MIA

2025-26 Season

ANDREW WIGGINS

Miami Heat | Forward | 6-6
Andrew Wiggins
15.5PPG
4.9RPG
2.7APG
30.5MPG
+6.6 Impact

Wiggins produces at an elite rate for a 30-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+6.6
Scoring +14.1
Points Scored 15.5 PPG = +15.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -4.9
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.5
Creation +0.9
Assists & Self-Creation 2.7 AST/g + self-creation = +0.9
Turnovers -3.4
Turnovers 1.5/g (live + dead blend) = -3.4
Defense +0.5
Steals 1.1/g = +2.5
Blocks 1.0/g = +0.9
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.9
Hustle & Effort +4.6
Rebounds 4.9 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.6
Contested Shots 7.1/g = +1.4
Deflections 2.0/g = +1.3
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.6/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +16.7
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.1
Net Impact
+6.6
80th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 79th
15.5 PPG
Efficiency 69th
58.9% TS
Playmaking 78th
2.7 APG
Rebounding 60th
4.9 RPG
Defense 67th
+8.1/g
Hustle 53th
+12.7/g
Creation 72th
+3.15/g
Shot Making 70th
+7.27/g
TO Discipline 46th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Andrew Wiggins opened the 2025-26 campaign as a volatile pendulum, swinging wildly between hyper-efficient offensive explosions and agonizingly flat shooting slumps. When he dialed in his shot selection, he was devastating. He peaked on 11/30 vs DET with a 31-point clinic on 10-of-15 shooting, generating a massive +30.8 Impact score through sheer offensive efficiency. Yet, that brilliant ceiling was repeatedly undermined by nights where he forced contested jumpers and hijacked the offense. Look no further than 11/18 vs NYK, where a disastrous 3-for-15 shooting performance yielded just six points and a brutal -12.2 Impact score. He occasionally salvaged his value when the jumper vanished, however. During his 10/24 vs MEM outing, Wiggins managed a +5.7 Impact score despite scoring only 10 points because he crashed the glass for seven rebounds and maintained strict offensive discipline. This stretch paints a picture of a maddeningly inconsistent wing whose nightly value lives and dies by his willingness to stop forcing bad shots.

A violent rollercoaster of offensive efficiency defined this midseason stretch for Andrew Wiggins. Look at his flawless performance on 12/28 vs IND, where he poured in 28 points on 12-of-16 shooting while hitting all four of his three-point attempts. His massive +31.2 impact score that night stemmed directly from elite shot selection and hyper-efficient scoring. Just weeks later, the bottom fell out entirely. During a dismal outing on 01/14 vs PHX, Wiggins bricked all five of his threes and shot 2-of-11 from the floor, resulting in a -4.5 impact score as his forced jumpers actively harmed the offense. Yet, even when his shot abandoned him, he occasionally found ways to salvage his minutes. Take the 12/19 vs BKN matchup, where a brutal 10-point, 3-of-11 shooting night was offset by relentless defensive effort and physical hustle, allowing him to scrape out a +1.5 impact. He remains a wildly frustrating enigma.

Andrew Wiggins defined this late-season stretch with a maddening volatility, swinging wildly between hyper-efficient dominance and complete disappearing acts. When fully engaged, he looked utterly unstoppable. On 02/21 vs MEM, he poured in 28 points on near-perfect 9-for-10 shooting to generate a massive +30.2 Impact score. That elite rating stemmed directly from flawless shot selection and punishing perimeter execution, as he hit all four of his three-point attempts while actively crashing the glass for seven rebounds. Even when his jumper went cold, he occasionally found ways to drive winning basketball. He ground out a +8.4 Impact score on 02/28 vs HOU despite scoring just 12 points because he committed to hard defensive rotations and steady playmaking. Sadly, that reliable effort completely evaporated by April. He bottomed out on 04/12 vs ATL with a dismal -8.3 Impact score, dragging his team down through forced, contested jumpers that resulted in an ugly 1-for-9 shooting line and a total lack of rebounding urgency.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Wiggins posts positive impact in 75% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~6 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 57% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Wiggins consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 17 games. Longest cold streak: 3 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 70 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

P. Banchero 79.5 poss
FG% 63.6%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.24
PTS 19
B. Ingram 72.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.12
PTS 9
M. Porter Jr. 69.2 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 10
M. Bridges 66.7 poss
FG% 18.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 4
F. Wagner 62.4 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 15
M. Buzelis 60.0 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.23
PTS 14
J. Harden 58.7 poss
FG% 72.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 20
D. DeRozan 54.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 7
J. Hart 52.0 poss
FG% 26.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.19
PTS 10
K. Kuzma 49.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

M. Porter Jr. 98.8 poss
FG% 28.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 21
P. Banchero 83.2 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 30
M. Buzelis 68.8 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 10
M. Bridges 67.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.31
PTS 21
K. Leonard 64.7 poss
FG% 21.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 14
F. Wagner 61.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 16
P. Siakam 55.8 poss
FG% 38.9%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 17
J. Brown 55.1 poss
FG% 31.6%
3P% 22.2%
PPP 0.25
PTS 14
FG% 28.6%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 10
K. Towns 52.3 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.4
PTS 21

SEASON STATS

69
Games
15.5
PPG
4.9
RPG
2.7
APG
1.1
SPG
1.0
BPG
47.7
FG%
41.6
3P%
78.8
FT%
30.5
MPG

GAME LOG

69 games played