MIL

2025-26 Season

PETE NANCE

Milwaukee Bucks | Forward | 6-9
Pete Nance
5.5 PPG
2.7 RPG
0.9 APG
15.2 MPG
-1.2 Impact

Nance produces at an below average rate for a 15-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.2
Scoring +3.8
Points 5.5 PPG × +1.00 = +5.5
Missed 2PT 0.5/g × -0.78 = -0.4
Missed 3PT 1.4/g × -0.87 = -1.2
Missed FT 0.1/g × -1.00 = -0.1
Creation +1.4
Assists 0.9/g × +0.50 = +0.5
Off. Rebounds 0.7/g × +1.26 = +0.9
Turnovers -1.0
Turnovers 0.5/g × -1.95 = -1.0
Defense -0.3
Steals 0.3/g × +2.30 = +0.7
Blocks 0.3/g × +0.90 = +0.3
Def. Rebounds 2.0/g × +0.30 = +0.6
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +1.2
Contested Shots 2.7/g × +0.20 = +0.5
Deflections 0.6/g × +0.65 = +0.4
Loose Balls 0.1/g × +0.60 = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.6/g × +0.30 = +0.2
Raw Impact +5.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −6.3
Net Impact
-1.2
34th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 33th
6.9 PPG
Efficiency 87th
62.7% TS
Playmaking 29th
1.2 APG
Rebounding 35th
3.5 RPG
Rim Protection 24th
0.11/min
Hustle 6th
0.07/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 83th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A chaotic pendulum swing defined Pete Nance's early-season run, bouncing wildly between end-of-bench irrelevance and highly efficient rotation bursts. You can see his hidden value perfectly on 01/19 vs ATL. Despite scoring a mere 5 points, he registered a massive +8.1 impact score because of flawless weak-side rotations and elite rim deterrence that anchored the second unit. Yet, when given a heavier workload on 01/21 vs OKC, the wheels completely fell off. He put up 11 points in 30 minutes, but his -1.1 impact score revealed the ugly truth: costly rotational mistakes on defense completely erased his offensive production. He quickly recalibrated his focus. On 01/25 vs DAL, Nance combined surprisingly stout defensive positioning (+4.7 def impact) with highly efficient spot-up shooting to generate a staggering +9.5 impact score in just 16 minutes. To survive in this league, he must abandon the defensive lapses and embrace his identity as a disciplined, low-usage connector.

This stretch was defined by a brutal reality check, as Nance's late-season promotion to heavier minutes exposed his glaring defensive limitations. Even when he found the bottom of the net, hidden costs consistently dragged him down. During the 03/23 vs LAC matchup, he managed 11 points in 31 minutes, yet posted a -3.0 impact score because a high volume of missed weak-side rotational assignments sabotaged the team's defensive structure. When his shot wasn't falling, the results were catastrophic. On 03/10 vs PHX, he was bullied on the interior and failed to secure defensive rebounds, resulting in a brutal -9.8 impact score while going completely scoreless. However, he occasionally found ways to add value without filling it up. In a bench role on 03/08 vs ORL, he scored just 6 points but scraped out a +0.8 impact by making quick, decisive reads that kept the offensive flow humming. Ultimately, Nance looked like a player overwhelmed by the speed of the game, bleeding far too many points defensively to justify his frequent lapses in aggression.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Nance's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 76% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Nance locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +1.4, second-half: -3.8. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 7 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 55 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

L. Garza 28.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 11
J. Miller 26.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4
J. Collins 23.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Gueye 22.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Walker 20.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 3
D. Avdija 19.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Fleming 19.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 3
J. Champagnie 16.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Walsh 16.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Queta 15.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Walsh 24.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 6
J. Miller 24.4 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
J. Collins 22.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 5
L. Dort 22.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 3
M. Gueye 21.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Fleming 17.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
L. Garza 17.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
J. Walker 17.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 7
R. Williams III 15.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
P. Pritchard 15.2 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.92
PTS 14

SEASON STATS

44
Games
5.5
PPG
2.7
RPG
0.9
APG
0.3
SPG
0.3
BPG
53.4
FG%
44.1
3P%
28.6
FT%
15.2
MPG

GAME LOG

44 games played