2025-26 Season

JAMAL CAIN

Orlando Magic | Forward | 6-7

2025-26 Season

JAMAL CAIN

Orlando Magic | Forward | 6-7 | Yr 3

5.1 PPG

1.7 RPG

0.7 APG

11.2 MPG

+0.4 Impact

Cain produces at an average rate for a 11-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

+0.4

Scoring +3.5

Points 5.1 PPG × +1.00 = +5.1

Missed 2PT 0.8/g × -0.78 = -0.6

Missed 3PT 1.0/g × -0.87 = -0.9

Missed FT 0.1/g × -1.00 = -0.1

Creation +0.8

Assists 0.7/g × +0.50 = +0.3

Off. Rebounds 0.4/g × +1.26 = +0.5

Turnovers -0.6

Turnovers 0.3/g × -1.95 = -0.6

Defense -0.7

Steals 0.3/g × +2.30 = +0.7

Blocks 0.1/g × +0.90 = +0.1

Def. Rebounds 1.3/g × +0.30 = +0.4

Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9

Hustle & Effort +1.5

Contested Shots 2.2/g × +0.20 = +0.4

Deflections 0.9/g × +0.65 = +0.6

Loose Balls 0.1/g × +0.60 = +0.1

Off. Fouls Drawn 0.1/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.4

Raw Impact +4.5

Baseline (game-average expected) −4.1

Net Impact

+0.4

55th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

TEAM COMPARISON

Impact

Offense

Hustle

#14

Defense

of 16 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Franz Wagner +5.3 Goga Bitadze +4.5 Moritz Wagner +2.2 Wendell Carter Jr. +1.8 Jalen Suggs +1.8 Jamal Cain +1.6 Jonathan Isaac +1.4 Desmond Bane +1.3 Paolo Banchero +0.9 Noah Penda -0.6 Anthony Black -0.7 Jett Howard -1.2 Tristan da Silva -1.5 Jase Richardson -2.0 Jevon Carter -2.5 Tyus Jones -3.6

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 39th

7.5 PPG

Efficiency 98th

68.8% TS

Playmaking 19th

0.9 APG

Rebounding 16th

2.5 RPG

Rim Protection 5th

0.08/min

Hustle 86th

0.13/min

Shot Creation 50th

0% pullup

TO Discipline 94th

0.02/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Extreme volatility and a microscopic margin for error defined Jamal Cain's early-season run. Operating strictly as a deep reserve, his overall value swung wildly depending on whether he stayed within the flow of the offense or tried to do too much in limited minutes. The pitfalls of forcing the issue were glaring on 11/23 vs BOS, where a brutal 1-for-6 shooting performance yielded a disastrous -7.5 impact score. Even when his shots fell, hidden defensive costs often dragged him down. During 01/02 vs CHI, Cain tallied 8 points but still posted a -3.4 impact because of poor closeout technique and late weak-side rotations. Yet, he could occasionally tilt the floor without filling the basket. On 12/23 vs POR, he managed just 4 points but generated a +2.3 impact by relying entirely on elite energy and relentless off-ball activity. If he wants a permanent rotation spot, he must figure out how to bottle that hustle rather than hijacking possessions.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

12 PTS vs PHX

Mar 31 | +17.2 impact

Worst Game

2 PTS vs BOS

Nov 23 | -7.7 impact

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Cain's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 55% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Cain doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -1.0, second-half: +1.8. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Hot right now — 5 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 5 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 49 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.