IND

2025-26 Season

JAY HUFF

Indiana Pacers | Center | 7-1
Jay Huff
9.5PPG
4.0RPG
1.5APG
21.0MPG
-1.2 Impact

Huff produces at an below average rate for a 21-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.2
Scoring +8.4
Points Scored 9.5 PPG = +9.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -3.1
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.0
Creation +0.5
Assists & Self-Creation 1.5 AST/g + self-creation = +0.5
Turnovers -2.3
Turnovers 0.9/g (live + dead blend) = -2.3
Defense -0.6
Steals 0.5/g = +1.1
Blocks 1.9/g = +1.7
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -3.4
Hustle & Effort +3.1
Rebounds 4.0 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.4
Contested Shots 7.9/g = +1.6
Deflections 0.8/g = +0.5
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 1.7/g = +0.5
Raw Impact +9.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.3
Net Impact
-1.2
32th pctl vs Centers

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 93 Centers with 10+ games

Scoring 53th
9.9 PPG
Efficiency 41th
57.9% TS
Playmaking 54th
1.5 APG
Rebounding 21th
4.1 RPG
Defense 67th
+7.6/g
Hustle 22th
+12.7/g
Creation 40th
+2.04/g
Shot Making 63th
+5.83/g
TO Discipline 67th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jay Huff’s opening stretch of the season morphed from a chaotic bench audition into a genuine revelation once he secured a starting gig. Early on, his offensive output often came with hidden costs that actively hurt the team. Take his outing on 12/13 vs PHI, where he managed 13 points but still posted a -2.7 impact score because his reckless 4-for-12 shooting killed offensive momentum. Conversely, Huff eventually learned how to heavily influence winning even when his jumper abandoned him. Look directly at 12/09 vs SAC. He scored a meager 8 points on 1-for-5 shooting, yet generated a fantastic +7.1 impact score by crashing the glass for 7 rebounds and providing relentless defensive hustle in the paint. When everything finally clicked, he was a two-way monster, peaking on 11/30 vs CHI with 14 points, 8 boards, and a towering +17.5 impact score.

Jay Huff’s midseason stretch was a dizzying, maddening rollercoaster ride where he bounced between dominant interior force and unplayable liability. He reached an absolute apex on 01/17 vs NOP, dropping 29 points and 9 rebounds. That staggering +31.1 impact score was born entirely from ruthless efficiency, as he buried 13 of his 17 shots and dominated the paint. Yet, he often gave those gains right back with empty-calorie outings, like his 16-point performance on 01/31 vs ATL. Despite the respectable scoring total, he posted a -2.3 impact because he dragged down the offense with zero assists and erratic perimeter shot selection, bricking five of his eight three-point attempts. He can be highly effective without scoring much at all, though, as seen on 12/24 vs MIL. Managing just 9 points, he still generated a stout +7.4 impact through hard hustle on the glass for 7 rebounds and unselfish passing. This wild unpredictability makes him a terrifying wildcard.

Jay Huff’s late-season stretch was an exercise in maddening volatility, defined by a revolving door between the starting lineup and the bench. When his jumper caught fire, he looked like a legitimate stretch-five weapon. Look at 02/20 vs WAS, where he erupted for 22 points on blistering 5-of-8 shooting from deep in just 16 minutes, generating a massive +11.1 Impact by simply shooting the opposition off the floor. Yet, his floor game often collapsed into one-dimensional passivity, turning him into a liability even when he scored efficiently. During 03/01 vs MEM, he tallied 14 points on a near-perfect 5-of-6 from the field, but still posted a -4.2 Impact because he grabbed just four rebounds and logged zero assists in 28 minutes, ignoring the dirty work entirely. The bottom completely fell out during 03/27 vs LAC. Huff managed a meager three points on just four shot attempts, sleepwalking as a scoring threat through 20 minutes to a catastrophic -14.6 Impact because his total lack of rim pressure crippled the starting unit's spacing. He possesses the raw toolkit of a modern big man, but until he finds a way to consistently impact winning beyond his jump shot, he will remain a frustrating enigma.

Jay Huff’s late-season stretch was defined by a volatile seesaw between dominant rim protection and frustrating perimeter shot selection, marked by a constant shuffling between the starting lineup and the bench. Even when the points piled up, hidden defensive costs often dragged him down. On Mar 04 vs LAC, a strong 18-point outing resulted in a -1.1 impact score because his leaky -3.6 defensive rating gave away everything he earned on the other end. Conversely, he could completely hijack a game without filling the scoring column. During the Mar 12 vs PHX matchup, Huff managed just 10 points but posted a massive +9.2 impact score because his elite defensive anchoring (+10.0 def) completely erased the interior attack. When he actually merged smart shot selection with his physical tools, the results were devastating. He generated a staggering +12.6 impact score on Mar 25 vs LAL by abandoning low-quality looks in favor of timely rim-runs, pouring in 18 points on highly efficient 7-of-10 shooting. Huff is a lethal weapon when he plays within his role, but his overall value immediately plummets the moment he falls in love with contested triples.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Huff's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 54% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Huff consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 7 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 76 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

M. Raynaud 76.7 poss
FG% 35.7%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 14
J. Hayes 70.0 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 17
J. Embiid 69.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.16
PTS 11
N. Vučević 68.6 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 16
M. Diabaté 65.3 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 15
N. Queta 63.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.2
PTS 13
R. Kalkbrenner 63.8 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 15
K. Ware 61.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 11
T. Vukcevic 54.6 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 21
W. Carter Jr. 51.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

N. Vučević 92.3 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 44.4%
PPP 0.24
PTS 22
N. Queta 91.8 poss
FG% 61.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 18
M. Diabaté 87.2 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 14
M. Raynaud 87.2 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 18
J. Hayes 82.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 6
J. Embiid 70.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.57
PTS 40
K. Ware 68.8 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.15
PTS 10
A. Hukporti 66.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 3
R. Kalkbrenner 62.4 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 9
W. Carter Jr. 60.8 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 16

SEASON STATS

82
Games
9.5
PPG
4.0
RPG
1.5
APG
0.5
SPG
1.9
BPG
47.6
FG%
31.9
3P%
82.8
FT%
21.0
MPG

GAME LOG

82 games played