionally salvaged the chaos. On 12/05 vs OKC, he finally put everything together, erupting for 23 points on 8-of-13 shooting. That blistering perimeter display single-handedly broke the opponent's defensive shell, earning him a massive +10.3 impact score.

This twenty-game stretch was defined by chronic tunnel vision and empty calories, as Jaden Hardy’s relentless shot-hunting frequently sabotaged his team. His performance on 01/15 vs UTA perfectly encapsulated this frustrating habit. Despite scoring 19 points, Hardy posted a dismal -5.0 impact score because he hijacked the offense to repeatedly jack up ill-advised shots. The hidden costs of his scoring were even more glaring on 02/26 vs ATL, where he managed 14 points but bled value with a catastrophic -14.5 impact score fueled by a brutal, selfish shooting display. Even when his raw numbers looked decent, terrible transition defense and an outright refusal to pass to open corner shooters dragged down his overall effectiveness. Conversely, a restrained approach yielded immediate dividends on 12/27 vs SAC. By taking high-quality looks and actually competing on the defensive end, he generated a robust +3.8 impact score despite contributing just 5 points. If Hardy wants to be a reliable rotation piece, he must realize that stalling possessions for contested isolation jumpers is a losing formula.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Hardy has posted negative impact in 76% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 42% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: -2.0, second-half: -3.8. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 7 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

C. Williams 32.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 10
J. Fears 26.2 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 7
J. Murray 25.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 4
J. Clark 24.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 1
A. Mitchell 24.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 6
K. George 22.7 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
J. Alvarado 22.5 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
I. Collier 21.6 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 3
W. Clayton Jr. 20.4 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 7
A. Holiday 19.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

C. Williams 35.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
J. Fears 28.7 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 8
I. Collier 24.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
J. Clark 23.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Kispert 23.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7
A. Holiday 23.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Clarkson 22.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 4
W. Clayton Jr. 21.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 4
S. Jones 20.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
A. Mitchell 19.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 4

SEASON STATS

54
Games
9.1
PPG
1.5
RPG
0.9
APG
0.3
SPG
0.1
BPG
42.8
FG%
39.3
3P%
75.4
FT%
15.6
MPG

GAME LOG

54 games played