2025-26 Season

DEVIN CARTER

Sacramento Kings | Guard | 6-2

2025-26 Season

DEVIN CARTER

Sacramento Kings | Guard | 6-2 | Yr 1

7.7 PPG

2.8 RPG

2.2 APG

16.5 MPG

-1.1 Impact

Carter produces at an below average rate for a 16-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

-1.1

Scoring +3.8

Points 7.7 PPG × +1.00 = +7.7

Missed 2PT 2.1/g × -0.78 = -1.6

Missed 3PT 2.1/g × -0.87 = -1.8

Missed FT 0.5/g × -1.00 = -0.5

Creation +2.0

Assists 2.2/g × +0.50 = +1.1

Off. Rebounds 0.7/g × +1.26 = +0.9

Turnovers -2.5

Turnovers 1.3/g × -1.95 = -2.5

Defense +0.7

Steals 0.8/g × +2.30 = +1.8

Blocks 0.2/g × +0.90 = +0.2

Def. Rebounds 2.1/g × +0.30 = +0.6

Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9

Hustle & Effort +2.2

Contested Shots 2.1/g × +0.20 = +0.4

Deflections 1.4/g × +0.65 = +0.9

Loose Balls 0.3/g × +0.60 = +0.2

Off. Fouls Drawn 0.2/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.7

Raw Impact +6.2

Baseline (game-average expected) −7.3

Net Impact

-1.1

53th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

TEAM COMPARISON

Impact

#12

Offense

Hustle

#11

Defense

of 17 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Domantas Sabonis +3.5 Precious Achiuwa +3.2 Maxime Raynaud +2.5 Dylan Cardwell +2.1 DeMar DeRozan +1.0 Drew Eubanks +0.6 Keon Ellis -0.8 Malik Monk -1.5 Devin Carter -1.6 Keegan Murray -1.8 Zach LaVine -2.1 Daeqwon Plowden -2.9 Dennis Schröder -3.2 Russell Westbrook -3.3 Killian Hayes -3.8 Nique Clifford -3.9 Doug McDermott -4.6

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 48th

9.0 PPG

Efficiency 7th

43.9% TS

Playmaking 47th

2.6 APG

Rebounding 58th

3.3 RPG

Rim Protection 79th

0.15/min

Hustle 84th

0.13/min

Shot Creation 50th

0% pullup

TO Discipline 21th

0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Devin Carter’s early season was defined by a frustrating evolution from a defensive specialist into a high-volume, low-efficiency chucker. Early on, he found ways to contribute without the ball, like when he posted a +4.7 impact score on 10/28 vs OKC by supplying instant defensive energy and blowing up dribble handoffs despite scoring just four points. But as his minutes expanded, his shot selection cratered. Look no further than his first start on 02/11 vs UTA, where a season-high 19 points masked a damaging -2.8 impact score. He actively sabotaged his team's offensive flow that night with aggressive shot-hunting, forcing his way to a brutal 4-for-13 mark from the floor. A similar story unfolded on 02/09 vs NOP, where 12 points translated to a disastrous -6.9 impact because his total inability to hit from deep allowed defenders to pack the paint. He clearly possesses the relentless motor required to stick in an NBA rotation, but his broken perimeter jumper makes him a severe liability whenever he tries to carry the scoring load.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

24 PTS vs IND

Mar 10 | +16.6 impact

Worst Game

2 PTS vs ATL

Mar 28 | -12.5 impact

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Carter's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 35% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Carter locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 66 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.