SAC

2025-26 Season

DOUG MCDERMOTT

Sacramento Kings | Forward | 6-7
Doug McDermott
5.7PPG
1.3RPG
0.8APG
15.1MPG
-6.3 Impact

McDermott produces at an poor rate for a 15-minute workload.

·
Embed this player card

Copy & paste this HTML into any page:

The widget updates automatically whenever our data does.

IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.3
Scoring +5.3
Points Scored 5.7 PPG = +5.7
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.2
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.8
Creation +0.2
Assists & Self-Creation 0.8 AST/g + self-creation = +0.2
Turnovers -1.1
Turnovers 0.4/g (live + dead blend) = -1.1
Defense -0.7
Steals 0.2/g = +0.5
Blocks 0.1/g = +0.1
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.3
Hustle & Effort +0.7
Rebounds 1.3 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.2
Contested Shots 1.4/g = +0.3
Deflections 0.2/g = +0.2
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.0
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +4.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.7
Net Impact
-6.3
6th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 28th
6.6 PPG
Efficiency 81th
61.1% TS
Playmaking 15th
0.9 APG
Rebounding 1th
1.4 RPG
Defense 17th
+4.7/g
Hustle 3th
+4.1/g
Creation 9th
+1.21/g
Shot Making 26th
+4.09/g
TO Discipline 87th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Doug McDermott’s first ten games of the season were defined by empty minutes and a frustrating inability to find a rhythm off the bench. When given an extended look during the 01/03 vs PHX matchup, he looked completely out of sorts. He clanked his way to a brutal 1-for-5 shooting night from deep, dragging his impact score down to -13.7. Poor shot selection and an inability to pressure the rim meant that when his jumper wasn't falling, he became an outright liability. His lone bright spot arrived on 12/27 vs DAL, where he hit three triples to scrape out a mildly positive +0.3 impact score. Even with just nine points in that contest, his willingness to grab three rebounds and provide reliable floor spacing kept the offense humming. Unfortunately, that brief flash of utility quickly faded into more invisible outings. He bottomed out entirely on 02/07 vs CLE, logging eight scoreless minutes to earn a dismal -15.7 impact mark because he simply floated on the perimeter without generating any defensive stops.

Doug McDermott’s mid-season stretch was a harsh reminder of the razor-thin margin for error when a player's entire on-court existence revolves around catch-and-shoot threes. When the jumper was pure, as it was on 02/11 vs UTA, he looked exactly like the spacing weapon his team needed. He poured in 14 points on 4-of-8 shooting from deep in just 19 minutes that night, earning a +6.8 Impact by punishing late rotations and stretching the floor. But when the perimeter touch vanished, his value completely cratered. Look no further than his disastrous brief appearance on 03/05 vs NOP, where he missed both of his shots and posted a staggering -15.3 Impact in merely four minutes of action. Heavy minutes couldn't hide his flaws, either. During a 29-minute stint on 03/15 vs UTA, he managed 9 points but dragged the lineup down with a -7.7 Impact. Because he offered almost zero resistance on the defensive end and grabbed just three rebounds, the hidden costs of his one-dimensional game vastly outweighed his mediocre 3-of-8 shooting from beyond the arc.

Doug McDermott’s late-season stretch was defined by a brutal shooting slump and alarmingly empty minutes off the bench. When a perimeter specialist cannot hit shots, the hidden costs of his one-dimensional game drag the entire second unit down. This was glaringly obvious on 04/10 vs GSW, where his jumper completely abandoned him as he missed all five of his field goal attempts. That offensive futility, combined with grabbing just one rebound in 14 minutes of action, resulted in a disastrous -17.1 impact score. He did find a brief rhythm just days earlier on 04/07 vs GSW, draining four three-pointers to rack up 16 points. His aggressive perimeter shooting and a rare willingness to crash the glass for four rebounds earned him a +6.3 impact score in that contest. But those fleeting flashes of offensive life were the exception to the rule. During his 04/03 vs NOP outing, he logged a dreadful 1-for-6 shooting night, generating a dismal -12.2 impact score because his poor shot selection and defensive limitations compounded the damage of his missed attempts.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. McDermott has posted negative impact in 79% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 36% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Average defender. McDermott doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -7.4, second-half: -5.3. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 7 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 76 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Green 27.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
K. Thompson 24.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
K. Knueppel 17.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Williams 14.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
J. Edwards 14.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
J. Miller 14.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
B. Miller 13.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
S. James 12.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2
N. Smith Jr. 12.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Sensabaugh 11.8 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.68
PTS 8

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Green 29.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 6
K. Thompson 26.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 6
B. Mbeng 18.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 2
L. Waters III 17.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
S. James 16.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Williams 15.7 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.64
PTS 10
J. Cain 15.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
J. Hawkins 15.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Miller 13.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Edwards 13.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 3

SEASON STATS

29
Games
5.7
PPG
1.3
RPG
0.8
APG
0.2
SPG
0.1
BPG
38.8
FG%
39.0
3P%
88.9
FT%
15.1
MPG

GAME LOG

29 games played