CHA

2025-26 Season

BRANDON MILLER

Charlotte Hornets | Forward | 6-7
Brandon Miller
20.1PPG
4.9RPG
3.3APG
30.4MPG
+6.9 Impact

Miller produces at an elite rate for a 30-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+6.9
Scoring +18.0
Points Scored 20.1 PPG = +20.1
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -6.8
Shot Making above expected FG% = +4.7
Creation +1.2
Assists & Self-Creation 3.3 AST/g + self-creation = +1.2
Turnovers -6.2
Turnovers 2.5/g (live + dead blend) = -6.2
Defense +0.3
Steals 1.0/g = +2.3
Blocks 0.7/g = +0.6
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.6
Hustle & Effort +4.2
Rebounds 4.9 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.7
Contested Shots 3.9/g = +0.8
Deflections 1.9/g = +1.2
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.4/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +17.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.6
Net Impact
+6.9
81st pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 90th
20.1 PPG
Efficiency 62th
58.1% TS
Playmaking 86th
3.3 APG
Rebounding 61th
4.9 RPG
Defense 23th
+5.1/g
Hustle 80th
+16.5/g
Creation 81th
+3.61/g
Shot Making 86th
+8.76/g
TO Discipline 7th
0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Extreme volatility defined the first third of Brandon Miller’s season, as he oscillated wildly between lethal scoring outbursts and brutal offensive droughts. During the 11/29 vs TOR matchup, his shot selection completely abandoned him. He forced up heavily contested looks to finish with just 7 points on a disastrous 1-for-13 from the floor, resulting in a bleak -12.8 Impact score as his erratic decisions killed the team's rhythm. Even when his point totals looked respectable, hidden costs sometimes dragged him down, which was glaringly obvious in the 12/13 vs CHI game. Despite logging 18 points, his terrible 8-for-22 shooting clip and wasted offensive possessions yielded a -4.1 Impact score. Yet, when he found his spots within the flow of the offense, Miller looked like a budding superstar. On 12/19 vs ATL, he carved up the defense with razor-sharp efficiency, pouring in 26 points on 9-of-15 shooting while dishing out 8 assists to earn a massive +22.5 Impact score.

This midseason stretch was defined by Miller's evolution into a boom-or-bust volume shooter who lived and died by his jumper. When his shot selection was disciplined, he was utterly lethal. This was obvious during the 01/26 vs PHI matchup, where he poured in 30 points on near-perfect 9-for-11 shooting. That masterclass in offensive efficiency earned him a staggering +32.4 Impact score, as he punished defenders without forcing bad looks. However, Miller managed to score 17 points during the 02/19 vs HOU contest, but that superficial total masked an abysmal 5-for-22 shooting night. His stubborn refusal to stop chucking from deep—missing 11 of his 12 three-point attempts—wasted critical offensive possessions and resulted in a damaging -6.2 Impact score. He eventually corrected his course by finding his stroke and eliminating the forced attempts. By letting the offense come to him in the 02/26 vs IND game, Miller dropped 33 points on 11-for-19 shooting to generate a massive +24.0 Impact score.

Brandon Miller spent this late-season stretch oscillating wildly between lethal scoring outbursts and baffling offensive duds. On 03/14 vs SAS, he clanked his way to a miserable 2-for-14 from the floor. That forced, erratic shot selection derailed the offense and resulted in a brutal -18.4 Impact score. He bounced back emphatically on 03/28 vs PHI. Pouring in 29 points and grabbing 8 rebounds, Miller posted a massive +22.4 Impact score. Even without recording a single assist, his aggressive rebounding and sharp perimeter shooting created immense value. Look at his brilliant all-around performance on 03/06 vs MIA. He racked up 22 points, 13 boards, and 5 assists for a +19.0 Impact score, a mark driven heavily by relentless glass-cleaning and smart ball movement.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Miller has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~7 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 51% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Miller consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 11 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 60 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Daniels 56.5 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 15
D. Bane 51.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.33
PTS 17
M. Buzelis 49.3 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 13
S. Barnes 45.3 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
T. Camara 43.7 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10
J. Harden 41.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.36
PTS 15
Z. Risacher 40.5 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 12
D. Mitchell 39.9 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.25
PTS 10
T. da Silva 39.7 poss
FG% 63.6%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.45
PTS 18
M. Bridges 39.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Johnson 56.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 17
D. Wade 51.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
T. Herro 49.6 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 14
M. Buzelis 47.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 16
A. Black 45.9 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
T. Camara 41.7 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
T. Maxey 41.0 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 6
R. Rollins 40.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 12
T. Jones 40.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
J. Harden 39.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 13

SEASON STATS

67
Games
20.1
PPG
4.9
RPG
3.3
APG
1.0
SPG
0.7
BPG
43.7
FG%
38.7
3P%
89.2
FT%
30.4
MPG

GAME LOG

67 games played