2025-26 Season
JIMMY BUTLER III
2025-26 Season
JIMMY BUTLER III
III produces at an elite rate for a 31-minute workload.
III produces at an elite rate for a 31-minute workload.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 19 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Jimmy Butler opened the 2025-26 campaign operating with ruthless, surgical efficiency rather than sheer volume. He set the tone immediately on 10/21 vs LAL, dropping 31 points on merely 14 shot attempts to generate a massive +27.6 Impact score. That staggering metric reflected his relentless ability to draw contact and maximize every offensive possession without forcing bad looks. His only real misstep came during the 11/05 vs PHX matchup, where a quick 14-minute stint yielded just two points on 1-of-5 shooting for a -9.2 Impact score. Because his shot refused to fall and his court time was abruptly slashed, his lack of offensive gravity dragged down the entire lineup. He quickly banished that ghost on 11/13 vs SAS, erupting for 28 points and eight assists. By nailing five of his seven three-point attempts and orchestrating the offense flawlessly, Butler posted a dominant +34.9 Impact score to remind the league of his elite two-way ceiling.
A masterclass in aging gracefully defined this stretch of the season, as Jimmy Butler relied on ruthless efficiency and defensive grit to dictate the pace of games. During the 11/19 vs ORL matchup, he torched the defense for 33 points on crisp 10-for-16 shooting, generating a massive +29.5 Impact through pristine shot selection. Just three days later, his jumper vanished during a 5-for-15 shooting night on 11/22 vs POR, yet he still managed a stellar +21.7 Impact. Butler salvaged that ugly offensive outing by crashing the glass for 8 rebounds, dishing 5 assists, and suffocating his matchups with relentless hustle and off-ball pressure. The only real blemish arrived on 12/03 vs OKC. Limited to just 15 minutes, he sleepwalked to 6 points on 2-for-7 shooting, resulting in a -6.5 Impact as his usual playmaking spark completely evaporated. Ultimately, this run revealed a veteran who knows exactly how to manipulate the margins to win.
This midseason stretch was defined by a classic veteran slow-burn, transitioning from passive facilitation into ruthless, high-efficiency scoring. On 12/25 vs DAL, Butler flirted with a triple-double by posting 14 points, nine rebounds, and nine assists. Yet he registered a pedestrian +0.4 Impact in that contest because he deferred too often, taking just ten shots instead of pressuring the defense as a primary scoring threat. The switch flipped in mid-January. Carving up the opposition during a 01/16 vs NYK masterclass, Butler poured in 32 points on 14-of-22 shooting to generate a massive +35.4 Impact. He delivered a similarly dominant performance on 01/12 vs ATL, where his 30 points and aggressive shot creation earned a +27.7 Impact. When Butler stops overpassing and hunts his own offense with this level of surgical accuracy, he remains an absolute nightmare for any defensive scheme.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Very consistent. III posts positive impact in 95% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~7 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 68% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive difference-maker. III consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +16.8, second-half: +12.7. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.
Hot right now — 18 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 18 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 56 days ago
Based on 39 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
38 games played