MIA

2025-26 Season

TYLER HERRO

Miami Heat | Guard | 6-5
Tyler Herro
21.4 PPG
4.6 RPG
3.9 APG
31.7 MPG
+0.1 Impact

Herro produces at an average rate for a 32-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+0.1
Scoring +14.1
Points 21.4 PPG × +1.00 = +21.4
Missed 2PT 4.1/g × -0.78 = -3.2
Missed 3PT 4.3/g × -0.87 = -3.8
Missed FT 0.3/g × -1.00 = -0.3
Creation +3.4
Assists 3.9/g × +0.50 = +1.9
Off. Rebounds 1.2/g × +1.26 = +1.5
Turnovers -3.9
Turnovers 2.0/g × -1.95 = -3.9
Defense +1.1
Steals 0.7/g × +2.30 = +1.6
Blocks 0.4/g × +0.90 = +0.4
Def. Rebounds 3.5/g × +0.30 = +1.0
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +1.9
Contested Shots 3.3/g × +0.20 = +0.7
Deflections 1.3/g × +0.65 = +0.8
Loose Balls 0.4/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.1/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.2
Raw Impact +16.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −16.5
Net Impact
+0.1
71st pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 236 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 93th
21.4 PPG
Efficiency 89th
60.7% TS
Playmaking 73th
3.9 APG
Rebounding 85th
4.6 RPG
Rim Protection 23th
0.09/min
Hustle 6th
0.06/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 39th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A maddeningly volatile mix of blistering shot-making and crippling defensive lapses defined Tyler Herro's role to open the season. When his jumper was dialed in, he looked completely unstoppable. He dominated on 11/26 vs MIL, pouring in 29 points and seven assists to generate a massive +15.6 impact score through elite playmaking and scoring efficiency. Empty calories often plagued his stat lines, however. During the 01/11 vs OKC matchup, Herro dropped a highly efficient 19 points but still posted a disastrous -11.2 impact score because he entirely bled away his value on the defensive end. Heavier scoring outputs suffered similar fates, like his 25-point outing on 03/05 vs BKN that yielded a -1.3 impact dragged into the red by a detrimental habit of coughing up the basketball. Herro remains a lethal offensive weapon, but his heavy reliance on contested jumpers and perimeter vulnerability make him a high-stakes gamble on any given night.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Herro's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 67% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Herro consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +1.2, second-half: -1.1. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 46 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Nembhard 79.4 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.16
PTS 13
A. Thompson 71.6 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 13
M. Christie 57.0 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 14
V. Edgecombe 53.3 poss
FG% 46.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.32
PTS 17
T. Mann 51.4 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 16
B. Miller 49.6 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 14
S. Merrill 42.9 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 4
J. Suggs 41.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 9
J. Green 35.2 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 12
A. Black 33.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Mann 63.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 5
M. Christie 49.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 7
S. Merrill 43.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10
D. Robinson 42.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
T. Eason 37.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Suggs 34.9 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.34
PTS 12
B. Sheppard 31.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
V. Edgecombe 31.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 6
M. Smart 31.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.23
PTS 7
T. da Silva 29.6 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 7

SEASON STATS

30
Games
21.4
PPG
4.6
RPG
3.9
APG
0.7
SPG
0.4
BPG
48.1
FG%
38.2
3P%
92.3
FT%
31.7
MPG

GAME LOG

30 games played