ATL

2025-26 Season

KEATON WALLACE

Atlanta Hawks | Guard | 6-3
Keaton Wallace
3.4PPG
1.1RPG
1.7APG
9.8MPG
-7.6 Impact

Wallace produces at an poor rate for a 10-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-7.6
Scoring +3.1
Points Scored 3.4 PPG = +3.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.0
Creation +0.2
Assists & Self-Creation 1.7 AST/g + self-creation = +0.2
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.5/g (live + dead blend) = -1.2
Defense +0.2
Steals 0.4/g = +0.9
Blocks 0.1/g = +0.1
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -0.8
Hustle & Effort +0.4
Rebounds 1.1 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.4
Contested Shots 1.3/g = +0.3
Deflections 0.7/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +2.7
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.3
Net Impact
-7.6
3th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 12th
4.9 PPG
Efficiency 22th
49.7% TS
Playmaking 47th
2.5 APG
Rebounding 6th
1.5 RPG
Defense 69th
+9.2/g
Hustle 4th
+3.8/g
Creation 24th
+1.91/g
Shot Making 19th
+4.47/g
TO Discipline 67th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Keaton Wallace spent the first 18 games of the season fighting for his NBA life, oscillating between brief flashes of playmaking and long stretches of offensive invisibility. He looked like a legitimate rotation piece on 10/31 vs IND, posting a +6.4 Impact score in just 17 minutes by dishing seven assists and drilling all three of his attempts from deep. That brief spark earned him a spot in the starting lineup shortly after, but the increased workload quickly exposed his limitations. During his 36-minute start on 11/09 vs LAL, Wallace tallied a season-high 14 points and seven assists, yet he still posted a -0.8 Impact score because his inefficient 5-for-15 shooting stalled out the offense. When his jumper completely vanished, his on-court value plummeted into disastrous territory. Look no further than his outing on 11/14 vs UTA, where a horrific 0-for-6 shooting night yielded a staggering -15.7 Impact score. Without the ability to score efficiently or pressure the rim, Wallace is simply bleeding points for his team.

This grueling stretch of the season was defined by Keaton Wallace desperately clinging to the fringes of the rotation. He bled value in almost every appearance, frequently posting disastrous metrics in microscopic minutes. Look at his brutal shift on 12/27 vs MIA, where he missed his only shot and registered a staggering -17.2 impact score in just three minutes of aimless cardio. Even when his shot actually fell, the underlying numbers remained grim. On 12/30 vs OKC, Wallace drilled three triples for 9 points, yet he still finished with a -5.2 impact because he offered zero rebounding presence and gave back points defensively. He finally flipped the script on 01/10 vs DEN. In that contest, his sharp shot selection yielded 10 points on 4-of-6 shooting, earning a +4.2 impact score that served as a rare bright spot in a bleak midseason slump.

Keaton Wallace spent the back half of the season marooned at the end of the bench, enduring a bleak stretch of garbage-time cameos that culminated in one catastrophic spot start. His fleeting minutes were largely forgettable. Even when his jumper caught fire on 03/23 vs MEM, pouring in 9 points on three triples in just 8 minutes, his impact score remained a negative -1.4. That rating stayed in the red because his pure scoring burst was entirely offset by blown defensive assignments on the other end of the floor. The real disaster struck when he was unexpectedly thrust into the starting lineup on 04/12 vs MIA. Given 32 minutes to run the show, Wallace tallied 8 points, 4 rebounds, and 6 assists. However, he saddled his team with a horrific -14.5 impact score due to jarringly poor shot selection, chucking his way to a 2-for-13 shooting night that actively killed offensive momentum.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Wallace has posted negative impact in 95% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 27% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Average defender. Wallace doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

In a rough stretch — 23 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 24 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Jenkins 22.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 6
K. Dunn 21.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Mitchell 20.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 6
G. Dick 18.6 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 7
J. Shead 16.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 3
R. Holland II 16.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 3
K. Simpson 15.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 5
B. Brown 15.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 5
T. Hardaway Jr. 14.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Carrington 13.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

K. Dunn 27.7 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 7
D. Jenkins 26.5 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 7
J. Shead 25.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
T. Hardaway Jr. 22.7 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
G. Dick 21.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.47
PTS 10
A. Mitchell 20.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. McCollum 17.8 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.39
PTS 7
N. Smith Jr. 17.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Clifford 15.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.32
PTS 5
B. Brown 15.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

56
Games
3.4
PPG
1.1
RPG
1.7
APG
0.4
SPG
0.1
BPG
39.1
FG%
36.2
3P%
70.0
FT%
9.8
MPG

GAME LOG

56 games played