MIL

2025-26 Season

PETE NANCE

Milwaukee Bucks | Forward | 6-9
Pete Nance
5.4PPG
2.7RPG
1.0APG
15.7MPG
-3.7 Impact

Nance produces at an below average rate for a 16-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-3.7
Scoring +5.4
Points Scored 5.4 PPG = +5.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.4
Creation +0.2
Assists & Self-Creation 1.0 AST/g + self-creation = +0.2
Turnovers -1.4
Turnovers 0.6/g (live + dead blend) = -1.4
Defense -0.4
Steals 0.3/g = +0.7
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.4
Hustle & Effort +2.3
Rebounds 2.7 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.1
Contested Shots 2.5/g = +0.5
Deflections 0.6/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.6/g = +0.2
Raw Impact +6.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.8
Net Impact
-3.7
26th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 30th
6.7 PPG
Efficiency 76th
60.0% TS
Playmaking 37th
1.3 APG
Rebounding 35th
3.5 RPG
Defense 21th
+4.9/g
Hustle 21th
+8.8/g
Creation 36th
+1.97/g
Shot Making 52th
+5.92/g
TO Discipline 83th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Pete Nance’s early season was defined by a brutal struggle to turn garbage-time scraps into actual basketball value. He initially looked like a hidden gem on 11/13 vs CHA. Firing away to score 10 points in just four minutes, his hot shooting earned him a +4.2 Impact score. That spark quickly died. Nance spent December bleeding points during his brief cameos, bottoming out on 12/14 vs BKN. Despite grabbing three rebounds in nine minutes, his ugly -9.5 Impact score revealed the hidden cost of his shift, as his poor shot selection and 0-of-3 shooting completely stalled the offense. He eventually found his footing during a mid-January rotation bump, notably on 01/19 vs ATL. Though he scored a modest five points in 15 minutes, Nance generated a +2.3 Impact score because his four rebounds and two assists provided the crucial hustle and ball movement the second unit desperately needed.

Pete Nance's midseason stretch was a brutal regression to the mean, transforming a brief flash of floor-spacing utility into a string of ghost-like appearances. Early on, he looked like a legitimate rotation piece, especially during the 02/03 vs CHI matchup where he poured in 15 points and grabbed 8 rebounds in 27 minutes. He drained three triples in that contest, earning a stellar +11.1 Impact score by stretching the defense and crashing the glass with purpose. But that momentum vanished completely. By the 02/11 vs ORL game, he logged four utterly empty minutes of cardio, recording zero stats across the board and bleeding points defensively for an abysmal -13.8 Impact score. Take the 03/01 vs CHI game, where he missed his only shot in three minutes and posted a -11.8 Impact score because he offered zero rim protection or playmaking to justify his court time. When his outside shot stops falling, Nance simply lacks the physical presence to survive an NBA shift.

This fifteen-game stretch was defined by a jarring late-March promotion to the starting lineup that yielded wildly inconsistent results for Pete Nance. He eventually found his offensive rhythm on 04/01 vs HOU, pouring in 23 points on blistering 5-of-9 shooting from deep to earn a +7.8 Impact score. He followed that up with a gritty double-double on 04/03 vs BOS. Nance grabbed 10 rebounds and hit four triples in that contest, generating a stretch-best +10.4 Impact score because his relentless work on the glass added massive value alongside his perimeter shooting. The momentum evaporated almost instantly. Relegated back to the bench on 04/08 vs DET, Nance looked completely lost while putting up zero points in 18 minutes. That disastrous outing resulted in a horrific -16.6 Impact score, severely dragged down by forced perimeter shots and totally empty offensive possessions.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. Nance has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~5 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 72% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Average defender. Nance doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 11 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 55 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

L. Garza 28.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 11
J. Miller 26.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4
J. Collins 23.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Gueye 22.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Walker 20.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 3
D. Avdija 19.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Fleming 19.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 3
J. Champagnie 16.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Walsh 16.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Queta 15.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Walsh 24.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 6
J. Miller 24.4 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
J. Collins 22.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 5
L. Dort 22.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 3
M. Gueye 21.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Fleming 17.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
L. Garza 17.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
J. Walker 17.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 7
R. Williams III 15.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
P. Pritchard 15.2 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.92
PTS 14

SEASON STATS

47
Games
5.4
PPG
2.7
RPG
1.0
APG
0.3
SPG
0.3
BPG
51.5
FG%
42.0
3P%
36.4
FT%
15.7
MPG

GAME LOG

47 games played