MIL

2025-26 Season

CAM THOMAS

Milwaukee Bucks | Guard | 6-3
Cam Thomas
13.5PPG
1.7RPG
2.6APG
21.0MPG
-0.7 Impact

Thomas produces at an average rate for a 21-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-0.7
Scoring +11.4
Points Scored 13.5 PPG = +13.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -5.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.9
Creation +1.2
Assists & Self-Creation 2.6 AST/g + self-creation = +1.2
Turnovers -4.1
Turnovers 1.8/g (live + dead blend) = -4.1
Defense -0.4
Steals 0.2/g = +0.5
Blocks 0.1/g = +0.1
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.0
Hustle & Effort +0.9
Rebounds 1.7 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.2
Contested Shots 2.1/g = +0.4
Deflections 0.8/g = +0.5
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +9.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.7
Net Impact
-0.7
57th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 72th
13.8 PPG
Efficiency 21th
49.4% TS
Playmaking 51th
2.6 APG
Rebounding 10th
1.7 RPG
Defense 5th
+2.9/g
Hustle 8th
+4.1/g
Creation 70th
+3.40/g
Shot Making 75th
+8.28/g
TO Discipline 17th
0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Cam Thomas’s early 2025-26 campaign was defined by a jarring transition from high-volume starter to volatile bench gunner. He began the year with absolute green-light freedom, peaking on 10/26 vs SAS when he erupted for 41 points to drive a massive +26.2 Impact. But that trigger-happy approach frequently burned his own team when the jumper went cold. During his start on 10/29 vs ATL, Thomas managed a respectable 19 points but still posted a -2.8 Impact because he needed a brutal 20 field goal attempts to get there, dragging down the offense with selfish shot selection. Following a nearly two-month absence, he returned in late December permanently relegated to the second unit. He initially embraced this microwave role brilliantly, returning on 12/28 vs MIN to drop 30 points in just 20 minutes, yielding a +23.5 Impact through hyper-efficient shot-making. Yet, the same old erratic habits quickly resurfaced in January. Thomas remains the ultimate boom-or-bust weapon, capable of hijacking a game for better or worse.

This midseason stretch was defined by a brutal, prolonged shooting slump that rendered Cam Thomas a massive liability off the bench before a sudden late-February revival. During a disastrous 01/19 vs CHI outing, he handed out 10 assists but still posted a dismal -14.7 Impact score. His 1-for-6 shooting from the floor actively killed offensive momentum, revealing the hidden cost of a pure scorer clanking away valuable possessions. He hit rock bottom in a 02/09 vs ORL appearance, logging just 4 points on 1-for-5 shooting to earn a -7.2 Impact mark in only 13 minutes. Yet, Thomas abruptly snapped out of his funk. On 02/11 vs ORL, he erupted for 34 points on 12-for-20 shooting. He generated a massive +20.5 Impact score in that contest simply by putting the ball in the basket with ruthless efficiency.

This mid-season stretch was defined by a brutal offensive slump that saw Cam Thomas marginalized at the end of the bench. During the 02/24 vs MIA matchup, his erratic shot selection resulted in a dismal 2-for-10 shooting night and a staggering -11.3 Impact score. Even when he managed to put points on the board, like his 15-point outing on 03/01 vs CHI, the hidden costs of his tunnel vision dragged him down. The sheer inefficiency of his 3-for-11 chucking in that contest yielded a disappointing -0.5 Impact score. He briefly found a better rhythm on 03/08 vs ORL. By trading forced jumpers for actual offensive flow, he dished out six assists to go with an efficient 17 points, earning a rare +3.2 Impact score. Ultimately, when a one-dimensional volume scorer loses his touch, the resulting empty possessions make him an absolute liability.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Thomas's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~10 points per game.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 35% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Defensive impact is minimal for a 21-minute player. Not generating enough contests, rim protection, or forced turnovers to move the needle.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +0.6, second-half: -2.0. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

In a rough stretch — 5 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 7 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 47 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Clark 35.5 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 11
J. Suggs 34.9 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.4
PTS 14
I. Okoro 33.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. Daniels 31.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
J. McDaniels 29.9 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.4
PTS 12
S. Merrill 28.9 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 9
N. Penda 28.2 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 9
A. Dosunmu 26.2 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
J. Okogie 24.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Dunn 23.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Clark 34.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 5
J. Suggs 31.8 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 11
D. Daniels 29.0 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 3
I. Okoro 26.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
J. McDaniels 23.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 6
N. Penda 23.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 5
J. Okogie 21.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 3
R. Dunn 20.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 6
J. Champagnie 19.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. DiVincenzo 19.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

42
Games
13.5
PPG
1.7
RPG
2.6
APG
0.2
SPG
0.1
BPG
41.0
FG%
31.0
3P%
81.1
FT%
21.0
MPG

GAME LOG

42 games played