GSW

2025-26 Season

JIMMY BUTLER III

Golden State Warriors | Forward | 6-6
Jimmy Butler III
20.0 PPG
5.6 RPG
4.9 APG
31.1 MPG
+7.2 Impact

III produces at an elite rate for a 31-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+7.2
Scoring +14.4
Points 20.0 PPG × +1.00 = +20.0
Missed 2PT 4.4/g × -0.78 = -3.4
Missed 3PT 1.4/g × -0.87 = -1.2
Missed FT 1.0/g × -1.00 = -1.0
Creation +4.3
Assists 4.9/g × +0.50 = +2.5
Off. Rebounds 1.4/g × +1.26 = +1.8
Turnovers -3.1
Turnovers 1.6/g × -1.95 = -3.1
Defense +2.7
Steals 1.4/g × +2.30 = +3.2
Blocks 0.2/g × +0.90 = +0.2
Def. Rebounds 4.2/g × +0.30 = +1.2
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.9
Contested Shots 2.4/g × +0.20 = +0.5
Deflections 2.4/g × +0.65 = +1.6
Loose Balls 0.9/g × +0.60 = +0.5
Screen Assists 0.9/g × +0.30 = +0.3
Raw Impact +21.2
Baseline (game-average expected) −14.0
Net Impact
+7.2
96th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 228 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 88th
20.0 PPG
Efficiency 94th
65.1% TS
Playmaking 93th
4.9 APG
Rebounding 75th
5.6 RPG
Rim Protection 61th
0.15/min
Hustle 25th
0.09/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 41th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A relentless barrage of physical foul-drawing and surgical mid-range orchestration defined Jimmy Butler III's early-season campaign. Even when his box score looked brilliant on paper, hidden costs occasionally spoiled the results. Take the 10/27 vs MEM matchup, where hyper-efficient shot selection yielded 20 points but masked underlying issues that dragged his impact score down to a disappointing -3.7. Conversely, he could entirely dictate the game's flow without demanding heavy shot volume. During the 11/11 vs OKC tilt, Butler managed a mere 12 points but still generated a robust +9.1 impact by anchoring the scheme with elite defensive positioning and disruptive passing lane activity. When he fully weaponized his physicality, the numbers were devastating. He set a brutal tone early on 10/21 vs LAL, punishing aggressive closeouts and leveraging elite foul generation to drive a massive +15.4 impact. He remains an absolute master at manipulating tempo, extracting maximum value from defensive reads and hustle plays to break the spirit of opposing wings.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. III posts positive impact in 76% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~7 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 68% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. III consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +8.5, second-half: +5.9. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Hot right now — 5 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 10 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 39 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Grant 61.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 10
A. Gordon 44.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 4
K. Leonard 41.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.33
PTS 14
J. Randle 37.6 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
K. Kuzma 35.3 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 10
J. Johnson 35.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
S. Mykhailiuk 33.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 8
D. Avdija 33.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 4
O. Anunoby 33.0 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 13
S. Cissoko 32.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 11

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

K. Leonard 51.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 15
D. Avdija 49.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
T. Camara 46.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
L. Markkanen 41.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 10
A. Gordon 40.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 7
J. Grant 39.5 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 7
H. Barnes 37.5 poss
FG% 83.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 13
D. Booker 36.0 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
J. Randle 33.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 7
S. Bey 32.2 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

38
Games
20.0
PPG
5.6
RPG
4.9
APG
1.4
SPG
0.2
BPG
51.9
FG%
37.6
3P%
86.4
FT%
31.1
MPG

GAME LOG

38 games played