MIL

2025-26 Season

GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO

Milwaukee Bucks | Forward | 6-11
Giannis Antetokounmpo
27.6PPG
9.8RPG
5.4APG
28.9MPG
+20.1 Impact

Antetokounmpo produces at an elite rate for a 29-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+20.1
Scoring +24.6
Points Scored 27.6 PPG = +27.6
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -6.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.4
Creation +3.1
Assists & Self-Creation 5.4 AST/g + self-creation = +3.1
Turnovers -7.5
Turnovers 3.2/g (live + dead blend) = -7.5
Defense +1.1
Steals 0.9/g = +2.1
Blocks 0.7/g = +0.6
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.6
Hustle & Effort +9.3
Rebounds 9.8 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +6.5
Contested Shots 4.1/g = +0.8
Deflections 1.9/g = +1.2
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.6/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 1.5/g = +0.5
Raw Impact +30.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.5
Net Impact
+20.1
98th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 99th
28.3 PPG
Efficiency 96th
66.4% TS
Playmaking 96th
5.6 APG
Rebounding 97th
10.0 RPG
Defense 74th
+9.2/g
Hustle 93th
+21.5/g
Creation 98th
+5.57/g
Shot Making 60th
+6.59/g
TO Discipline 1th
0.11/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Giannis Antetokounmpo opened the 2025-26 season on a terrifying hot streak, bludgeoning opponents with relentless rim pressure and pristine shot selection. He simply could not be stopped around the basket. On 10/26 vs CLE, he decimated the interior defense to the tune of 40 points, 14 rebounds, and 9 assists on 14-of-20 shooting. That hyper-efficient scoring, paired with suffocating defensive effort and constant hustle, earned him a gargantuan Impact:+44.4 rating. Even on quieter offensive nights, his sheer gravity kept his overall value incredibly high. Look at his 11/05 vs TOR performance, where he scored a modest 22 points but still posted an Impact:+20.5 because of his relentless hustle plays and efficient execution. Conversely, a massive box score did not always guarantee an elite grade. During the 11/15 vs CHA matchup, he dished out a staggering 18 assists alongside 25 points, yet his rating dropped to a stretch-low Impact:+9.5 because hidden costs like sloppy turnovers dragged down his nightly value.

Unrelenting, hyper-efficient rim pressure defined this twelve-game stretch for Giannis Antetokounmpo. He absolutely terrorized the Nets on 11/30 vs BKN. Pouring in 29 points in a mere 19 minutes, he posted a spectacular +31.6 impact score because of flawless shot selection and an unstoppable 12-for-15 shooting clip. The only true blemish during this run occurred on 12/04 vs DET, where he abruptly exited after logging just three minutes. He finished with a mere two points and a -7.0 impact, as his sudden absence completely derailed the rotation and left a massive void on the floor. He quickly returned to form. By the time he took the court on 01/05 vs SAC, he was back to bullying defenders for 37 points and 11 rebounds. He generated a massive +31.0 impact in that contest by ruthlessly attacking the paint on 13-of-17 shooting instead of settling for low-percentage jumpers.

Giannis Antetokounmpo spent this mid-season stretch morphing from a sheer battering ram into a surgical offensive hub. During the 01/12 vs DEN matchup, he completely dismantled the defense with 31 points and 11 assists on just 17 shot attempts. That generated a massive +22.8 Impact, driven heavily by unselfish playmaking and elite shot selection. He found entirely different ways to break the same team weeks later on 01/24 vs DEN. Attempting a mere eight shots from the floor, he still managed to score 22 points. Despite the incredibly low shooting volume, he posted a +16.6 Impact by dominating the glass with 13 rebounds and suffocating opponents on the defensive end. Raw scoring alone rarely dictated his true value. This was glaringly obvious during the 01/14 vs MIN game, where he poured in 25 points on 9-of-13 shooting, but severe defensive lapses and empty possessions dragged his overall influence down to a pedestrian +2.1 Impact.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Antetokounmpo posts positive impact in 97% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~8 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 97% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Defensive difference-maker. Antetokounmpo consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +22.7, second-half: +17.4. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Hot right now — 19 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 19 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 36 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

M. Bridges 88.9 poss
FG% 47.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 19
B. Coulibaly 75.5 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 23
S. Barnes 69.8 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 9
O. Okongwu 62.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.46
PTS 29
A. Gordon 59.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.36
PTS 21
D. Ayton 56.0 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.46
PTS 26
J. Hart 48.7 poss
FG% 83.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.43
PTS 21
D. Sabonis 47.1 poss
FG% 58.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.4
PTS 19
L. Dort 45.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 11
P. Siakam 45.8 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 14

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

M. Bridges 83.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.28
PTS 23
J. Johnson 63.3 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 5
S. Barnes 62.5 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 12
D. DeRozan 52.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
K. Middleton 49.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
B. Coulibaly 46.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 8
E. Mobley 41.8 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 7
K. Towns 40.9 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
A. Gordon 38.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 9
P. Siakam 37.4 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 8

SEASON STATS

36
Games
27.6
PPG
9.8
RPG
5.4
APG
0.9
SPG
0.7
BPG
62.4
FG%
33.3
3P%
65.0
FT%
28.9
MPG

GAME LOG

36 games played