ATL

2025-26 Season

MOUHAMED GUEYE

Atlanta Hawks | Forward | 6-11
Mouhamed Gueye
4.5 PPG
3.6 RPG
0.9 APG
15.4 MPG
+0.4 Impact

Gueye produces at an average rate for a 15-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+0.4
Scoring +2.5
Points 4.5 PPG × +1.00 = +4.5
Missed 2PT 0.9/g × -0.78 = -0.7
Missed 3PT 1.2/g × -0.87 = -1.0
Missed FT 0.3/g × -1.00 = -0.3
Creation +1.6
Assists 0.9/g × +0.50 = +0.5
Off. Rebounds 0.9/g × +1.26 = +1.1
Turnovers -0.8
Turnovers 0.4/g × -1.95 = -0.8
Defense +1.2
Steals 0.8/g × +2.30 = +1.8
Blocks 0.5/g × +0.90 = +0.5
Def. Rebounds 2.7/g × +0.30 = +0.8
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.4
Contested Shots 3.5/g × +0.20 = +0.7
Deflections 1.8/g × +0.65 = +1.2
Loose Balls 0.3/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.7/g × +0.30 = +0.2
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.0/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.1
Raw Impact +6.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −6.5
Net Impact
+0.4
55th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 17th
5.0 PPG
Efficiency 16th
50.2% TS
Playmaking 22th
1.0 APG
Rebounding 47th
3.9 RPG
Rim Protection 88th
0.21/min
Hustle 89th
0.14/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 89th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Mouhamed Gueye's first twenty games were a chaotic pendulum swing between brilliant offensive eruptions and baffling disappearing acts. He reached an absolute apex as a starter on 11/08 vs LAL. Overwhelming the opposing frontcourt, he paired 21 points with seven rebounds and seven assists to generate a massive +9.6 impact score. Yet, that dominant form frequently vanished when he forced the issue. During another start on 10/25 vs OKC, he tallied a respectable 11 points but still posted a -1.9 impact score because the hidden costs of inefficient perimeter shooting and defensive lapses dragged his overall value into the red. Conversely, Gueye found ways to be highly effective even when his scoring completely abandoned him. Look at the 11/22 vs NOP matchup, where he managed just three points but still posted a +2.6 impact by leaning entirely on excellent positional defense and relentless high-motor activity on the glass. This erratic stretch paints a picture of a raw talent still figuring out his optimal NBA diet.

Mouhamed Gueye’s midseason stretch was defined by a maddening tug-of-war between brilliant defensive flashes and complete offensive invisibility. When thrust into the starting lineup on 12/03 vs LAC, his failure to threaten the rim resulted in zero points and a catastrophic -10.6 impact score. He simply vanished. Yet, he could completely flip a game without filling it up, as seen when he posted a massive +11.3 impact on just five points on 01/13 vs LAL. Absolute dominance as a weak-side rim protector drove that positive swing. This elite defensive deterrence easily masked his quiet scoring night. He even found a rare, well-rounded balance on 01/07 vs NOP, logging 10 points, 11 rebounds, and 6 assists while anchoring the team for a +5.4 impact. Ultimately, Gueye remains a highly volatile rotation piece whose utility depends entirely on whether his high-motor closeouts can outweigh his extreme passivity with the basketball.

A maddening inconsistency defined this stretch for Mouhamed Gueye, as he oscillated violently between game-changing energy bursts and total offensive invisibility. When plugged into the starting lineup on 01/31 vs IND, he erupted for 15 points and a massive +8.9 impact score. High-energy rim runs and disruptive defensive positioning drove that stellar rating. Yet, just two days prior on 01/29 vs HOU, brutal interior finishing resulted in a 1-for-8 shooting night that dragged his impact down to a dismal -7.5. He remains entirely capable of swinging a contest without filling up the scoring column. During a brief nine-minute stint on 03/07 vs PHI, Gueye managed just 2 points but still posted a highly positive +4.1 impact score. Relentless motor and outstanding hustle metrics generated that hidden value, compensating for his lack of touches. Gueye is a raw bundle of athletic tools who can dominate the margins or completely stall an offense, making him a fascinating but volatile rotational gamble.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Gueye's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 48% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Gueye consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -0.1, second-half +0.9. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. DeRozan 38.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
P. Siakam 36.1 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
C. Capela 30.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
P. Banchero 28.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
L. Garza 28.4 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.11
PTS 3
J. Duren 27.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
J. Jaquez Jr. 26.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
C. Holmgren 26.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 7
J. Huff 26.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4
S. Mamukelashvili 26.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. DeRozan 42.4 poss
FG% 58.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.42
PTS 18
P. Siakam 40.3 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 12
P. Banchero 38.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.03
PTS 1
Z. Williamson 31.8 poss
FG% 87.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.47
PTS 15
B. Ingram 28.2 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
J. Duren 27.3 poss
FG% 87.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.51
PTS 14
K. Ware 27.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
L. Garza 25.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
C. Capela 25.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 1
J. Jaquez Jr. 24.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3

SEASON STATS

74
Games
4.5
PPG
3.6
RPG
0.9
APG
0.8
SPG
0.5
BPG
45.4
FG%
30.6
3P%
64.5
FT%
15.4
MPG

GAME LOG

74 games played