IND

2025-26 Season

OBI TOPPIN

Indiana Pacers | Forward | 6-9
Obi Toppin
11.4PPG
4.4RPG
2.2APG
17.8MPG
+0.9 Impact

Toppin produces at an average rate for a 18-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+0.9
Scoring +10.3
Points Scored 11.4 PPG = +11.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -3.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.2
Creation +0.9
Assists & Self-Creation 2.2 AST/g + self-creation = +0.9
Turnovers -2.5
Turnovers 1.1/g (live + dead blend) = -2.5
Defense -0.1
Steals 0.5/g = +1.1
Blocks 0.0/g = +0.0
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.2
Hustle & Effort +2.9
Rebounds 4.4 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.8
Contested Shots 1.9/g = +0.4
Deflections 0.7/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.4/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +11.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.6
Net Impact
+0.9
58th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 64th
11.4 PPG
Efficiency 68th
58.9% TS
Playmaking 68th
2.2 APG
Rebounding 55th
4.4 RPG
Defense 49th
+7.1/g
Hustle 42th
+11.4/g
Creation 77th
+3.35/g
Shot Making 61th
+6.64/g
TO Discipline 23th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Obi Toppin's early 2025-26 campaign was defined by a rapid, ugly descent from high-energy bench weapon to outright rotational liability. He initially thrived in a chaotic sixth-man role, posting a +8.4 Impact score on 10/23 vs OKC despite bricking all eight of his three-point attempts. That positive mark stemmed entirely from his relentless hustle and rebounding over a grueling 40 minutes, keeping possessions alive when his jumper failed him. He offered similar gritty value on 10/26 vs MIN, generating a +2.1 Impact score while scoring just nine points because he scrapped for six rebounds and did the dirty work inside. Eventually, his minutes simply vanished. The bottom fell out completely on 03/04 vs LAC. Sleepwalking through 10 minutes, he finished with zero points and a disastrous -11.9 Impact score. Without his early-season rebounding energy or any semblance of an offensive threat, he became dead weight who actively ruined the floor spacing.

Obi Toppin's eight-game stretch was a frustrating rollercoaster of erratic perimeter shooting and wild swings in effectiveness following a quick demotion to the bench. On 03/21 vs SAS, he managed 11 points and 4 assists, but his brutal 0-for-5 bricklaying from beyond the arc dragged his overall rating down to a dismal -10.1 Impact. Settling for bad jumpers completely killed his utility. He finally found his rhythm during a late-March surge against Los Angeles, peaking with a brilliant performance on 03/27 vs LAC. In that contest, Toppin erupted for 20 points and 8 rebounds in just 23 minutes to generate a massive +17.1 Impact. By combining hyper-efficient shot selection—hitting 8 of his 11 attempts—with aggressive work on the glass, he transformed from a perimeter liability into a lethal frontcourt weapon.

Obi Toppin's recent stretch off the bench was defined by dizzying swings between hyper-efficient scoring bursts and hollow, volume-heavy duds. Look no further than the 04/07 vs MIN matchup for the negative end of that spectrum. Despite putting up 14 points, his brutal 4-for-13 shooting night actively stalled the offense, dragging his overall value down to a -0.3 impact score. He flipped the script completely just two nights later on 04/09 vs BKN. By settling for just a single three-point attempt and finishing 11-for-14 from the floor, Toppin bullied his way to 26 points and 9 rebounds for a monstrous +29.6 impact. The perimeter touch finally arrived on 04/12 vs DET. He torched the defense by sinking 7 of his 11 attempts from deep, pouring in 21 points in only 18 minutes to earn a +8.6 impact score. When Toppin plays within himself and hits his looks, he is an absolute weapon, but his erratic shot selection still creates unnecessary headaches.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Toppin's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 52% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Toppin locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -2.3, second-half: +3.9. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 23 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

S. Aldama 19.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.16
PTS 3
O. Anunoby 19.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 6
I. Hartenstein 14.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
L. Dončić 14.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
K. Kuzma 12.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 3
B. Miller 11.8 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.42
PTS 5
C. Holmgren 11.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.51
PTS 6
J. Konchar 11.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 2
G. Jackson 11.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 2
B. Lopez 11.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

I. Hartenstein 24.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
S. Aldama 20.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
C. Holmgren 18.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 6
J. Hart 18.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.44
PTS 8
O. Anunoby 18.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.61
PTS 11
J. Vanderbilt 17.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Lopez 15.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
L. James 15.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
P. Achiuwa 14.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Jones Jr. 13.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

25
Games
11.4
PPG
4.4
RPG
2.2
APG
0.5
SPG
0.0
BPG
50.2
FG%
34.9
3P%
91.3
FT%
17.8
MPG

GAME LOG

25 games played