2025-26 Season
MARVIN BAGLEY III
2025-26 Season
MARVIN BAGLEY III
III produces at an above average rate for a 20-minute workload.
About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works
TEAM COMPARISON
of 16 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Marvin Bagley III's opening stretch of the season was defined by a volatile tug-of-war between devastating interior dominance and sudden, passive disappearing acts. When fully engaged, he looked like a revelation. On 10/28 vs PHI, he posted a massive +17.8 impact score by simply outrunning his man in transition to seal early for easy baskets. He occasionally found ways to contribute when his offensive aggression vanished entirely, like on 10/22 vs MIL; despite attempting zero field goals and scoring just a single point, he scraped out a positive +0.2 impact thanks to a stellar +12.6 defensive rating. However, a brief promotion to the starting lineup eventually exposed his limitations against stouter frontcourts. On 12/04 vs BOS, his value cratered to a brutal -11.5 impact score, dragged into the abyss by abysmal 2-for-8 finishing around the rim. Bagley remains a tantalizing weapon when he plays with force, but his frustrating inability to maintain physical presence keeps his night-to-night value wildly unpredictable.
Ruthless interior efficiency and a sudden leap in defensive anchoring defined this dominant mid-season stretch for Marvin Bagley III. By cutting out bad jumpers and completely buying into a gritty, rim-running role, he transformed into a highly destructive two-way weapon. Even when his offensive volume vanished, he found ways to dictate the flow of the game. During a quiet seven-point outing on 12/29 vs PHX, his elite rim deterrence and interior defense drove a stellar +9.2 impact score. He still suffered occasional lapses in physicality against bigger frontcourts. On 01/04 vs MIN, Bagley hit all three of his shot attempts but posted a brutal -7.3 impact because he was bullied relentlessly on the defensive interior. Yet, those poor nights were rare anomalies. Earning a spot with the starting unit on 02/01 vs SAC, he combined near-perfect 7-for-8 shooting with elite defensive positioning to rack up 15 points and a staggering +15.2 impact.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Volatile for his role. III has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~5 points between games.
Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 71% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.
Defensive difference-maker. III consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 10 games. Longest cold streak: 2 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 62 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
56 games played