MIN

2025-26 Season

JULIAN PHILLIPS

Minnesota Timberwolves | Forward | 6-6
Julian Phillips
2.8PPG
1.0RPG
0.2APG
8.5MPG
-6.7 Impact

Phillips produces at an poor rate for a 8-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.7
Scoring +2.3
Points Scored 2.8 PPG = +2.8
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.1
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.6
Creation +0.2
Assists & Self-Creation 0.2 AST/g + self-creation = +0.2
Turnovers -0.5
Turnovers 0.2/g (live + dead blend) = -0.5
Defense +0.2
Steals 0.4/g = +0.9
Blocks 0.1/g = +0.1
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -0.8
Hustle & Effort +0.9
Rebounds 1.0 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.1
Contested Shots 1.1/g = +0.2
Deflections 0.7/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +3.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.8
Net Impact
-6.7
5th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 9th
4.3 PPG
Efficiency 10th
48.3% TS
Playmaking 0th
0.3 APG
Rebounding 2th
1.5 RPG
Defense 35th
+6.4/g
Hustle 1th
+3.8/g
Creation 13th
+1.38/g
Shot Making 12th
+2.74/g
TO Discipline 95th
0.02/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Julian Phillips spent the first 16 games of the season battling a brutal slump, logging relentlessly empty minutes at the end of the bench. His only net-positive outing arrived on 10/25 vs ORL, where a modest four points and two rebounds in ten minutes yielded a +1.5 impact score simply because he avoided costly mistakes and played within himself. The underlying metrics remained grim even when his shot finally fell. During an efficient 10-point burst on 11/17 vs UTA, his impact score still sank to -3.6 because he offered virtually no resistance defensively and grabbed just a single rebound. Given an extended 18-minute look on 11/22 vs MIA, he clanked four of his five field goal attempts to post a disastrous -13.8 impact. A fringe wing cannot bleed this much value and expect to keep his rotation spot.

Julian Phillips spent this midseason stretch tumbling rapidly down the depth chart, transitioning from a fringe rotation piece into a garbage-time afterthought. Even when he found the bottom of the net, like his 10-point outing on 12/02 vs ORL, his impact score remained stuck in the red at -1.8. That negative mark stemmed directly from his total lack of playmaking and inefficient perimeter execution, as he clanked three of his four attempts from deep while failing to record a single assist. His lone positive contribution arrived on 01/06 vs BOS, where he posted a +0.3 impact simply by knocking down a pair of spot-up threes to briefly space the floor. By late January, his court time had completely evaporated into pure cardio. During a brief stint on 01/21 vs LAC, he posted a devastating -11.2 impact by missing his only shot and failing to register a single counting stat. You cannot survive in an NBA rotation while completely disappearing from the box score.

Julian Phillips spent this mid-to-late season stretch marooned at the end of the bench, battling severe inefficiency during his rare moments of extended run. His lone bright spot arrived on 02/01 vs MIA, where he managed a +2.0 Impact score despite an ugly 3-for-11 shooting night. He salvaged his overall value by flying around the floor, using raw defensive energy and hustle to compensate for a broken jumper. Outside of that anomaly, his fleeting appearances were actively harmful. He bottomed out entirely on 04/07 vs IND, posting a catastrophic -12.4 Impact score while running around for three scoreless minutes. Even when given a massive 26-minute leash on 04/12 vs NOP, the underlying metrics rejected his box score. Phillips poured in 16 points, yet his -4.8 Impact score exposed the illusion. A clunky 1-for-5 mark from deep and constant defensive lapses bled away any real value his scoring provided.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Phillips has posted negative impact in 94% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 33% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Average defender. Phillips doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -7.1, second-half -6.2. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

In a rough stretch — 17 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 24 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 71 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

K. Johnson 24.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
S. Fontecchio 22.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
D. Bane 19.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 4
T. da Silva 19.8 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 3
G. Mathews 19.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Porter Jr. 18.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Gardner 16.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
T. Martin 13.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 5
J. Jaquez Jr. 10.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 3
D. Smith 10.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

K. Johnson 26.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4
T. da Silva 26.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Martin 21.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Mathurin 15.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Gardner 13.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Green 13.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.37
PTS 5
J. Jaquez Jr. 12.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 4
K. Jakučionis 12.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 3
P. Larsson 11.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 4
B. Adebayo 10.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.58
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

52
Games
2.8
PPG
1.0
RPG
0.2
APG
0.4
SPG
0.1
BPG
41.6
FG%
31.3
3P%
78.3
FT%
8.5
MPG

GAME LOG

52 games played