2025-26 Season
DUNCAN ROBINSON
2025-26 Season
DUNCAN ROBINSON
Robinson produces at an below average rate for a 28-minute workload.
About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works
TEAM COMPARISON
of 15 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Duncan Robinson’s opening stretch of the 2025-26 season was defined by extreme volatility, oscillating wildly between lethal off-ball gravity and glaring defensive liabilities. His campaign began with an absolute thud on 10/22 vs CHI, where a miserable 0-for-5 night from deep yielded a catastrophic -20.8 impact score as he failed to generate any offensive rhythm. He eventually found his stroke, peaking on 11/12 vs CHI when he poured in 23 points on 7-of-10 shooting from beyond the arc. That scorching efficiency created a +5.0 impact score, because his constant off-ball motion warped the opposing defensive shell and opened massive driving lanes for his teammates. Yet, even when his shot was falling, hidden costs frequently dragged his overall value into the red. During the 10/29 vs ORL matchup, Robinson tallied a highly efficient 15 points on 4-of-6 three-point shooting, but unseen mistakes resulted in a frustrating -2.6 impact score. Opposing wings ruthlessly hunted him in pick-and-roll switches all month, bleeding points that frequently erased the undeniable value of his elite perimeter spacing.
A volatile shooting slump laid bare the glaring hidden costs of keeping Duncan Robinson on the floor. When his outside shot abandoned him, his overall value plummeted into the abyss. This was painfully obvious on 01/23 vs HOU, where a frigid 2-for-8 night from deep resulted in a staggering -12.2 impact score. His defense remained a massive liability. Even when he scored reasonably well, opponents ruthlessly hunted him to bleed his value dry, like on 01/25 vs SAC where his 13 points were erased by isolation targeting for a -4.2 impact. He wasn't entirely useless. During his 01/17 vs IND appearance, his lethal perimeter marksmanship stretched the defense to its breaking point, generating a robust +7.3 impact score on just 16 points. Ultimately, this stretch revealed a highly vulnerable specialist who completely craters your lineup the second his jumper stops falling.
Extreme volatility and a terrifying reliance on perimeter efficiency defined this chaotic stretch of the season for Duncan Robinson. Even when his raw scoring totals looked impressive, hidden costs frequently dragged down his overall value. On 02/05 vs WAS, he dropped 21 points but posted a -1.2 impact score because his missed deep shots constantly fueled opponent fast breaks. He occasionally managed to keep his head above water when the shot wasn't falling by locking in on the other end of the floor. During the 02/01 vs BKN matchup, Robinson scored just 8 points but still managed a +0.5 impact by showing surprising defensive discipline while navigating off-ball screens. Unfortunately, those gritty moments were often erased by total offensive freeze-outs. His value absolutely cratered to a -14.4 impact on 03/01 vs ORL after he missed all four of his perimeter looks and failed to score a single point. When his jumper abandons him, defenders simply cheat off his assignments and blow up the entire offensive scheme.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Inconsistent. Robinson has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~5 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 50% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Robinson locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.
Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 4 games. Longest cold streak: 6 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
73 games played