MIA

2025-26 Season

NORMAN POWELL

Miami Heat | Guard | 6-3
Norman Powell
21.6PPG
3.5RPG
2.4APG
29.4MPG
+8.4 Impact

Powell produces at an elite rate for a 29-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+8.4
Scoring +19.8
Points Scored 21.6 PPG = +21.6
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -6.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +4.7
Creation +1.4
Assists & Self-Creation 2.4 AST/g + self-creation = +1.4
Turnovers -4.2
Turnovers 1.9/g (live + dead blend) = -4.2
Defense +0.9
Steals 1.1/g = +2.5
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.8
Hustle & Effort +1.7
Rebounds 3.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.7
Contested Shots 2.2/g = +0.4
Deflections 2.4/g = +1.6
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +19.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.2
Net Impact
+8.4
89th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 94th
21.6 PPG
Efficiency 91th
60.5% TS
Playmaking 45th
2.4 APG
Rebounding 64th
3.5 RPG
Defense 58th
+7.6/g
Hustle 68th
+10.5/g
Creation 59th
+3.09/g
Shot Making 89th
+9.69/g
TO Discipline 34th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Norman Powell opened the 2025-26 season on a blistering offensive tear, embracing the heavy burden of a primary scoring engine. He was a walking bucket. His absolute peak arrived on 11/15 vs NYK, where he torched the nets for 38 points and eight three-pointers. That offensive explosion generated a massive +25.0 impact score because his ruthless perimeter shot-making completely warped the defense, easily offsetting his lack of playmaking. However, his effectiveness remained highly volatile when his engagement waned. During the 11/04 vs LAC matchup, Powell still managed an efficient 21 points, yet his impact score plummeted to a barely-there +0.6. That steep drop-off occurred because his scoring was hollowed out by a complete lack of defensive resistance and minimal rebounding effort. When the jumper finally abandoned him entirely on 11/27 vs MIL, his 11-point, 0-for-5 night from deep resulted in a -2.6 impact, revealing that his overall value is inextricably tied to his shooting rhythm.

Norman Powell’s second quarter of the season was defined by a volatile, high-octane scoring binge where his shot selection dictated everything. When he found his rhythm, he was utterly unguardable, erupting for 34 points during the 01/04 vs NOP matchup. His staggering +33.3 impact score that night stemmed directly from lethal efficiency, as he drained 9 of 12 attempts from beyond the arc rather than forcing bad looks. That same limitless green light occasionally burned his team. Despite scraping together 18 points in the 12/20 vs BOS contest, Powell posted a -3.1 impact score because he stubbornly chucked his way to a 1-for-11 disaster from deep, stalling out the offense with empty possessions. He hit an even harder wall during the 01/11 vs IND game, where a dismal 2-for-12 shooting night resulted in a brutal -14.2 impact. Powell remains a dangerous scorer, but his ultimate value hinges entirely on his willingness to stop shooting when the touch vanishes.

Norman Powell’s late-season stretch was defined by a jarring transition from a high-volume starter into an unpredictable sparkplug off the bench. His nightly value frequently divorced itself from his raw shooting percentages. This bizarre dynamic was obvious on 01/26 vs PHX. Despite clanking his way to 16 points on an abysmal 5-for-21 from the floor, Powell still managed a +5.7 impact score by crashing the glass for 10 rebounds and grinding out suffocating perimeter defense. Conversely, his scoring binges occasionally masked deep underlying flaws. During the 03/23 vs SAS tilt, he poured in 21 points but posted a -4.1 impact, bleeding value through inefficient 7-for-18 shooting and terrible defensive lapses. Yet when his shot selection normalized, he remained a lethal two-way weapon, erupting for 24 points on crisp 9-for-15 shooting on 02/06 vs BOS to generate a massive +19.6 impact score.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Powell posts positive impact in 85% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~7 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Powell locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +11.9, second-half: +5.1. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 14 games. Longest cold streak: 1 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

M. Bridges 114.7 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 31
D. Bane 72.7 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 12.5%
PPP 0.22
PTS 16
J. Suggs 71.3 poss
FG% 52.9%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.48
PTS 34
A. Black 69.3 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 80.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 18
P. Pritchard 66.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 13
D. DiVincenzo 60.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 10
D. White 50.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 17
K. Knueppel 50.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 16
D. Daniels 46.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 12
K. Ellis 44.7 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 14

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

M. Bridges 79.4 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.13
PTS 10
A. Black 77.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 10
L. Shamet 66.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.23
PTS 15
J. Suggs 64.8 poss
FG% 47.1%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.31
PTS 20
T. Camara 46.2 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.17
PTS 8
A. Green 44.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
A. Thompson 43.2 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
D. DiVincenzo 43.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
T. da Silva 42.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
K. Ellis 41.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

59
Games
21.6
PPG
3.5
RPG
2.4
APG
1.1
SPG
0.2
BPG
47.1
FG%
38.1
3P%
82.7
FT%
29.4
MPG

GAME LOG

59 games played