NOP

2025-26 Season

JEREMIAH FEARS

New Orleans Pelicans | Guard | 6-3
Jeremiah Fears
14.3PPG
3.7RPG
3.4APG
25.8MPG
-0.4 Impact

Fears produces at an average rate for a 26-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-0.4
Scoring +11.6
Points Scored 14.3 PPG = +14.3
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -5.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.9
Creation +1.4
Assists & Self-Creation 3.4 AST/g + self-creation = +1.4
Turnovers -5.2
Turnovers 2.2/g (live + dead blend) = -5.2
Defense +1.6
Steals 1.2/g = +2.8
Blocks 0.4/g = +0.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.6
Hustle & Effort +2.5
Rebounds 3.7 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.2
Contested Shots 3.0/g = +0.6
Deflections 2.3/g = +1.5
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +11.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −12.3
Net Impact
-0.4
59th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 75th
14.3 PPG
Efficiency 27th
51.3% TS
Playmaking 64th
3.4 APG
Rebounding 68th
3.7 RPG
Defense 99th
+15.0/g
Hustle 71th
+10.8/g
Creation 86th
+4.32/g
Shot Making 68th
+7.78/g
TO Discipline 17th
0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jeremiah Fears spent the first quarter of the season riding a chaotic rollercoaster of erratic shooting and abrupt starter responsibilities. His promotion to the first unit on 10/27 vs BOS was an unmitigated disaster, resulting in an abysmal -18.8 Impact score driven by a completely broken 1-for-11 shooting night. Yet, Fears quickly learned how to salvage his floor minutes when his jumper abandoned him. Look at 11/01 vs LAC: despite clanking his way to a 4-for-14 shooting line for just 13 points, he generated a robust +10.6 Impact score by pivoting to a pure playmaking role and dishing out eight assists. Conversely, his empty-calorie scoring nights actively hurt the team. During the 11/02 vs OKC matchup, he managed a respectable 16 points, but his -6.2 Impact score revealed a player bleeding value through poor defensive effort and sloppy execution. He remains a highly volatile guard still figuring out how to balance his aggressive instincts with winning basketball.

Jeremiah Fears spent the middle of the 2025-26 season shooting his way right out of the starting lineup. After weeks of clanking contested jumpers and stalling the offense, the coaching staff finally pulled the plug and relegated him to a bench role in late January. His 12/28 vs PHX performance perfectly captured why the demotion was necessary. Despite pouring in a respectable 18 points, he posted a -0.9 Impact score because it took him 19 erratic shot attempts to get there, starving his teammates of offensive flow. The move to the second unit did not immediately fix his habits, culminating in an abysmal 02/06 vs MIN outing where he severely hurt the team with a staggering -25.3 Impact score on 1-for-7 shooting. Yet, just when you want to write him off entirely, he flipped the script during the 02/09 vs SAC matchup by dropping 20 points on a crisp 8-for-14 from the floor. Because he finally paired his offensive aggression with highly efficient shot selection and relentless hustle, he earned a stellar +10.3 Impact score.

This stretch was a tale of two extremes, beginning as a miserable bench slump before erupting into a late-season starting breakout. Fears spent February and March actively hurting his team with forced offense and poor efficiency. Despite racking up 18 points and 11 rebounds on 02/28 vs UTA, his -1.8 Impact score exposed the hidden cost of his erratic 5-for-14 shot selection. He hit rock bottom shortly after on 03/03 vs LAL, where a passive five-point outing and a complete lack of defensive effort dragged him to a catastrophic -17.1 Impact. Everything changed when he moved into the starting five in April and finally found his rhythm. He peaked on 04/07 vs UTA, torching them for 40 points on 17-of-29 shooting to drive a monstrous +27.7 Impact score through sheer scoring dominance. When he stopped chucking bad bench shots and embraced a high-volume starter role, he became utterly unguardable.

This twenty-game stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency, with Jeremiah Fears oscillating wildly between unstoppable offensive engine and inefficient shot-chucker. His worst habits surfaced on Mar 05 vs SAC, where a seemingly decent line of 13 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists masked a catastrophic -19.9 impact score. Inefficient volume shooting and a complete lack of defensive resistance cratered his value that night, a recurring theme during his mid-March slump. When Fears actually prioritized shot selection, however, he transformed into a lethal weapon. On Mar 24 vs NYK, he sliced through the defense for 21 points on just 12 attempts, generating a stellar +11.5 impact by taking only high-percentage looks. He eventually played his way into the starting lineup, capping off this roller-coaster run on Apr 07 vs UTA with a massive 40-point eruption. Absolute dominance in isolation situations allowed him to systematically dismantle the defense, driving a +12.9 impact score despite hitting just a single three-pointer.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Fears's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 41% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Fears consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Hot right now — 6 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 6 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 77 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. DiVincenzo 54.1 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 18
T. Jones 52.5 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 11
A. Reaves 47.0 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 12
B. Williams 45.8 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
D. Carter 43.8 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 14
FG% 55.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 12
T. Camara 41.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 10
D. Garland 40.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 7
M. Smart 39.7 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 14
D. Jenkins 39.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 10

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. DiVincenzo 55.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.11
PTS 6
M. Smart 49.2 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 12
S. Sharpe 47.5 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.57
PTS 27
D. Carter 45.0 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 10
S. Castle 43.3 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 8
M. Christie 43.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 15
C. Wallace 42.1 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
D. Garland 39.2 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 7
V. Williams Jr. 38.4 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.26
PTS 10
C. Johnson 38.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

82
Games
14.3
PPG
3.7
RPG
3.4
APG
1.2
SPG
0.4
BPG
43.4
FG%
33.0
3P%
78.9
FT%
25.8
MPG

GAME LOG

82 games played