MIL

2025-26 Season

KEVIN PORTER JR.

Milwaukee Bucks | Guard-Forward | 6-5
Kevin Porter Jr.
17.4 PPG
5.2 RPG
7.4 APG
33.2 MPG
+3.6 Impact

Jr. produces at an above average rate for a 33-minute workload. 2.9 turnovers per game cost 5.7 points of value nightly. Elite defensive value (+4.9/game) is a major strength.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+3.6
Scoring +10.9
Points 17.4 PPG × +1.00 = +17.4
Missed 2PT 4.7/g × -0.78 = -3.7
Missed 3PT 2.6/g × -0.87 = -2.3
Missed FT 0.5/g × -1.00 = -0.5
Creation +5.3
Assists 7.4/g × +0.50 = +3.7
Off. Rebounds 1.3/g × +1.26 = +1.6
Turnovers -5.7
Turnovers 2.9/g × -1.95 = -5.7
Defense +4.9
Steals 2.2/g × +2.30 = +5.1
Blocks 0.5/g × +0.90 = +0.5
Def. Rebounds 3.9/g × +0.30 = +1.2
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +4.0
Contested Shots 5.1/g × +0.20 = +1.0
Deflections 3.7/g × +0.65 = +2.4
Loose Balls 1.0/g × +0.60 = +0.6
Raw Impact +19.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −15.8
Net Impact
+3.6
94th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 236 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 84th
17.4 PPG
Efficiency 58th
55.9% TS
Playmaking 97th
7.4 APG
Rebounding 90th
5.2 RPG
Rim Protection 95th
0.19/min
Hustle 74th
0.12/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 13th
0.09/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A dizzying pendulum swing between offensive brilliance and self-sabotaging hero ball defined Kevin Porter Jr.'s first twenty games. When he operated within the flow of the offense, he was utterly lethal. He peaked on 12/06 vs DET with an absolute masterclass of elite decision-making and lethal three-point shooting, yielding 32 points and a staggering +31.0 impact score. Yet, his worst tendencies often dragged the offense into the mud. Look no further than 12/18 vs TOR, where his flashy 22 points and 13 assists masked a damaging -6.6 impact score because predictable isolation drives and an inefficient 7-for-18 shooting night killed the team's rhythm. Conversely, there were nights where his jumper completely abandoned him, forcing him to find alternative ways to survive on the floor. During a brutal 4-for-17 shooting performance on 01/11 vs DEN, Porter Jr. scored just 10 points but managed to salvage a +0.2 impact by pouring his energy into point-of-attack defense and securing nine rebounds. He remains a tantalizing talent, but his erratic shot selection and over-dribbling must be curbed for him to become a reliable winner.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Jr. has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~8 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 58% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Jr. consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 38 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Nembhard 54.8 poss
FG% 83.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.27
PTS 15
A. Thompson 51.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 16
A. Black 43.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 6
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 6
D. Mitchell 42.6 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 12
C. McCollum 39.4 poss
FG% 72.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.51
PTS 20
J. McDaniels 38.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.21
PTS 8
D. Schröder 36.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 10
S. James 32.6 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.15
PTS 5
B. Carrington 30.9 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.49
PTS 15

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

C. McCollum 72.1 poss
FG% 38.9%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.28
PTS 20
D. Bane 48.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 11
A. Nembhard 41.3 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 9
D. Mitchell 36.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. White 35.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 5
J. McDaniels 33.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.03
PTS 1
Z. LaVine 33.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
C. Cunningham 32.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 4
L. Dončić 32.7 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.31
PTS 10
B. Miller 31.5 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.48
PTS 15

SEASON STATS

38
Games
17.4
PPG
5.2
RPG
7.4
APG
2.2
SPG
0.5
BPG
46.5
FG%
32.2
3P%
87.8
FT%
33.2
MPG

GAME LOG

38 games played