ORL

2025-26 Season

FRANZ WAGNER

Orlando Magic | Forward | 6-10
Franz Wagner
19.9PPG
5.2RPG
3.4APG
29.9MPG
+11.0 Impact

Wagner produces at an elite rate for a 30-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+11.0
Scoring +17.5
Points Scored 19.9 PPG = +19.9
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -6.1
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.7
Creation +1.9
Assists & Self-Creation 3.4 AST/g + self-creation = +1.9
Turnovers -3.7
Turnovers 1.6/g (live + dead blend) = -3.7
Defense +0.6
Steals 1.1/g = +2.5
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.2
Hustle & Effort +4.3
Rebounds 5.2 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +2.1
Contested Shots 3.4/g = +0.7
Deflections 1.6/g = +1.0
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +20.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.6
Net Impact
+11.0
89th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 89th
19.9 PPG
Efficiency 54th
56.8% TS
Playmaking 87th
3.4 APG
Rebounding 69th
5.2 RPG
Defense 74th
+9.2/g
Hustle 42th
+11.4/g
Creation 83th
+3.93/g
Shot Making 80th
+8.18/g
TO Discipline 30th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Franz Wagner opened the 2025-26 campaign riding a relentless hot streak that transformed him into an absolute two-way terror. He dictated the entire flow of the game on 11/01 vs WAS, racking up 25 points, six boards, and six assists to generate a massive +29.1 Impact score. Even when his scoring volume dipped, Wagner found ways to dominate. Take his 11/11 vs POR performance as the perfect example. Despite a quiet 19-point scoring output, he still posted a stellar +15.5 Impact because he crashed the glass for nine rebounds and dished out six assists to keep the offense humming. Contrast that with his lone dud on 11/05 vs ATL, where a respectable 18-point outing masked a negative -0.2 Impact. In that contest, clunky shot selection and an empty 0-for-3 mark from deep actively stalled his team's momentum. This twelve-game run revealed a star who no longer needs a heavy scoring burden to completely wreck an opponent.

This twelve-game stretch was an absolute clinic in two-way dominance, establishing Franz Wagner as a relentless engine who generates winning basketball even when his jump shot abandons him. Look at the 11/29 vs DET matchup. He labored to an inefficient 21 points on 19 shot attempts, missing all three of his three-pointers, yet still posted a massive +22.8 Impact score. That sky-high rating was born entirely from non-scoring value. He unleashed a chaotic flurry of loose-ball recoveries and relentless hustle plays to completely break Detroit's rhythm. Conversely, when his jumper actually connects, he is an unstoppable offensive force. During the 11/22 vs NYK game, Wagner erupted for 37 points on 13-of-19 shooting and dished out seven assists to record an absurd +31.8 Impact score. His scorching run was only halted abruptly during the 12/07 vs NYK rematch, where he logged just seven minutes and a +3.0 Impact score before exiting early.

Franz Wagner's mid-season stretch was defined by a brief, turbulent demotion to the second unit before exploding into an incredibly efficient late-season rhythm as a starter. The nadir of this period hit on 02/11 vs MIL, where a brutal shooting night off the bench yielded a dismal -6.4 impact score. He managed just five points on 1-for-7 shooting and grabbed zero rebounds, actively hurting the team with empty, fruitless possessions. Once reinserted into the starting lineup permanently in April, Wagner caught fire. He peaked on 04/10 vs CHI, pouring in 25 points on a blistering 8-for-13 shooting clip and generating a massive +11.9 impact by punishing defensive rotations. He closed the stretch with an equally impressive +11.6 impact mark on 04/17 vs CHA. Despite a modest 18 points, Wagner created immense value through unselfish playmaking and board control, racking up seven rebounds and six assists to dominate the game without forcing his own offense.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Wagner posts positive impact in 90% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~6 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Wagner consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +15.0, second-half: +7.1. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Hot right now — 9 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 19 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 29 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Daniels 71.5 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 10
J. Brown 64.4 poss
FG% 58.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.31
PTS 20
A. Wiggins 61.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 16
A. Thompson 51.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
M. Buzelis 50.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 5
C. Coward 42.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.24
PTS 10
J. Jaquez Jr. 35.1 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 9
J. Hart 33.9 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.27
PTS 9
O. Anunoby 32.1 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
D. Vassell 29.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Brown 79.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 13
D. Daniels 64.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 5
A. Wiggins 62.4 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 15
O. Anunoby 44.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
J. Giddey 42.2 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 13
C. Cunningham 42.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.52
PTS 22
M. Porter Jr. 39.8 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
K. Durant 38.2 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 11
D. Avdija 36.5 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 5
C. Coward 36.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.42
PTS 15

SEASON STATS

40
Games
19.9
PPG
5.2
RPG
3.4
APG
1.1
SPG
0.3
BPG
47.7
FG%
33.8
3P%
83.1
FT%
29.9
MPG

GAME LOG

40 games played