CHI

2025-26 Season

JOSH GIDDEY

Chicago Bulls | Guard | 6-7
Josh Giddey
17.0PPG
8.3RPG
9.1APG
32.1MPG
+5.0 Impact

Giddey produces at an above average rate for a 32-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+5.0
Scoring +14.6
Points Scored 17.0 PPG = +17.0
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -6.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.6
Creation +2.1
Assists & Self-Creation 9.1 AST/g + self-creation = +2.1
Turnovers -8.4
Turnovers 3.6/g (live + dead blend) = -8.4
Defense +1.0
Steals 1.0/g = +2.3
Blocks 0.5/g = +0.5
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.8
Hustle & Effort +6.5
Rebounds 8.3 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +3.8
Contested Shots 5.0/g = +1.0
Deflections 1.9/g = +1.2
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.7/g = +0.4
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +15.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.8
Net Impact
+5.0
79th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 82th
17.0 PPG
Efficiency 53th
55.0% TS
Playmaking 99th
9.1 APG
Rebounding 99th
8.3 RPG
Defense 30th
+5.5/g
Hustle 97th
+19.1/g
Creation 88th
+4.57/g
Shot Making 74th
+8.17/g
TO Discipline 3th
0.11/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Josh Giddey opened the 2025-26 season operating as a true offensive fulcrum, racking up massive triple-doubles and dictating the pace with absolute authority. His absolute peak arrived on 11/05 vs PHI, where he battered the interior to the tune of 29 points, 15 rebounds, and 12 assists. That ruthless combination of elite playmaking and relentless glass-cleaning generated a staggering +25.1 Impact score. However, his aggression occasionally bled into empty-calorie production, as seen on 11/25 vs NOP. Despite scoring a respectable 21 points, he posted a -2.9 Impact score because defensive lapses and a perimeter-heavy shot selection quietly sabotaged his overall effectiveness. Conversely, he frequently controlled games without needing to force his own offense. On 11/23 vs WAS, Giddey managed a modest 18 points but still recorded a massive +21.0 Impact score by vacuuming up 12 rebounds and dishing 11 assists to orchestrate the floor perfectly. When he balances his scoring ambition with this kind of unselfish facilitation, he is a terrifying matchup.

A jarring January demotion to the bench and wildly fluctuating shooting efficiency defined this turbulent stretch of Josh Giddey's season. He looked like an untouchable franchise cornerstone on 12/04 vs BKN. Posting a massive 28 points, 11 rebounds, and 11 assists on blistering 10-of-14 shooting, his flawless shot selection and elite offensive orchestration earned him a staggering +28.6 Impact score. Yet, when his scoring completely evaporated off the bench on 01/25 vs BOS, his overall value plummeted. Despite tallying 8 rebounds and 10 assists in that contest, his brutal 1-of-6 shooting allowed defenders to sag into the paint and clog the passing lanes, resulting in a dismal -12.8 Impact score. He did find brief success in that reserve role on 01/23 vs MIN, attacking the rim efficiently to score 21 points and generate a +13.7 Impact score. Giddey remains a brilliant passer. However, his nightly effectiveness lives and dies entirely by his ability to keep defenses honest as a scoring threat.

This late-season stretch was defined by extreme volatility, oscillating wildly between masterful triple-double orchestration and disastrous shooting slumps. On 03/01 vs MIL, Giddey was an absolute force, logging 20 points, 14 rebounds, and 10 assists. His blistering 5-for-11 shooting from deep and relentless rebounding fueled a massive +25.2 Impact score, driving winning basketball through sheer offensive efficiency. Yet, his massive playmaking numbers often masked severe inefficiencies, as seen on 03/19 vs CLE. Despite dishing out a staggering 19 assists, he posted a brutal -11.0 Impact score because his erratic 4-for-11 shooting and poor shot selection actively dragged the offense down. The floor completely fell out on 03/28 vs OKC. He bricked all eight of his three-point attempts en route to a dismal 1-for-11 shooting night, resulting in a -14.0 Impact score that exposed his glaring limitations as a scorer. When his jumper fell, he looked like a dynamic engine, but his frequent clunkers made him a frustratingly unreliable offensive hub.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Giddey has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~7 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 46% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Giddey consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +8.0, second-half: +2.0. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 6 games. Longest cold streak: 3 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 59 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Nembhard 120.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 23
J. Tyson 81.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 13
D. Daniels 76.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 12
R. Rollins 71.6 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 14
O. Anunoby 69.8 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 13
V. Edgecombe 58.2 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 12
K. Knueppel 54.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 13
M. Bridges 53.4 poss
FG% 69.2%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 21
D. Wade 48.5 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.19
PTS 9
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Tyson 80.6 poss
FG% 64.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 19
D. Daniels 80.4 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 4
A. Nembhard 70.1 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 13
O. Anunoby 61.0 poss
FG% 61.5%
3P% 44.4%
PPP 0.33
PTS 20
R. Rollins 52.2 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 80.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 14
D. Wade 48.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. McDaniels 45.4 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 7
Q. Grimes 42.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
J. Hart 40.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 9
L. Dort 38.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.13
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

54
Games
17.0
PPG
8.3
RPG
9.1
APG
1.0
SPG
0.5
BPG
44.8
FG%
36.4
3P%
76.3
FT%
32.1
MPG

GAME LOG

54 games played