CHI

2025-26 Season

JALEN SMITH

Chicago Bulls | Forward-Center | 6-8
Jalen Smith
10.3PPG
6.7RPG
1.2APG
20.6MPG
+1.1 Impact

Smith produces at an above average rate for a 21-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+1.1
Scoring +9.1
Points Scored 10.3 PPG = +10.3
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -3.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.2
Creation +0.6
Assists & Self-Creation 1.2 AST/g + self-creation = +0.6
Turnovers -2.4
Turnovers 1.0/g (live + dead blend) = -2.4
Defense -0.9
Steals 0.4/g = +0.9
Blocks 0.8/g = +0.7
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.5
Hustle & Effort +5.9
Rebounds 6.7 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +3.5
Contested Shots 5.8/g = +1.2
Deflections 0.7/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.2
Loose Balls 0.4/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 1.3/g = +0.4
Raw Impact +12.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.2
Net Impact
+1.1
60th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 58th
10.3 PPG
Efficiency 85th
61.9% TS
Playmaking 32th
1.2 APG
Rebounding 86th
6.7 RPG
Defense 32th
+6.0/g
Hustle 74th
+15.2/g
Creation 47th
+2.28/g
Shot Making 31th
+4.39/g
TO Discipline 43th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jalen Smith's first 18 games off the bench were defined by wild, unpredictable swings between highly efficient sparkplug and actively detrimental liability. When his jumper falls, he looks like an elite floor-stretching big, perfectly captured on 11/09 vs CLE where he posted a massive +13.9 impact score by hitting all six of his shots for 18 points and grabbing 11 boards. He occasionally found ways to generate value even when his touch abandoned him, like on 11/11 vs SAS. Despite a brutal 5-for-13 shooting night in that game, his relentless work on the glass yielded 12 rebounds and drove a stellar +8.6 impact score. The problem is that Smith's scoring often masks severe defensive bleeding or a total lack of ball movement. Look at his performance on 11/05 vs PHI, where he dropped 14 points and hit three triples, but still managed a dismal -6.6 impact score because his empty-calorie perimeter hunting and zero assists stalled the second unit's offense. If he wants to be trusted with more than 17 minutes a night, he has to flatten out these extreme fluctuations. Right now, putting him on the floor is simply a gamble.

Jalen Smith’s midseason stretch was defined by a chaotic transition from a slumping bench liability to a volatile, rebounding-obsessed spot starter. Early on, he found ways to salvage terrible shooting nights through pure hustle. During the 12/13 vs CHA matchup, Smith scored a measly 5 points on 2-for-9 from the floor, yet still posted a +3.8 impact by ripping down 10 rebounds in just 17 minutes to manufacture crucial extra possessions. As the season progressed, his relentless glass-cleaning earned him heavier minutes, but that longer leash occasionally exposed his destructive shot selection. Look no further than 01/14 vs HOU, where he tallied a respectable 14 points and 9 boards in a starting role but dragged the team down to a -2.4 impact by forcing the issue and bricking all five of his three-point attempts. Smith is simply at his best when he embraces the dirty work inside rather than drifting to the perimeter. This reality was perfectly highlighted on 01/17 vs BKN, when he came off the bench to bully his way to 14 points, 13 rebounds, and a massive +14.0 impact.

Jalen Smith’s midseason stretch was defined by a volatile tug-of-war between his rebounding utility and his defensive inconsistency. He often found ways to tilt the floor without filling it up, like during the 02/19 vs TOR matchup where he managed just 9 points but generated a massive +7.7 impact. Despite the quiet scoring night, Smith dominated the glass with 10 rebounds and provided relentless hustle to anchor the interior. He pulled off a similar trick on 03/10 vs GSW, posting a +6.2 impact despite an ugly 3-for-13 shooting night. Rather than letting his broken jumper ruin his shift, he simply outworked everyone for 12 rebounds to keep possessions alive. Yet, his value could plummet just as quickly when he traded grit for empty calories. Look at the 03/23 vs HOU game, where an efficient 15-point scoring outburst was entirely negated by a -1.9 impact score. He knocked down shots effortlessly, but a complete lack of defensive resistance and passive rebounding allowed Houston to exploit him on the other end.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Smith's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~4 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 63% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Smith consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -0.9, second-half: +3.1. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 7 games. Longest cold streak: 5 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 56 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

K. Towns 46.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.28
PTS 13
Y. Missi 42.8 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
S. Bey 34.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
L. James 33.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Duren 33.6 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 7
C. Murray-Boyles 33.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.3
PTS 10
J. Smith Jr. 32.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 7
G. Bitadze 31.8 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.31
PTS 10
A. Bona 29.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 6
J. Randle 28.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 6

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

K. Towns 54.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 10
N. Claxton 44.7 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
J. Smith Jr. 44.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
Y. Missi 37.2 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
D. Ayton 36.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 8
C. Murray-Boyles 36.2 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
L. James 35.9 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
G. Bitadze 35.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
A. Sengun 35.5 poss
FG% 88.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.48
PTS 17
J. Duren 35.1 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

54
Games
10.3
PPG
6.7
RPG
1.2
APG
0.4
SPG
0.8
BPG
48.8
FG%
37.6
3P%
74.2
FT%
20.6
MPG

GAME LOG

54 games played