SAC

2025-26 Season

DEMAR DEROZAN

Sacramento Kings | Guard-Forward | 6-6
DeMar DeRozan
18.4PPG
2.9RPG
4.1APG
31.2MPG
+9.0 Impact

DeRozan produces at an elite rate for a 31-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+9.0
Scoring +17.4
Points Scored 18.4 PPG = +18.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -4.7
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.7
Creation +1.6
Assists & Self-Creation 4.1 AST/g + self-creation = +1.6
Turnovers -2.9
Turnovers 1.2/g (live + dead blend) = -2.9
Defense +0.8
Steals 1.0/g = +2.3
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.8
Hustle & Effort +1.7
Rebounds 2.9 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.3
Contested Shots 2.8/g = +0.6
Deflections 1.6/g = +1.0
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +18.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.6
Net Impact
+9.0
91st pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 87th
18.4 PPG
Efficiency 80th
58.4% TS
Playmaking 78th
4.1 APG
Rebounding 53th
2.9 RPG
Defense 93th
+11.8/g
Hustle 27th
+6.7/g
Creation 92th
+4.95/g
Shot Making 82th
+8.76/g
TO Discipline 75th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

DeMar DeRozan opened the 2025-26 campaign operating as a ruthless, highly efficient offensive engine who dictated the pace of every possession. He immediately set the tone on 10/22 vs PHX, dissecting the defense for 29 points and nine assists on blistering 12-for-17 shooting to post a massive +29.0 Impact score. Even when his shot abandoned him, the veteran found ways to keep the offense humming. During a quiet seven-point outing on 10/24 vs UTA, DeRozan still managed a +0.4 Impact by pivoting into a facilitator role and grinding out extra possessions with gritty defensive effort. He wasn't entirely immune to off nights, however. When his jumper went flat on 11/27 vs PHX, his inefficient 4-for-11 shooting and inability to stretch the floor dragged him down to a -6.3 Impact. Ultimately, this stretch revealed a master craftsman who still knows exactly how to manipulate coverages with pure guile.

This mid-season stretch was defined by wild swings between surgical offensive masterclasses and bizarre disappearing acts. When he was dialed in, his shot selection was utterly ruthless. He peaked during the 01/13 vs LAL matchup, burying 14 of his 19 attempts for 32 points and a massive +31.2 Impact score. That elite efficiency and crisp playmaking made him completely unguardable in isolation. Yet even when his jumper abandoned him, he occasionally found ways to contribute to winning basketball. During the 12/27 vs DAL contest, DeRozan managed a meager 9 points on brutal 3-for-10 shooting, but still dragged his Impact up to +2.7 by shifting into a pure facilitator role with 6 assists and grinding out unglamorous hustle plays. The same grace could not be applied to his 01/30 vs BOS disaster. He sleepwalked to just 6 points on 2-for-10 shooting, logging a dismal -7.3 Impact as forced shots and a complete lack of rebounding dragged the entire offense into the mud.

This late-season stretch for DeMar DeRozan was defined by whiplash-inducing swings between brutal shooting slumps and vintage mid-range masterclasses. Early on, his offense completely cratered. During the 02/09 vs NOP matchup, he forced contested jumpers and finished with just eight points on 3-of-11 shooting. That stagnant shot selection and inability to generate offensive flow dragged him down to a dismal -9.7 impact score. He flipped the script entirely a month later. Carving up the defense with surgical precision on 03/11 vs CHA, DeRozan poured in 39 points on a staggering 17-of-22 from the floor to earn a massive +33.8 impact score. He was just as lethal on 03/15 vs UTA, dropping 41 points and 11 assists for a +31.0 impact score because his brilliant playmaking actively punished defensive rotations.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. DeRozan posts positive impact in 78% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~9 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 64% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. DeRozan doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +10.7, second-half: +7.4. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 13 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Brooks 85.6 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 8
T. Camara 85.3 poss
FG% 52.9%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 20
K. Durant 80.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 17
J. Randle 79.3 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 12
R. O'Neale 76.8 poss
FG% 72.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 20
L. Markkanen 71.5 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 7
J. McDaniels 61.6 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 17
L. Dort 58.0 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 7
P. Watson 56.9 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 17
A. Edwards 56.5 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 9

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Smith Jr. 103.2 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.09
PTS 9
J. McDaniels 99.5 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.15
PTS 15
R. O'Neale 79.2 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 22.2%
PPP 0.08
PTS 6
J. Wells 77.8 poss
FG% 76.9%
3P% 83.3%
PPP 0.36
PTS 28
R. Hachimura 63.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 5
T. Camara 57.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
L. Dort 57.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 4
A. Wiggins 54.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 7
C. Johnson 53.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 4
D. Brooks 52.8 poss
FG% 58.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 16

SEASON STATS

77
Games
18.4
PPG
2.9
RPG
4.1
APG
1.0
SPG
0.3
BPG
49.7
FG%
32.0
3P%
86.8
FT%
31.2
MPG

GAME LOG

77 games played