SAC

2025-26 Season

KEEGAN MURRAY

Sacramento Kings | Forward | 6-8
Keegan Murray
14.0 PPG
5.7 RPG
1.7 APG
34.5 MPG
-1.7 Impact

Murray produces at an below average rate for a 34-minute workload. Elite defensive value (+3.1/game) is a major strength.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.7
Scoring +7.3
Points 14.0 PPG × +1.00 = +14.0
Missed 2PT 4.0/g × -0.78 = -3.1
Missed 3PT 3.5/g × -0.87 = -3.1
Missed FT 0.5/g × -1.00 = -0.5
Creation +2.6
Assists 1.7/g × +0.50 = +0.8
Off. Rebounds 1.4/g × +1.26 = +1.8
Turnovers -2.3
Turnovers 1.2/g × -1.95 = -2.3
Defense +3.1
Steals 1.0/g × +2.30 = +2.3
Blocks 1.6/g × +0.90 = +1.4
Def. Rebounds 4.3/g × +0.30 = +1.3
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.5
Contested Shots 7.8/g × +0.20 = +1.6
Deflections 2.2/g × +0.65 = +1.4
Loose Balls 0.5/g × +0.60 = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.3/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.0/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.1
Raw Impact +14.2
Baseline (game-average expected) −15.9
Net Impact
-1.7
26th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 73th
14.0 PPG
Efficiency 9th
47.6% TS
Playmaking 53th
1.7 APG
Rebounding 79th
5.7 RPG
Rim Protection 73th
0.17/min
Hustle 50th
0.10/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 82th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Maddening inconsistency defined Keegan Murray's early-season stretch, turning his nightly value into a complete roll of the dice based on his wildly fluctuating perimeter jumper. When he engaged physically, he looked unstoppable. He dominated 11/24 vs MIN with 26 points and 14 rebounds, posting a massive +16.3 impact score driven by a relentless paint presence and highly efficient shooting. He could also salvage an ugly offensive night with sheer grit, as seen on 11/30 vs MEM. Despite scoring a modest 12 points and missing all four of his three-pointers, he still recorded a +9.2 impact because elite defensive metrics and lockdown perimeter coverage completely outweighed his shooting woes. Yet, raw point totals often masked the hidden costs dragging down his game on other nights. During 02/19 vs ORL, Murray tallied a respectable 15 points but finished with a -4.7 impact, as untimely missed rotations and transition defensive lapses quietly bled away his actual on-court value.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Murray's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 48% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Murray consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +0.7, second-half: -4.0. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 32 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Booker 57.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 13
J. Smith Jr. 47.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
D. Avdija 42.9 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10
J. McDaniels 38.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. Durant 36.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
K. Murray 33.6 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 5
C. Johnson 31.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
C. Spencer 30.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
D. DiVincenzo 29.9 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 7
J. Murray 29.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

K. Durant 64.8 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 16
D. Avdija 58.8 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 15
D. Booker 58.3 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 9
J. Randle 52.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 11
J. Murray 51.8 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 11
L. Markkanen 45.8 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
A. Thompson 35.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
T. Camara 35.7 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
N. Powell 31.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 7
J. Jackson Jr. 28.1 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 9

SEASON STATS

23
Games
14.0
PPG
5.7
RPG
1.7
APG
1.0
SPG
1.6
BPG
42.0
FG%
27.7
3P%
77.6
FT%
34.5
MPG

GAME LOG

23 games played