UTA

2025-26 Season

ISAIAH COLLIER

Utah Jazz | Guard | 6-4
Isaiah Collier
11.7PPG
2.5RPG
7.2APG
25.7MPG
-3.6 Impact

Collier produces at an below average rate for a 26-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-3.6
Scoring +10.3
Points Scored 11.7 PPG = +11.7
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -3.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.2
Creation +1.7
Assists & Self-Creation 7.2 AST/g + self-creation = +1.7
Turnovers -5.8
Turnovers 2.5/g (live + dead blend) = -5.8
Defense +0.7
Steals 1.1/g = +2.5
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.1
Hustle & Effort +1.3
Rebounds 2.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.6
Contested Shots 2.5/g = +0.5
Deflections 1.7/g = +1.1
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +8.2
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.8
Net Impact
-3.6
36th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 62th
11.7 PPG
Efficiency 66th
56.6% TS
Playmaking 96th
7.2 APG
Rebounding 42th
2.5 RPG
Defense 69th
+9.2/g
Hustle 22th
+6.3/g
Creation 96th
+5.64/g
Shot Making 37th
+5.73/g
TO Discipline 9th
0.10/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Isaiah Collier’s first twenty games were defined by a jarring demotion to the bench and a stark lesson in the difference between empty counting stats and actual winning basketball. On paper, his performance on 12/19 vs LAL looks like a playmaking masterclass with 18 points and 13 assists. Yet that outing yielded a -3.6 Impact score, exposing how his flashy passing often came packaged with defensive lapses and reckless turnovers that fueled opponent transition runs. A similar mirage occurred on 11/12 vs IND, where an impressive 14-point, 11-assist double-double dragged the team down to a -3.2 Impact because he bled points on the defensive end. He finally flipped the script on 12/06 vs NYK. While his 13 points and seven assists were modest compared to his peak nights, he posted a +4.8 Impact by taking highly efficient shots and actually locking into his defensive assignments rather than gambling in the passing lanes. Until he stops trading defensive integrity for highlight-reel dimes, Collier will remain a backup guard whose raw production rarely translates to actual team success.

This stretch of the season was defined by erratic spot starts and a frustrating disconnect between raw box score production and actual winning basketball. Look at his start on 01/02 vs LAC, where Collier racked up a shiny 16 points and 10 assists but still posted a -1.4 Impact score. Despite the double-double, defensive lapses and empty-calorie possessions dragged down his overall effectiveness when running the primary offense. Conversely, he actually helped the team more on 01/04 vs GSW with just 8 points and 7 assists. In that bench appearance, his +1.1 Impact score stemmed entirely from locked-in defensive rotations and gritty hustle plays rather than offensive volume. He finally put both ends of the floor together on 01/21 vs MIN, orchestrating the second unit beautifully for 18 points and 10 assists on an efficient 7-of-10 shooting. That +6.6 Impact rating against Minnesota revealed exactly what Collier can be when he stops hunting highlights and commits to fundamental, two-way playmaking.

Isaiah Collier spent the middle of his season oscillating wildly between brilliant floor general and chaotic volume shooter, constantly bouncing in and out of the starting lineup. Look no further than his exhausting 48-minute marathon on 02/03 vs IND, where he racked up an eye-popping 17 points and 22 assists but managed a barely-positive +0.5 impact. Despite those gaudy counting stats, his actual value was heavily muted by a rough 6-for-16 shooting night and the hidden costs of reckless turnovers that gave possessions right back to the opponent. The downside of his aggressive style reared its head again on 02/26 vs NOP, where a seemingly respectable 11 points and 7 assists masked a dreadful -10.7 impact ruined by defensive breakdowns and sloppy half-court execution. Yet, when he actually reined in his shot selection, the results were devastating. During a start on 03/05 vs WAS, Collier carved up the defense for 27 points and 11 assists on an efficient 11-of-18 from the floor, generating a dominant +12.2 impact. He clearly possesses elite playmaking vision, but he must learn to trim the fat from his game to become a truly reliable offensive engine.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. Collier has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~6 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 70% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Average defender. Collier doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -7.7, second-half: +0.3. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 4 games. Longest cold streak: 13 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 67 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Camara 44.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
R. Nembhard 44.5 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
D. Daniels 41.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
K. Jones 41.0 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
B. Williams 39.6 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
D. Harper 39.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
K. Dunn 34.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3
J. McDaniels 32.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 4
A. Thompson 31.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
A. Dosunmu 31.2 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 11

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

S. Cissoko 44.1 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 7
R. Nembhard 38.5 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
C. Spencer 35.5 poss
FG% 83.3%
3P% 80.0%
PPP 0.42
PTS 15
D. DiVincenzo 33.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
J. Suggs 32.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
B. Williams 31.9 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
J. LaRavia 30.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.23
PTS 7
K. Dunn 29.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 3
T. Camara 29.2 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
D. Harper 28.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4

SEASON STATS

59
Games
11.7
PPG
2.5
RPG
7.2
APG
1.1
SPG
0.3
BPG
49.5
FG%
27.0
3P%
72.2
FT%
25.7
MPG

GAME LOG

59 games played