MIL

2025-26 Season

KEVIN PORTER JR.

Milwaukee Bucks | Guard-Forward | 6-5
Kevin Porter Jr.
17.4PPG
5.2RPG
7.4APG
33.2MPG
+8.0 Impact

Jr. produces at an elite rate for a 33-minute workload. Elite defensive value (+3.4/game) is a major strength.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+8.0
Scoring +15.2
Points Scored 17.4 PPG = +17.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -5.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.4
Creation +2.3
Assists & Self-Creation 7.4 AST/g + self-creation = +2.3
Turnovers -6.7
Turnovers 2.9/g (live + dead blend) = -6.7
Defense +3.4
Steals 2.2/g = +5.1
Blocks 0.5/g = +0.5
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.2
Hustle & Effort +3.8
Rebounds 5.2 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.2
Contested Shots 5.0/g = +1.0
Deflections 3.7/g = +2.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 1.0/g = +0.6
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +18.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.0
Net Impact
+8.0
88th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 85th
17.4 PPG
Efficiency 63th
55.9% TS
Playmaking 97th
7.4 APG
Rebounding 92th
5.2 RPG
Defense 84th
+10.5/g
Hustle 77th
+11.7/g
Creation 88th
+4.64/g
Shot Making 77th
+8.36/g
TO Discipline 15th
0.09/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Kevin Porter Jr.'s opening stretch of the 2025-26 season was a wildly volatile rollercoaster of brilliant shot-making and costly inefficiency. When he locks in, Porter is an absolute flamethrower. Look no further than 12/07 vs DET, where he erupted for 32 points on a blistering 7-of-9 from deep, generating a massive +41.0 Impact score through pristine shot selection and relentless offensive pressure. Yet, the familiar ghosts of erratic play still haunt him. During 12/19 vs TOR, he stuffed the stat sheet with 22 points and 13 assists, but posted a -3.7 Impact score because his clunky 7-for-18 shooting and forced offensive decision-making acted as hidden costs that dragged down the team. Fortunately, he is finally learning how to salvage his bad shooting nights. During 12/28 vs CHI, he managed a +0.3 Impact score despite scoring just 8 points on a dismal 3-of-10 from the floor. He kept his head above water by crashing the glass for 6 rebounds and distributing 9 assists, adding essential non-scoring value through gritty defensive effort and hustle plays.

Kevin Porter Jr.'s midwinter stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency that ultimately forced a brief, humbling demotion to the bench. Even when his traditional box score looked acceptable, hidden costs dragged him down. Take his 15-point, nine-assist outing on 01/08 vs GSW. Despite shooting an efficient 7-for-12 from the floor, he registered a -4.0 Impact score due to lazy defensive closeouts and ill-timed turnovers that ruined his team's offensive flow. The wheels completely fell off during a disastrous start on 01/16 vs SAS, where he bricked all nine of his shots to post a brutal -14.5 Impact score. That scoreless nightmare earned him a two-game stint with the reserves, a wake-up call that seemingly recalibrated his focus. Reinserted into the starting lineup on 02/06 vs IND, Porter Jr. erupted for 23 points and eight assists, generating a massive +21.0 Impact score. He earned that towering metric by finally pairing his aggressive downhill scoring with relentless, engaged hustle on the defensive end.

Kevin Porter Jr.'s mid-season stretch was defined by a scorching offensive peak that abruptly crashed into a freezing shooting slump. He looked utterly unstoppable during the 02/24 vs MIA matchup. Pouring in 32 points, he generated a massive +30.9 Impact score because his crisp shot selection and relentless downhill pressure completely broke the defense apart. The magic wore off quickly. Just a week later, during the 03/01 vs CHI contest, Porter's decision-making devolved into a series of forced, contested clanks. He shot a dismal 4-for-16 from the floor for just 10 points, dragging his overall influence down to a -5.3 Impact score as his offensive inefficiency suffocated the team's rhythm. He desperately needs to rediscover the gritty, unselfish style he played earlier in the month to survive these cold spells. During the 02/11 vs ORL game, for example, his jumper failed him on an ugly 5-for-14 shooting night, yet he still posted a +12.5 Impact by dominating the margins with ten rebounds and eleven assists.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Jr. has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~8 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 58% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Jr. consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 9 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 38 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Nembhard 54.8 poss
FG% 83.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.27
PTS 15
A. Thompson 51.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 16
A. Black 43.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 6
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 6
D. Mitchell 42.6 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 12
C. McCollum 39.4 poss
FG% 72.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.51
PTS 20
J. McDaniels 38.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.21
PTS 8
D. Schröder 36.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 10
S. James 32.6 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.15
PTS 5
B. Carrington 30.9 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.49
PTS 15

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

C. McCollum 72.1 poss
FG% 38.9%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.28
PTS 20
D. Bane 48.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 11
A. Nembhard 41.3 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 9
D. Mitchell 36.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. White 35.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 5
J. McDaniels 33.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.03
PTS 1
Z. LaVine 33.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
C. Cunningham 32.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 4
L. Dončić 32.7 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.31
PTS 10
B. Miller 31.5 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.48
PTS 15

SEASON STATS

38
Games
17.4
PPG
5.2
RPG
7.4
APG
2.2
SPG
0.5
BPG
46.5
FG%
32.2
3P%
87.8
FT%
33.2
MPG

GAME LOG

38 games played