CHI

2025-26 Season

JOSH GIDDEY

Chicago Bulls | Guard | 6-7
Josh Giddey
17.0 PPG
8.3 RPG
9.1 APG
32.1 MPG
-0.7 Impact

Giddey produces at an average rate for a 32-minute workload. 3.6 turnovers per game cost 7.0 points of value nightly.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-0.7
Scoring +10.0
Points 17.0 PPG × +1.00 = +17.0
Missed 2PT 4.0/g × -0.78 = -3.1
Missed 3PT 3.3/g × -0.87 = -2.9
Missed FT 1.0/g × -1.00 = -1.0
Creation +7.2
Assists 9.1/g × +0.50 = +4.5
Off. Rebounds 2.1/g × +1.26 = +2.7
Turnovers -7.0
Turnovers 3.6/g × -1.95 = -7.0
Defense +2.8
Steals 1.0/g × +2.30 = +2.3
Blocks 0.5/g × +0.90 = +0.5
Def. Rebounds 6.2/g × +0.30 = +1.9
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.8
Contested Shots 5.0/g × +0.20 = +1.0
Deflections 1.9/g × +0.65 = +1.2
Loose Balls 0.7/g × +0.60 = +0.4
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.1/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.2
Raw Impact +15.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −16.5
Net Impact
-0.7
60th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 82th
17.0 PPG
Efficiency 53th
55.0% TS
Playmaking 99th
9.1 APG
Rebounding 99th
8.3 RPG
Rim Protection 86th
0.17/min
Hustle 36th
0.09/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 2th
0.11/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Josh Giddey’s opening stretch of the season was defined by a maddening tug-of-war between brilliant offensive orchestration and reckless, self-sabotaging decisions. When he dialed in his pace-pushing and elite passing vision, he was unstoppable, dismantling the defense on 10/31 vs NYK for 32 points, 10 rebounds, and 9 assists to post a massive +11.9 impact score. Yet, he routinely bled value despite filling up the box score. During the 11/24 vs NOP matchup, Giddey poured in 21 points but dragged his impact down to an abysmal -10.5 because he kept pounding the ball into traffic and forcing risky interior passes. Conversely, he found ways to drive winning basketball on nights when his scoring volume dipped. On 11/22 vs WAS, he scored a modest 18 points but generated a stellar +9.8 impact by dominating the glass from the guard position and executing elite connective passes. Until he cures his chronic live-ball turnover habit, his nightly value will remain a total coin flip.

A maddening inconsistency defined this middle stretch of the season for Josh Giddey, as flashes of brilliant tempo control were repeatedly sabotaged by a broken jumper and sloppy ball security. His passing vision remains elite, but it often comes with hidden costs. Look at his 12/23 vs ATL performance. He stuffed the box score with 19 points, 11 rebounds, and 15 assists, yet still dragged his team down to a -3.3 impact score because a string of costly live-ball turnovers ignited opponent transition runs. Conversely, when his outside shot actually falls, he transforms into a dangerous offensive engine. During a massive 23-point triple-double on 12/17 vs CLE, Giddey drilled five three-pointers to post a stellar +10.9 impact score, completely altering the opponent's scouting report. Sadly, those shooting outbursts were rare anomalies. Too often, defenses simply sagged off him, a strategy that peaked on 01/24 vs BOS when his disastrous 1-for-6 shooting and complete inability to threaten the rim cratered his overall impact to a brutal -11.5.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Giddey's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 46% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Giddey consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +1.1, second-half: -2.6. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 59 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Nembhard 120.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 23
J. Tyson 81.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 13
D. Daniels 76.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 12
R. Rollins 71.6 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 14
O. Anunoby 69.8 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 13
V. Edgecombe 58.2 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 12
K. Knueppel 54.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 13
M. Bridges 53.4 poss
FG% 69.2%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 21
D. Wade 48.5 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.19
PTS 9
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Tyson 80.6 poss
FG% 64.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 19
D. Daniels 80.4 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 4
A. Nembhard 70.1 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 13
O. Anunoby 61.0 poss
FG% 61.5%
3P% 44.4%
PPP 0.33
PTS 20
R. Rollins 52.2 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 80.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 14
D. Wade 48.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. McDaniels 45.4 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 7
Q. Grimes 42.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
J. Hart 40.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 9
L. Dort 38.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.13
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

54
Games
17.0
PPG
8.3
RPG
9.1
APG
1.0
SPG
0.5
BPG
44.8
FG%
36.4
3P%
76.3
FT%
32.1
MPG

GAME LOG

54 games played