DAL

2025-26 Season

JEREMIAH ROBINSON-EARL

Dallas Mavericks | Forward | 6-9
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
4.6PPG
4.7RPG
0.7APG
16.4MPG
-2.7 Impact

Robinson-Earl produces at an below average rate for a 16-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.7
Scoring +3.2
Points Scored 4.6 PPG = +4.6
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.9
Creation +0.3
Assists & Self-Creation 0.7 AST/g + self-creation = +0.3
Turnovers -1.3
Turnovers 0.5/g (live + dead blend) = -1.3
Defense -0.2
Steals 0.4/g = +0.9
Blocks 0.0/g = +0.0
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.1
Hustle & Effort +4.7
Rebounds 4.7 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +3.4
Contested Shots 3.1/g = +0.6
Deflections 0.6/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.3/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +6.7
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.4
Net Impact
-2.7
34th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 17th
5.2 PPG
Efficiency 14th
49.2% TS
Playmaking 12th
0.8 APG
Rebounding 70th
5.3 RPG
Defense 17th
+4.7/g
Hustle 91th
+19.1/g
Creation 21th
+1.59/g
Shot Making 9th
+2.57/g
TO Discipline 85th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl's opening stretch of the 2025-26 season was defined by a mid-November promotion to the starting lineup, fueled entirely by his relentless rebounding rather than his shooting touch. Coming off the bench on 11/06 vs BKN, he managed just 8 points on a rough 3-for-9 shooting night, yet he still generated a massive +18.4 Impact score. That stellar rating stemmed purely from his dominance on the glass, as he ripped down 15 rebounds and completely altered the game with his physical defensive effort. He replicated that exact gritty formula on 11/10 vs GSW, posting a +14.1 Impact score despite missing all three of his attempts from deep and finishing with only 9 points. His 12 rebounds in 32 minutes earned him a starting job, but the heavier workload quickly exposed his offensive limitations. By the 11/16 vs TOR matchup, his lack of playmaking severely dragged down the first unit. He logged 30 minutes but tallied zero assists and bricked three of his four three-point attempts, earning a dreadful -9.4 Impact score because his inability to stretch the floor crippled the team's spacing.

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl's mid-November stretch was defined by bizarrely inverted production where his best shooting nights often yielded his worst overall value. When he actually found his stroke on 11/25 vs DET, pouring in 10 points on 4-for-6 shooting, he completely ignored the dirty work. That empty scoring punch came with zero rebounds and zero assists, dragging his overall Impact down to -1.7. He was a total bricklayer on 11/29 vs WAS. Despite scoring just 3 points on an ugly 1-for-7 shooting night, he salvaged a +1.3 Impact in that contest by dominating the glass for 11 rebounds, dishing 4 assists, and playing highly disruptive defense. Unfortunately, those flashes of gritty utility were rare. A dismal outing on 11/30 vs CHI yielded a -11.8 Impact as he went scoreless in 11 minutes, highlighting a bench player desperately struggling to find a reliable nightly identity.

This seven-game stretch was defined by erratic playing time and brutal offensive inefficiency, interrupted by a lone flash of competence. Robinson-Earl actually looked like a viable frontcourt piece on 01/16 vs UTA, posting a +5.7 impact score by efficiently knocking down his looks (5-of-8 shooting) and working the glass for seven rebounds. Unfortunately, that performance was a massive outlier. When his jumper abandons him, his lack of playmaking turns him into a glaring liability. Take his 12/02 vs CLE appearance, where a clunky 1-of-5 shooting night and zero assists dragged his impact down to a rough -8.6. By the end of this run, his minutes had completely evaporated. During a fleeting three-minute shift on 01/25 vs LAL, he grabbed just a single rebound and generated a disastrous -12.4 impact score, revealing the severe hidden costs of occupying space without offering any real defensive resistance or offensive threat.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Robinson-Earl's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~3 points per game.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 33% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -0.2, second-half: -5.3. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

In a rough stretch — 4 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 24 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Bailey 37.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 10
B. Sensabaugh 25.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 4
B. Ingram 23.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3
D. Robinson 19.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. O'Neale 17.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Porter Jr. 16.8 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 5
W. Clayton Jr. 15.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 4
D. Hunter 15.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Murray-Boyles 14.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
K. George 13.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

A. Bailey 37.6 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 8
R. Barrett 25.3 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 6
R. O'Neale 22.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 5
L. Markkanen 17.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 5
C. Williams 16.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
S. Mamukelashvili 15.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.44
PTS 7
Q. Post 13.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Brooks 13.3 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.75
PTS 10
D. Hunter 13.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 3
J. Butler III 12.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 3

SEASON STATS

22
Games
4.6
PPG
4.7
RPG
0.7
APG
0.4
SPG
0.0
BPG
37.0
FG%
24.4
3P%
94.4
FT%
16.4
MPG

GAME LOG

22 games played