SAC

2025-26 Season

DOUG MCDERMOTT

Sacramento Kings | Forward | 6-7
Doug McDermott
5.1 PPG
1.1 RPG
0.7 APG
14.0 MPG
-3.5 Impact

McDermott produces at an below average rate for a 14-minute workload. Defensive impact (-1.1/game) is a concern.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-3.5
Scoring +2.8
Points 5.1 PPG × +1.00 = +5.1
Missed 2PT 0.2/g × -0.78 = -0.2
Missed 3PT 2.4/g × -0.87 = -2.1
Missed FT 0.0/g × -1.00 = -0.0
Creation +0.7
Assists 0.7/g × +0.50 = +0.3
Off. Rebounds 0.3/g × +1.26 = +0.4
Turnovers -0.8
Turnovers 0.4/g × -1.95 = -0.8
Defense -1.1
Steals 0.2/g × +2.30 = +0.5
Blocks 0.1/g × +0.90 = +0.1
Def. Rebounds 0.8/g × +0.30 = +0.2
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +0.6
Contested Shots 1.7/g × +0.20 = +0.3
Deflections 0.3/g × +0.65 = +0.2
Loose Balls 0.1/g × +0.60 = +0.1
Raw Impact +2.2
Baseline (game-average expected) −5.7
Net Impact
-3.5
5th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 26th
6.2 PPG
Efficiency 88th
63.1% TS
Playmaking 12th
0.8 APG
Rebounding 2th
1.2 RPG
Rim Protection 1th
0.07/min
Hustle 0th
0.04/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 91th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Doug McDermott's early-season stretch was defined by a frustrating tightrope walk where his entire value hinged on extreme three-point variance. Even when his jumper was falling, as seen on 12/27 vs DAL, his -2.0 impact score revealed the hidden cost of his playing time as opponents relentlessly attacked his defensive limitations. When the perimeter touch vanished, he became practically unplayable. During a brutal 28-minute shift on 03/11 vs CHA, he posted an abysmal -13.5 impact score because bricking open catch-and-shoot looks completely neutralized his only real purpose on the hardwood. He did occasionally flash his vintage sharpshooting form, most notably on 02/11 vs UTA. By burying four triples in that contest, he generated a stellar +7.2 impact mark because his elite gravity fundamentally altered the court's geometry and punished the defense for every late rotation. Ultimately, this highly volatile run exposed him as a one-dimensional specialist who bleeds too much value in space to be trusted with heavy rotation minutes.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. McDermott has posted negative impact in 83% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 40% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Average defender. McDermott doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -1.9, second-half: -5.0. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

In a rough stretch — 6 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 7 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 76 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Green 27.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
K. Thompson 24.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
K. Knueppel 17.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Williams 14.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
J. Edwards 14.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
J. Miller 14.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
B. Miller 13.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
S. James 12.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2
N. Smith Jr. 12.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Sensabaugh 11.8 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.68
PTS 8

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Green 29.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 6
K. Thompson 26.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 6
B. Mbeng 18.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 2
L. Waters III 17.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
S. James 16.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Williams 15.7 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.64
PTS 10
J. Cain 15.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
J. Hawkins 15.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Miller 13.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Edwards 13.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 3

SEASON STATS

24
Games
5.1
PPG
1.1
RPG
0.7
APG
0.2
SPG
0.1
BPG
40.0
FG%
38.9
3P%
100.0
FT%
14.0
MPG

GAME LOG

24 games played