ORL

2025-26 Season

NOAH PENDA

Orlando Magic | Guard-Forward | 6-7
Noah Penda
3.8PPG
3.1RPG
1.1APG
12.6MPG
-6.1 Impact

Penda produces at an poor rate for a 13-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.1
Scoring +3.1
Points Scored 3.8 PPG = +3.8
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.8
Creation +0.3
Assists & Self-Creation 1.1 AST/g + self-creation = +0.3
Turnovers -1.6
Turnovers 0.7/g (live + dead blend) = -1.6
Hustle & Effort +3.2
Rebounds 3.1 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.9
Contested Shots 2.2/g = +0.4
Deflections 0.9/g = +0.6
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.3/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +5.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.1
Net Impact
-6.1
13th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 9th
4.5 PPG
Efficiency 17th
48.0% TS
Playmaking 19th
1.3 APG
Rebounding 67th
3.6 RPG
Defense 76th
+9.7/g
Hustle 89th
+14.3/g
Creation 27th
+1.94/g
Shot Making 10th
+3.78/g
TO Discipline 54th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Noah Penda’s opening stretch of the 2025-26 season was defined by the frustrating whiplash between deep-bench anonymity and sudden, high-energy outbursts. He finally caught a true rhythm on 11/23 vs BOS, pouring in 13 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists on near-perfect 5-of-6 shooting to post a +7.4 Impact score. He reached his absolute peak a month later on 12/21 vs UTA with a massive +15.5 Impact. That elite rating stemmed directly from his relentless work on the glass, pulling down 12 rebounds and keeping possessions alive to heavily amplify his 13 points. More minutes didn't always help him. On 12/24 vs POR, he managed to tally 8 points and 6 boards in 24 minutes, but a disastrous 3-of-10 shooting night dragged him down to a -6.6 Impact. Penda must eliminate these inefficient chucking nights if he wants to survive in a professional rotation.

Noah Penda’s mid-season stretch was defined by a brief, tantalizing surge that quickly collapsed into a brutal winter slump. He looked genuinely disruptive on 01/08 vs BKN, logging 13 points and 11 rebounds in 31 minutes off the bench. Despite a rough 5-for-15 shooting night, his relentless rebounding and physical defense drove a stellar +10.5 Impact score. That gritty effort briefly earned him a starting role, but his effectiveness vanished shortly after. Take his performance on 02/03 vs OKC. He managed 11 points, yet his erratic 4-for-11 shooting and defensive missteps saddled him with a -3.9 Impact score. Two nights later on 02/05 vs BKN, he hit rock bottom. Penda played 14 minutes without taking a single shot, posting a dreadful -15.5 Impact score simply by being a passive, invisible liability on the floor.

This stretch was defined by a rapid erosion of trust and playing time, reducing Noah Penda from a fringe rotation piece to an end-of-bench afterthought. He briefly offered a glimpse of utility during the 03/08 vs MIL matchup, logging 8 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists to generate a rare +7.3 impact score. That positive mark stemmed from his willingness to crash the glass and keep the ball moving, creating tangible value even without high-volume scoring. However, that brief spark quickly faded into a brutal slump characterized by passive offense and empty minutes. Look no further than the 03/12 vs WAS contest. He posted a dismal -13.0 impact score in 14 minutes, largely because his complete refusal to attempt a single field goal crippled the team's spacing and offensive flow. The bottom completely fell out during the 03/24 vs CLE game, where he registered a staggering -19.9 impact score in just 5 minutes by providing absolutely zero scoring or rebounding resistance. By April, his inability to threaten defenses rendered him practically unplayable.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Penda has posted negative impact in 84% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 38% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Penda locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -4.4, second-half: -7.9. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

In a rough stretch — 17 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 17 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Murphy III 30.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 3
T. Maxey 29.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
M. Porter Jr. 26.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
D. Mitchell 24.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Thomas 23.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 5
L. Ball 22.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
T. Salaün 20.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 8
K. Knueppel 19.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Portis 18.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 2
J. Jackson Jr. 18.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Murphy III 42.2 poss
FG% 83.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 12
M. Porter Jr. 31.9 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.19
PTS 6
C. Thomas 28.2 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 9
P. George 24.6 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
D. Avdija 24.2 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 11
C. McCollum 22.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3
J. Champagnie 22.1 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 6
E. Mobley 21.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 9
L. Ball 21.2 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 5
D. Barlow 19.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 7

SEASON STATS

61
Games
3.8
PPG
3.1
RPG
1.1
APG
0.5
SPG
0.3
BPG
41.0
FG%
32.3
3P%
68.8
FT%
12.6
MPG

GAME LOG

61 games played