GSW

2025-26 Season

PAT SPENCER

Golden State Warriors | Guard | 6-2
Pat Spencer
7.1 PPG
2.4 RPG
3.4 APG
18.0 MPG
-2.0 Impact

Spencer produces at an below average rate for a 18-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.0
Scoring +4.0
Points 7.1 PPG × +1.00 = +7.1
Missed 2PT 2.1/g × -0.78 = -1.6
Missed 3PT 1.5/g × -0.87 = -1.3
Missed FT 0.2/g × -1.00 = -0.2
Creation +2.5
Assists 3.4/g × +0.50 = +1.7
Off. Rebounds 0.6/g × +1.26 = +0.8
Turnovers -2.5
Turnovers 1.3/g × -1.95 = -2.5
Defense +0.3
Steals 0.7/g × +2.30 = +1.6
Blocks 0.1/g × +0.90 = +0.1
Def. Rebounds 1.8/g × +0.30 = +0.5
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +1.4
Contested Shots 1.9/g × +0.20 = +0.4
Deflections 1.1/g × +0.65 = +0.7
Loose Balls 0.4/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.0/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.1
Raw Impact +5.7
Baseline (game-average expected) −7.7
Net Impact
-2.0
37th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 41th
8.1 PPG
Efficiency 18th
48.1% TS
Playmaking 71th
3.9 APG
Rebounding 44th
2.6 RPG
Rim Protection 58th
0.12/min
Hustle 16th
0.08/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 25th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Pat Spencer’s opening stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency, oscillating wildly between brilliant offensive orchestration and damaging passivity. He could tilt the floor without putting the ball in the basket, perfectly illustrated on 11/09 vs IND. Despite scoring just 2 points, he generated a +3.4 impact score by becoming an absolute terror in the passing lanes and racking up a +3.6 hustle rating. When he actually hunted his own shot, the results were devastating. During a start on 12/06 vs CLE, Spencer carved up the defense with masterful pick-and-roll orchestration to tally 19 points, 7 assists, and a massive +8.2 impact score. Yet, that momentum vanished the very next night on 12/07 vs CHI. Even with a respectable 12 points and 6 assists, his lack of scoring gravity allowed defenders to aggressively sag off him, negating his playmaking reads and dragging his overall impact down to -1.6.

A jarring transition from invisible benchwarmer to highly erratic starter defined this chaotic stretch for Pat Spencer. His nightly value swung wildly based entirely on his shot selection and defensive discipline. During a rare early-January marathon on 01/02 vs OKC, he dished out 11 assists but still posted a brutal -8.2 impact score because his miserable 1-for-8 shooting rendered him a massive scoring liability. He occasionally found ways to contribute without scoring a single point. On 01/24 vs MIN, Spencer posted a +2.2 impact score despite putting up a goose egg in the scoring column, earning his positive rating entirely through aggressive ball pressure. Volume alone rarely guaranteed positive value, though. On 02/03 vs PHI, Spencer dropped 13 points but registered a -4.3 impact score, bleeding points the other way through undisciplined fouling and lazy transition defense. Until he stops forcing bad looks and committing careless fouls, his overall utility will remain heavily compromised.

A maddening stretch of empty calories defined Pat Spencer's midseason run, as his ball-dominant habits actively harmed the second unit. Look no further than the 04/01 vs SAS matchup. He stuffed the stat sheet with 14 points, eight rebounds, and seven assists, yet posted a disastrous -10.0 impact score. Instead of moving the offense, he pounded the air out of the ball and settled for heavily contested looks that killed possession momentum. He bled value in similar fashion on 02/25 vs MEM, pairing nine assists with a -8.0 impact rating because loose ball security and terrible shot quality erased his playmaking contributions. Conversely, Spencer actually helped his squad when he stopped forcing the issue. During the 03/05 vs HOU game, he managed just eight points but recorded a +5.3 impact score. By relying on fundamentally sound defense and smart, quick passing rather than monopolizing the shot clock, he generated real value without needing a heavy scoring load.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. Spencer has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~6 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 46% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Spencer locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: -1.0, second-half: -3.0. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 8 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

I. Joe 39.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.3
PTS 12
S. Castle 35.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 8
J. Wells 25.9 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 6
P. Pritchard 24.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
R. Dillingham 24.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 4
C. Gillespie 23.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Wiggins 22.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 4
J. McDaniels 22.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3
D. Fox 22.5 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 4
D. Smith 21.7 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 6

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

I. Joe 35.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 8
D. Hunter 25.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. McDaniels 25.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 6
D. DiVincenzo 23.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7
J. Wells 23.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
D. Fox 22.9 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 6
A. Wiggins 22.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
S. Castle 21.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 5
S. Hauser 20.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Harper 20.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 4

SEASON STATS

60
Games
7.1
PPG
2.4
RPG
3.4
APG
0.7
SPG
0.1
BPG
43.5
FG%
36.8
3P%
80.0
FT%
18.0
MPG

GAME LOG

60 games played