MIA

2025-26 Season

NORMAN POWELL

Miami Heat | Guard | 6-3
Norman Powell
22.1 PPG
3.6 RPG
2.6 APG
30.1 MPG
+1.1 Impact

Powell produces at an above average rate for a 30-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+1.1
Scoring +14.2
Points 22.1 PPG × +1.00 = +22.1
Missed 2PT 3.9/g × -0.78 = -3.1
Missed 3PT 4.4/g × -0.87 = -3.8
Missed FT 1.0/g × -1.00 = -1.0
Creation +2.4
Assists 2.6/g × +0.50 = +1.3
Off. Rebounds 0.9/g × +1.26 = +1.1
Turnovers -3.7
Turnovers 1.9/g × -1.95 = -3.7
Defense +1.7
Steals 1.1/g × +2.30 = +2.5
Blocks 0.3/g × +0.90 = +0.3
Def. Rebounds 2.7/g × +0.30 = +0.8
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.7
Contested Shots 2.4/g × +0.20 = +0.5
Deflections 2.6/g × +0.65 = +1.7
Loose Balls 0.5/g × +0.60 = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.2/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.0/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.1
Raw Impact +17.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −16.2
Net Impact
+1.1
82th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 94th
22.1 PPG
Efficiency 90th
60.8% TS
Playmaking 46th
2.6 APG
Rebounding 68th
3.6 RPG
Rim Protection 44th
0.11/min
Hustle 26th
0.08/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 33th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Norman Powell's first twenty games were defined by a volatile, high-volume scoring binge where his tunnel vision constantly warred with his elite shot-making. He frequently piled up points while hurting the team on the margins, a flaw glaringly obvious on 11/05 vs DEN. Despite dropping 23 points, Powell registered a dismal -7.7 impact score because forced drives into traffic cratered his efficiency inside the arc. Conversely, he occasionally found ways to drive winning basketball when his jumper abandoned him. During the 11/21 vs CHI matchup, he managed a highly positive +6.9 impact score despite a modest 19 points on 6-for-14 shooting, leaning entirely on gritty point-of-attack defense to mask his wild perimeter inconsistency. When his shot selection actually matched his supreme confidence, he was utterly unguardable. He torched the nets on 11/14 vs NYK for 38 points, burying eight triples to generate a massive +10.8 impact score through scorching perimeter execution.

Norman Powell's midseason stretch was defined by maddening volatility, swinging wildly between unguardable flamethrower and active detriment. When his jumper was falling, he was completely unstoppable, peaking on 01/04 vs NOP with 34 points on 9-of-12 shooting from deep to generate a massive +22.2 impact score. That absolute masterclass in perimeter shot-making broke the opponent's defensive scheme entirely. Yet Powell often sabotaged his own value even when filling up the scoring column, as seen on 01/19 vs GSW where he tallied 21 points but posted a -7.2 impact. Bleeding value on the defensive end completely negated his aggressive offensive output in that contest. His shot selection could be equally destructive when his touch vanished. During an ugly 12/19 vs BOS matchup, he launched a disastrous 1-of-11 from beyond the arc, forcing looks that acted as an anchor to drag his impact down to a brutal -15.1.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Powell's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Powell consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +2.6, second-half: -0.4. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 6 games. Longest cold streak: 8 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

M. Bridges 114.7 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 31
D. Bane 72.7 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 12.5%
PPP 0.22
PTS 16
J. Suggs 71.3 poss
FG% 52.9%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.48
PTS 34
A. Black 69.3 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 80.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 18
P. Pritchard 66.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 13
D. DiVincenzo 60.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 10
D. White 50.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 17
K. Knueppel 50.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 16
D. Daniels 46.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 12
K. Ellis 44.7 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 14

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

M. Bridges 79.4 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.13
PTS 10
A. Black 77.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 10
L. Shamet 66.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.23
PTS 15
J. Suggs 64.8 poss
FG% 47.1%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.31
PTS 20
T. Camara 46.2 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.17
PTS 8
A. Green 44.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
A. Thompson 43.2 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
D. DiVincenzo 43.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
T. da Silva 42.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
K. Ellis 41.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

55
Games
22.1
PPG
3.6
RPG
2.6
APG
1.1
SPG
0.3
BPG
47.3
FG%
38.4
3P%
82.5
FT%
30.1
MPG

GAME LOG

55 games played