2025-26 Season
JALEN SMITH
2025-26 Season
JALEN SMITH
Smith produces at an above average rate for a 21-minute workload.
Smith produces at an above average rate for a 21-minute workload.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 21 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Jalen Smith's first 18 games off the bench were defined by wild, unpredictable swings between highly efficient sparkplug and actively detrimental liability. When his jumper falls, he looks like an elite floor-stretching big, perfectly captured on 11/09 vs CLE where he posted a massive +13.9 impact score by hitting all six of his shots for 18 points and grabbing 11 boards. He occasionally found ways to generate value even when his touch abandoned him, like on 11/11 vs SAS. Despite a brutal 5-for-13 shooting night in that game, his relentless work on the glass yielded 12 rebounds and drove a stellar +8.6 impact score. The problem is that Smith's scoring often masks severe defensive bleeding or a total lack of ball movement. Look at his performance on 11/05 vs PHI, where he dropped 14 points and hit three triples, but still managed a dismal -6.6 impact score because his empty-calorie perimeter hunting and zero assists stalled the second unit's offense. If he wants to be trusted with more than 17 minutes a night, he has to flatten out these extreme fluctuations. Right now, putting him on the floor is simply a gamble.
Jalen Smith’s midseason stretch was defined by a chaotic transition from a slumping bench liability to a volatile, rebounding-obsessed spot starter. Early on, he found ways to salvage terrible shooting nights through pure hustle. During the 12/13 vs CHA matchup, Smith scored a measly 5 points on 2-for-9 from the floor, yet still posted a +3.8 impact by ripping down 10 rebounds in just 17 minutes to manufacture crucial extra possessions. As the season progressed, his relentless glass-cleaning earned him heavier minutes, but that longer leash occasionally exposed his destructive shot selection. Look no further than 01/14 vs HOU, where he tallied a respectable 14 points and 9 boards in a starting role but dragged the team down to a -2.4 impact by forcing the issue and bricking all five of his three-point attempts. Smith is simply at his best when he embraces the dirty work inside rather than drifting to the perimeter. This reality was perfectly highlighted on 01/17 vs BKN, when he came off the bench to bully his way to 14 points, 13 rebounds, and a massive +14.0 impact.
Jalen Smith’s midseason stretch was defined by a volatile tug-of-war between his rebounding utility and his defensive inconsistency. He often found ways to tilt the floor without filling it up, like during the 02/19 vs TOR matchup where he managed just 9 points but generated a massive +7.7 impact. Despite the quiet scoring night, Smith dominated the glass with 10 rebounds and provided relentless hustle to anchor the interior. He pulled off a similar trick on 03/10 vs GSW, posting a +6.2 impact despite an ugly 3-for-13 shooting night. Rather than letting his broken jumper ruin his shift, he simply outworked everyone for 12 rebounds to keep possessions alive. Yet, his value could plummet just as quickly when he traded grit for empty calories. Look at the 03/23 vs HOU game, where an efficient 15-point scoring outburst was entirely negated by a -1.9 impact score. He knocked down shots effortlessly, but a complete lack of defensive resistance and passive rebounding allowed Houston to exploit him on the other end.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Boom-or-bust player. Smith's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~4 points per game.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 63% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive difference-maker. Smith consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -0.9, second-half: +3.1. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.
Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 7 games. Longest cold streak: 5 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago
Based on 56 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
54 games played