ORL

2025-26 Season

MORITZ WAGNER

Orlando Magic | Forward-Center | 6-11
Moritz Wagner
7.1 PPG
3.2 RPG
0.7 APG
12.2 MPG
+1.6 Impact

Wagner produces at an above average rate for a 12-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+1.6
Scoring +4.1
Points 7.1 PPG × +1.00 = +7.1
Missed 2PT 1.8/g × -0.78 = -1.4
Missed 3PT 1.4/g × -0.87 = -1.2
Missed FT 0.4/g × -1.00 = -0.4
Creation +1.3
Assists 0.7/g × +0.50 = +0.3
Off. Rebounds 0.8/g × +1.26 = +1.0
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.6/g × -1.95 = -1.2
Defense -0.1
Steals 0.5/g × +2.30 = +1.1
Blocks 0.0/g × +0.90 = +0.0
Def. Rebounds 2.4/g × +0.30 = +0.7
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.2
Contested Shots 1.9/g × +0.20 = +0.4
Deflections 1.1/g × +0.65 = +0.7
Charges Drawn 0.2/g × +2.70 = +0.5
Loose Balls 0.4/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.7/g × +0.30 = +0.2
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.1/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.2
Raw Impact +6.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −4.7
Net Impact
+1.6
71st pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 41th
7.9 PPG
Efficiency 39th
55.4% TS
Playmaking 13th
0.8 APG
Rebounding 38th
3.6 RPG
Rim Protection 39th
0.13/min
Hustle 95th
0.16/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 48th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Moritz Wagner spent this twenty-game stretch weaponizing his energy, turning short rotation stints into high-impact wrecking ball sessions. He thrives on pure, unadulterated chaos. When his offensive touch aligns with that motor, he is downright lethal. He completely dismantled a contender on 02/09 vs MIL, logging an elite +13.4 impact driven by an explosive scoring surge and relentless interior finishing. Even when his shot volume vanishes, he finds ways to tilt the floor. He managed a positive +0.7 impact on 01/28 vs MIA despite scoring just 3 points because he brought essential spacing as a trail big and kept his feet moving defensively. Living on the edge of chaos carries hidden costs, though. Quicker guards ruthlessly targeted him in space on 01/30 vs TOR, bleeding points in drop coverage to saddle him with a rapid -3.1 impact in just three minutes.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Wagner's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~4 points per game.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 40% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Wagner locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +4.8, second-half: -1.4. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 9 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 36 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

B. Portis 41.1 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 9
T. Bryant 24.6 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 4
R. Kalkbrenner 23.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 9
J. Sims 20.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 5
I. Hartenstein 20.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
M. Diabaté 18.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Raynaud 18.7 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 3
O. Ighodaro 17.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 7
J. Landale 17.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 4
R. Gobert 16.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Sims 52.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 8
T. Bryant 25.1 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.24
PTS 6
K. Ware 23.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 5
R. Kalkbrenner 23.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 6
O. Ighodaro 20.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 4
I. Hartenstein 20.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Raynaud 19.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Diabaté 18.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 4
E. Mobley 17.6 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.51
PTS 9
R. Gobert 15.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

33
Games
7.1
PPG
3.2
RPG
0.7
APG
0.5
SPG
0.0
BPG
42.3
FG%
31.8
3P%
81.9
FT%
12.2
MPG

GAME LOG

33 games played