CHA

2025-26 Season

BRANDON MILLER

Charlotte Hornets | Forward | 6-7
Brandon Miller
20.5 PPG
5.0 RPG
3.4 APG
30.2 MPG
+1.2 Impact

Miller produces at an above average rate for a 30-minute workload. 2.6 turnovers per game cost 5.1 points of value nightly.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+1.2
Scoring +12.5
Points 20.5 PPG × +1.00 = +20.5
Missed 2PT 4.1/g × -0.78 = -3.2
Missed 3PT 5.0/g × -0.87 = -4.4
Missed FT 0.4/g × -1.00 = -0.4
Creation +3.3
Assists 3.4/g × +0.50 = +1.7
Off. Rebounds 1.3/g × +1.26 = +1.6
Turnovers -5.1
Turnovers 2.6/g × -1.95 = -5.1
Defense +2.1
Steals 1.0/g × +2.30 = +2.3
Blocks 0.7/g × +0.90 = +0.6
Def. Rebounds 3.8/g × +0.30 = +1.1
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.1
Contested Shots 4.3/g × +0.20 = +0.9
Deflections 2.1/g × +0.65 = +1.4
Loose Balls 0.6/g × +0.60 = +0.4
Screen Assists 0.5/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.1/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.3
Raw Impact +15.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −14.7
Net Impact
+1.2
66th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 91th
20.5 PPG
Efficiency 63th
58.5% TS
Playmaking 86th
3.4 APG
Rebounding 63th
5.0 RPG
Rim Protection 33th
0.12/min
Hustle 42th
0.10/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 6th
0.09/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Brandon Miller’s first twenty games were defined by a maddening tug-of-war between lethal offensive outbursts and catastrophic shot selection. He frequently sabotaged his own value by settling for heavily contested pull-up jumpers and forcing isolation plays instead of letting the game come to him. Look no further than 12/31 vs GSW, where he poured in 33 points but actually posted a -2.4 impact score because he required a staggering 29 field goal attempts to get there. When he actually blended his scoring talent with high-level playmaking, the results were devastating for opponents. During a brilliant performance on 12/18 vs ATL, Miller generated a massive +15.6 impact by pairing 26 points with 8 assists, breaking down the defense rather than chucking over it. Conversely, when his jumper abandoned him, he rarely found secondary ways to contribute. His insistence on firing through slumps resulted in disastrous outings like 11/29 vs TOR, where a 1/13 shooting night utterly cratered the offense and saddled him with a brutal -12.1 impact mark.

Brandon Miller’s midseason stretch was defined by a terrifying Jekyll-and-Hyde duality. He oscillated wildly between unstoppable shot-making and self-sabotaging offensive execution. He looked utterly flawless on 01/26 vs PHI, pouring in 30 points on a ruthlessly efficient 9-of-11 from the floor to generate a staggering +21.8 impact score. That massive positive value stemmed directly from a perimeter shooting masterclass that completely broke the opposing defense. Yet, that brilliant form became an illusion by 02/11 vs ATL, where his 31 points were entirely deceiving. Despite the hefty scoring total, his impact score rested at a negative -0.3 because his volume completely masked a highly inefficient 10-for-26 shot profile that yielded empty possessions and stalled the offense. The regression hit rock bottom on 02/19 vs HOU. A disastrous 1-for-12 performance from beyond the arc derailed the halfcourt offense, cratering his overall impact to a dismal -12.0.

Brandon Miller’s midseason stretch was defined by a volatile tug-of-war between lethal perimeter shot-making and self-sabotaging offensive habits. When fully engaged, he was a two-way terror who didn't strictly need massive scoring totals to dictate the flow of the game. Look at his 18-point outing on 03/04 vs BOS, where he generated a stellar +11.6 impact score purely through aggressive closeouts and high-motor transition play. Unfortunately, maddening inconsistency surfaced whenever he abandoned the system to play hero ball. On 03/14 vs SAS, an abysmal shot selection profile completely cratered his value, resulting in an atrocious -19.0 impact score as he repeatedly forced heavily contested jumpers to finish with a meager 6 points. Even when his outside stroke was falling, hidden costs occasionally dragged his overall value into the red. Despite dropping 21 points on highly efficient shooting on 03/26 vs NYK, he posted a -0.4 impact because his scoring was entirely negated by defensive lapses and a glaring lack of secondary playmaking.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Miller's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 50% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Miller consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 10 games. Longest cold streak: 5 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 60 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Daniels 56.5 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 15
D. Bane 51.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.33
PTS 17
M. Buzelis 49.3 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 13
S. Barnes 45.3 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
T. Camara 43.7 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10
J. Harden 41.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.36
PTS 15
Z. Risacher 40.5 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 12
D. Mitchell 39.9 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.25
PTS 10
T. da Silva 39.7 poss
FG% 63.6%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.45
PTS 18
M. Bridges 39.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Johnson 56.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 17
D. Wade 51.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
T. Herro 49.6 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 14
M. Buzelis 47.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 16
A. Black 45.9 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
T. Camara 41.7 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
T. Maxey 41.0 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 6
R. Rollins 40.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 12
T. Jones 40.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
J. Harden 39.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 13

SEASON STATS

60
Games
20.5
PPG
5.0
RPG
3.4
APG
1.0
SPG
0.7
BPG
43.8
FG%
39.3
3P%
89.2
FT%
30.2
MPG

GAME LOG

60 games played