MIN

2025-26 Season

TERRENCE SHANNON JR.

Minnesota Timberwolves | Guard-Forward | 6-6
Terrence Shannon Jr.
6.4PPG
1.4RPG
1.0APG
14.1MPG
-5.6 Impact

Jr. produces at an poor rate for a 14-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-5.6
Scoring +5.5
Points Scored 6.4 PPG = +6.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.2
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.3
Creation +0.6
Assists & Self-Creation 1.0 AST/g + self-creation = +0.6
Turnovers -1.4
Turnovers 0.6/g (live + dead blend) = -1.4
Defense -0.9
Steals 0.3/g = +0.7
Blocks 0.0/g = +0.0
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.6
Hustle & Effort +0.9
Rebounds 1.4 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.2
Contested Shots 1.2/g = +0.2
Deflections 0.5/g = +0.3
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +4.7
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.3
Net Impact
-5.6
19th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 35th
7.7 PPG
Efficiency 27th
51.3% TS
Playmaking 12th
1.1 APG
Rebounding 8th
1.6 RPG
Defense 26th
+5.2/g
Hustle 27th
+6.7/g
Creation 68th
+3.32/g
Shot Making 64th
+7.55/g
TO Discipline 73th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Terrence Shannon Jr.'s opening stretch of the season was defined by a desperate, failing struggle to carve out a reliable NBA role. His playing time began to evaporate after a disastrous outing on 10/24 vs LAL, where he went scoreless and posted a brutal -17.5 impact score due to bricked jumpers and a complete failure to facilitate. He briefly looked like a spark plug off the bench on 11/27 vs OKC. Pouring in 18 points on perfect 7-for-7 shooting yielded a +8.2 impact score, driven purely by an unsustainable scoring heater. Just two days later on 11/29 vs BOS, Shannon tallied 10 points but registered a dismal -10.6 impact score. Despite hitting double figures, his complete lack of peripheral production—logging zero boards and zero assists—dragged his overall value into the gutter. By December, his minutes had dwindled to mere cameos, exposing a one-dimensional game that actively hurts his team when the shots stop falling.

This brutal mid-season stretch was defined by pure cardio and an absolute inability to find an offensive rhythm. Shannon was a ghost off the bench. During a disastrous outing on 12/26 vs DEN, he logged 10 minutes without recording a single point, rebound, or assist. Missing all three of his shots generated a staggering -17.1 impact score, as his complete lack of box-score production forced his teammates to play four-on-five basketball. Even when given a massive 30-minute runway on 12/13 vs GSW, his 9 points still resulted in a -4.5 impact score. The hidden cost of that scoring output was his mediocre 3-for-7 shooting, which stalled the offense with empty possessions. He finally found a fleeting spark on 03/10 vs LAL, pouring in 12 points in just 8 minutes. That sudden burst of hyper-efficient shooting yielded a +5.5 impact score, revealing exactly what happens when a reserve guard actually hits his open looks.

Terrence Shannon Jr.'s late-season stretch was defined by a jarring transformation from a buried benchwarmer into a sudden, high-volume scoring focal point. Early on, he barely saw the floor, though he managed to scrape together a +3.4 impact during the 03/18 vs UTA matchup by relying on gritty defensive effort and hustle rather than his meager eight points. Mostly, however, he languished in obscurity, bleeding value with empty minutes and passive play. That all changed during the 04/08 vs ORL contest, where he erupted for 33 points on blistering 11-of-14 shooting. His aggressive shot-making and confident perimeter touch generated a massive +24.3 impact score, completely overwhelming the opposition. Yet, when given a starting nod for the 04/12 vs NOP finale, his offensive explosion came with heavy hidden costs. Despite tallying 26 points, his abysmal shot selection—bricking all seven of his three-point attempts on an ugly 6-for-18 shooting night—dragged his overall impact down to a pedestrian +0.5.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Jr. has posted negative impact in 76% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 45% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -8.4, second-half: -3.0. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

In a rough stretch — 4 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 10 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 44 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Robinson 28.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4
A. Reaves 18.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 6
D. Avdija 17.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
P. Spencer 17.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
S. Hauser 15.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
S. Sharpe 15.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
T. Hardaway Jr. 14.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. Huerter 12.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2
D. White 12.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Robinson 22.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
P. Spencer 21.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Knecht 18.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 4
K. Huerter 16.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
A. Thompson 16.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 4
P. Watson 14.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Walker 12.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
P. George 12.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.5
PTS 6
A. Mitchell 12.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 3
J. Holiday 11.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.68
PTS 8

SEASON STATS

51
Games
6.4
PPG
1.4
RPG
1.0
APG
0.3
SPG
0.0
BPG
42.8
FG%
36.2
3P%
82.2
FT%
14.1
MPG

GAME LOG

51 games played