ORL

2025-26 Season

JEVON CARTER

Orlando Magic | Guard | 6-0
Jevon Carter
6.0PPG
1.6RPG
1.6APG
15.6MPG
-4.2 Impact

Carter produces at an below average rate for a 16-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-4.2
Scoring +5.3
Points Scored 6.0 PPG = +6.0
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.8
Creation +0.3
Assists & Self-Creation 1.6 AST/g + self-creation = +0.3
Turnovers -1.5
Turnovers 0.6/g (live + dead blend) = -1.5
Defense +0.7
Steals 0.7/g = +1.6
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.1
Hustle & Effort +0.9
Rebounds 1.6 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.3
Contested Shots 1.6/g = +0.3
Deflections 1.3/g = +0.8
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +5.7
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.9
Net Impact
-4.2
30th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 31th
7.2 PPG
Efficiency 28th
51.6% TS
Playmaking 32th
1.9 APG
Rebounding 17th
1.9 RPG
Defense 34th
+5.7/g
Hustle 9th
+4.4/g
Creation 14th
+1.58/g
Shot Making 24th
+4.81/g
TO Discipline 77th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jevon Carter’s early 2025-26 campaign was a desperate, largely unsuccessful battle to justify his spot at the end of the rotation. He routinely bled value during his brief shifts on the floor. Look at 11/18 vs DEN, where he poured in a season-high 15 points but registered a meager +0.1 Impact score because of his trigger-happy shot selection, chucking 13 attempts in just 18 minutes. He was much sharper on 11/13 vs DET, hitting all three of his three-pointers to generate a robust +7.2 Impact score through flawless offensive execution. Yet, those efficient nights were incredibly rare. Even when he managed to reach double figures, like his 10-point outing on 11/22 vs MIA, his abysmal 2-for-8 shooting dragged him down to a -4.4 Impact score. You simply cannot survive as a fringe guard in this league when your minutes consistently hurt the team.

Jevon Carter's midseason stretch was defined by a sudden promotion from garbage-time afterthought to heavy rotational minutes, though he rarely rewarded that coaching trust. Take his performance on 02/21 vs PHX, where he logged 33 minutes and scored 15 points. Despite that scoring output, he dragged the team down with a -0.9 Impact score because of brutal shot selection, bricking his way to a 3-for-11 night from beyond the arc. He looked much sharper just two days prior on 02/19 vs SAC. In that contest, Carter posted a +3.8 Impact score by playing within himself, hitting 5 of his 8 shots for 14 points while keeping the offense flowing with four assists. Unfortunately, that efficiency was a fleeting mirage. When his aggression vanished on 02/22 vs LAC, Carter registered an abysmal -8.8 Impact score in 19 minutes because he was completely invisible offensively, attempting just a single field goal and finishing with zero points. Ultimately, Carter is a fringe guard who becomes a massive on-court liability the moment his jumper stops falling.

Jevon Carter's late-season stretch was defined by erratic offensive production that routinely sabotaged his team's momentum. When handed a rare starting nod on 03/23 vs IND, he completely flatlined. He managed just two points on 1-for-5 shooting across 24 minutes, resulting in a dismal -13.3 Impact score as his inability to space the floor bogged down the half-court offense. The bottom fell out entirely on 03/31 vs PHX. Chucking up five missed threes and finishing scoreless, Carter posted a brutal -14.1 Impact score because his rushed shot selection actively fueled opponent transition runs. He occasionally found his rhythm off the bench, notably serving as a flawless spark plug during the 04/08 vs MIN matchup. By hitting all four of his shots—including three triples—he generated a +5.1 Impact score, reminding everyone that his current NBA value hinges entirely on whether his perimeter jumper is actually falling.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Carter has posted negative impact in 77% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 34% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Carter locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -5.0, second-half: -3.4. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

In a rough stretch — 5 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 10 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

C. Gillespie 37.5 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
B. Carrington 36.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
D. Schröder 32.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
R. Nembhard 27.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
T. McConnell 21.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Nesmith 21.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
P. Larsson 21.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.28
PTS 6
B. Mathurin 20.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. Ellis 20.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.24
PTS 5
K. Jakučionis 20.7 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

C. Gillespie 45.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.29
PTS 13
B. Carrington 32.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3
D. Schröder 31.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
B. Mathurin 29.3 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 8
K. Jakučionis 27.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
R. Nembhard 26.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Nembhard 25.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 4
L. Kennard 22.9 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 6
D. Carter 20.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 9
T. McConnell 19.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

57
Games
6.0
PPG
1.6
RPG
1.6
APG
0.7
SPG
0.2
BPG
39.9
FG%
35.9
3P%
78.9
FT%
15.6
MPG

GAME LOG

57 games played