2025-26 Season
PAT SPENCER
2025-26 Season
PAT SPENCER
Spencer produces at an below average rate for a 18-minute workload.
Spencer produces at an below average rate for a 18-minute workload.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 19 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Pat Spencer’s first 23 games were defined by a dizzying pendulum swing from deep-bench obscurity to a sudden playmaking spark, only to crash back down to earth by late December. He initially flashed real value on 11/20 vs MIA, logging 11 points, 8 rebounds, and 13 assists for a solid +4.3 impact score. Even with a clunky 5-for-13 shooting night, his relentless effort on the glass and crisp passing kept the offense humming. That momentum peaked when he cracked the starting lineup on 12/07 vs CLE, delivering a brilliant +12.0 impact score alongside 19 points and seven assists. Spencer actively drove winning basketball that night by taking smart shots and hitting a highly efficient 7-of-12 from the floor. The magic quickly evaporated once he returned to a reserve role. He hit rock bottom on 12/23 vs ORL with a ghastly -16.4 impact score in just 12 minutes of action. That disastrous shift was crippled by a 0-for-5 shooting performance and empty possessions, highlighting the steep hidden costs of his cold streaks when his shot completely abandons him.
This stretch was a chaotic pendulum swing for Pat Spencer, defined by a sudden promotion to the starting lineup that sparked a fleeting hot streak before a harsh regression to the mean. He spent January buried on the bench, putting up dreadful advanced metrics like a -12.4 Impact on 01/03 vs OKC. In that contest, his abysmal 1-for-8 shooting completely erased the value of his eleven assists. Then came a shocking February insertion into the starting five, peaking on 02/05 vs PHX when he erupted for 20 points and hit six threes. His +12.7 Impact in that Suns game wasn't just about the deep ball; he paired his perimeter scoring with relentless hustle and smart defensive rotations to keep Phoenix off balance. The magic quickly evaporated. By 02/25 vs MEM, Spencer tallied a respectable 12 points and 9 assists, but still dragged the team down with a -5.5 Impact. That negative score reflected the hidden costs of his erratic shot selection—requiring 13 attempts to reach a dozen points—and defensive lapses that gave Memphis easy momentum.
This late-season stretch was defined by erratic minutes and a maddening inability to string together consistent two-way play. When thrust into a heavy workload, his glaring inefficiency often tanked his value on the floor. Take the 04/07 vs SAC matchup, where he scored a respectable 14 points in a rare 41-minute start, but posted a -5.8 Impact score because he stalled out possessions by chucking up 16 shots to get there. However, he occasionally found ways to tilt the math without filling the scoring column. During the 03/29 vs DEN game, Spencer managed a +1.9 Impact despite scoring just 7 points on woeful 3-for-9 shooting. He salvaged that outing entirely through sharp playmaking and hustle, dishing out 8 assists and grabbing 5 rebounds to keep the offense humming. He did manage one genuine scoring burst on 03/21 vs ATL, pouring in 18 points on an efficient 8-of-14 from the floor to earn a stretch-high +8.4 Impact. Ultimately, those brief flashes of offensive rhythm were buried under too many nights of empty usage and misfired jumpers.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Struggling. Spencer has posted negative impact in 76% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 41% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Spencer locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.
Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -5.5, second-half: -3.1. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.
In a rough stretch — 7 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 18 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago
Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
67 games played
