SAC

2025-26 Season

DEVIN CARTER

Sacramento Kings | Guard | 6-2
Devin Carter
8.9PPG
3.3RPG
2.7APG
18.4MPG
-1.8 Impact

Carter produces at an below average rate for a 18-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.8
Scoring +7.2
Points Scored 8.9 PPG = +8.9
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -3.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.8
Creation +1.1
Assists & Self-Creation 2.7 AST/g + self-creation = +1.1
Turnovers -3.3
Turnovers 1.4/g (live + dead blend) = -3.3
Defense +1.0
Steals 0.9/g = +2.1
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.3
Hustle & Effort +2.8
Rebounds 3.3 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.5
Contested Shots 1.8/g = +0.4
Deflections 1.2/g = +0.8
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +8.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.6
Net Impact
-1.8
51st pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 55th
10.2 PPG
Efficiency 9th
45.7% TS
Playmaking 57th
3.0 APG
Rebounding 71th
3.7 RPG
Defense 47th
+7.1/g
Hustle 75th
+11.4/g
Creation 66th
+3.30/g
Shot Making 66th
+7.69/g
TO Discipline 21th
0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Devin Carter’s first thirteen games were defined by a desperate, mostly fruitless struggle to secure a permanent spot in the rotation. He was a deep-bench afterthought. Look no further than the 10/30 vs CHI matchup, where a completely empty 12-minute shift—zero points on 0-for-3 shooting—resulted in a dismal -11.8 impact. Even when the coaching staff finally loosened his leash for the 11/13 vs ATL game, his 11 points translated to a barely visible +0.4 impact. He simply forced up too many bad looks. That 4-for-12 shooting night actively stalled the offense and capped his overall value. A month later in the 12/12 vs DEN contest, Carter poured in 15 points on efficient 5-for-10 shooting, yet still managed only a +0.8 impact. Scoring bursts mean nothing if you are bleeding points on the defensive end.

Devin Carter's mid-season stretch was a volatile rollercoaster defined by broken perimeter mechanics and a wildly fluctuating rotation spot. During the 02/04 vs MEM matchup, he reached double figures with 10 points but still dragged the second unit down to a dismal -6.7 Impact score. That negative rating stemmed directly from his horrific shot selection, as he forced up and bricked all six of his three-point attempts. He briefly flipped the script when thrust into the starting lineup for the 02/26 vs DAL game, posting a stellar +9.4 Impact. Even though his outside shot remained totally broken that night, he manufactured winning basketball by crashing the glass for 7 rebounds and dealing 5 assists. Unfortunately, brilliant flashes like that were sandwiched between absolute duds. Just days prior on 02/21 vs SAS, he was practically invisible, logging zero points and a catastrophic -9.3 Impact in six empty minutes of cardio.

Devin Carter’s chaotic transition from an explosive bench sparkplug to a full-time starter defined this twelve-game stretch. He poured in 21 points on 04/05 vs LAC. Yet, his overall footprint remained a modest +3.8 Impact. That muted score stems directly from his erratic perimeter shot selection, as he clanked all five of his three-point attempts and stalled the half-court flow. Conversely, Carter found ways to contribute when his jumper completely abandoned him during the 04/12 vs POR matchup. Despite shooting a miserable 3-for-14 to finish with just 8 points, he salvaged a +1.0 Impact by distributing 8 assists, grabbing 6 rebounds, and flying around the court with relentless defensive energy. Everything finally clicked on 04/10 vs GSW. He torched the defense for 29 points and 9 rebounds while hitting 6 of 11 from deep, generating a monstrous +25.6 Impact to reveal his massive ceiling.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Carter's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~8 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 45% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Carter doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -5.2, second-half: +1.7. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 8 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 66 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Fears 45.0 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 10
J. Miller 22.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 8
B. Williams 20.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 5
J. Carter 20.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 9
T. Murphy III 19.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 3
I. Collier 17.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
C. Porter Jr. 16.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.42
PTS 7
L. Ball 16.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Jerome 15.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Bane 15.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Fears 43.8 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 14
D. Bane 27.7 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
I. Collier 20.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 5
B. Williams 19.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 5
J. Carter 18.7 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.48
PTS 9
J. Miller 17.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 4
J. Suggs 17.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 3
C. Porter Jr. 13.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. Knueppel 13.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 3
T. Jerome 13.7 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 1.09
PTS 15

SEASON STATS

38
Games
8.9
PPG
3.3
RPG
2.7
APG
0.9
SPG
0.2
BPG
41.4
FG%
26.3
3P%
71.3
FT%
18.4
MPG

GAME LOG

38 games played