BOS

2025-26 Season

JAYLEN BROWN

Boston Celtics | Guard-Forward | 6-6
Jaylen Brown
28.7 PPG
7.0 RPG
5.2 APG
34.3 MPG
+4.2 Impact

Brown produces at an above average rate for a 34-minute workload. 3.6 turnovers per game cost 7.0 points of value nightly.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+4.2
Scoring +18.0
Points 28.7 PPG × +1.00 = +28.7
Missed 2PT 7.7/g × -0.78 = -6.0
Missed 3PT 3.7/g × -0.87 = -3.2
Missed FT 1.5/g × -1.00 = -1.5
Creation +4.7
Assists 5.2/g × +0.50 = +2.6
Off. Rebounds 1.7/g × +1.26 = +2.1
Turnovers -7.0
Turnovers 3.6/g × -1.95 = -7.0
Defense +2.4
Steals 1.0/g × +2.30 = +2.3
Blocks 0.4/g × +0.90 = +0.4
Def. Rebounds 5.2/g × +0.30 = +1.6
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.8
Contested Shots 4.7/g × +0.20 = +0.9
Deflections 1.8/g × +0.65 = +1.2
Loose Balls 0.9/g × +0.60 = +0.5
Screen Assists 0.3/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.0/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.1
Raw Impact +20.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −16.7
Net Impact
+4.2
96th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 99th
28.7 PPG
Efficiency 71th
57.7% TS
Playmaking 84th
5.2 APG
Rebounding 97th
7.0 RPG
Rim Protection 59th
0.12/min
Hustle 22th
0.08/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 5th
0.10/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jaylen Brown opened the 2025-26 campaign as an absolute battering ram, defined by a relentless, high-volume attacking style that yielded both spectacular highs and frustrating bouts of stubborn inefficiency. Take his 10/24 vs NYK performance, where he poured in 23 points but still cratered with a dismal -11.2 impact score. That staggering negative value stemmed entirely from poor decision-making, which completely undermined his individual bucket-getting. Conversely, he figured out how to salvage his value when his jumper abandoned him during the 11/03 vs UTA matchup. Despite missing all nine of his three-point attempts, Brown still generated a massive +10.9 impact by ruthlessly attacking inside the arc and bullying his way to 36 points. When his shot selection actually aligned with his physical dominance, the results were terrifying. On 11/05 vs WAS, he needed just 26 minutes to hang 35 points and a towering +20.2 impact score on the board. Relentless rim pressure and elite shot creation dismantled the defense, revealing exactly how destructive Brown can be when he avoids bad habits.

This twenty-game stretch was defined by a maddening Jekyll-and-Hyde routine, oscillating violently between unstoppable offensive mastery and self-destructive isolation habits. When Brown attacked the basket with purpose, he looked like the best wing in basketball. Look no further than his 50-point eruption against LAC on 01/03, where relentless rim pressure fueled a massive +21.1 impact score. Yet, that brilliance frequently vanished in a fog of terrible shot selection that actively hurt his team despite gaudy box-score totals. He poured in 33 points against DEN on 01/07, but his -3.2 impact revealed the hidden cost of heavy shooting volume and underlying inefficiencies that dragged down the offense. The absolute nadir arrived against CHI on 01/05. An atrocious display of forced isolation attempts and a 6-for-24 shooting night yielded just 14 points, completely torpedoing his value with a brutal -16.7 impact. Brown remains a lethal weapon when he plays within the flow of the offense, but his stubborn insistence on hijacking possessions keeps his overall footprint frustratingly erratic.

A frustrating tug-of-war between sheer scoring volume and maddening inefficiency defined this twenty-game stretch for Jaylen Brown. He often fell in love with his own contested jumper, a habit that severely damaged his value even when the raw point totals looked healthy. Look no further than his outing against MIA on 02/06. Despite dropping 29 points, a heavy diet of forced shots against set defenses dragged him down to a dismal -9.3 impact score. Conversely, when his jumper abandoned him, he occasionally salvaged his floor game through sheer defensive grit. During a messy 23-point performance against DEN on 02/25, terrible perimeter shooting was offset by his stifling effort on the other end, resulting in a +9.6 impact score built largely on a massive +12.7 defensive metric. When he actually merged smart shot selection with that defensive intensity, the results were terrifying. He absolutely dismantled his matchup against PHX on 03/16, pairing aggressive downhill drives with physical point-of-attack defense to rack up 41 points and a towering +19.1 impact score.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Brown has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~8 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 63% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Brown consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +5.0, second-half: +3.4. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 12 games. Longest cold streak: 5 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 70 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Harris 132.8 poss
FG% 29.7%
3P% 12.5%
PPP 0.23
PTS 31
K. Oubre Jr. 102.3 poss
FG% 47.1%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 19
T. Camara 91.9 poss
FG% 63.6%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.34
PTS 31
N. Clowney 88.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 26
F. Wagner 79.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 13
A. Nembhard 73.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 19
D. Daniels 66.7 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 17
K. Kuzma 64.7 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 16
L. Dort 61.0 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 19
M. Bridges 57.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 13

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

N. Clowney 103.9 poss
FG% 35.7%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.13
PTS 13
K. Oubre Jr. 80.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 9
T. Harris 76.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.16
PTS 12
F. Wagner 64.4 poss
FG% 58.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.31
PTS 20
D. Hunter 62.1 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 22.2%
PPP 0.13
PTS 8
T. Camara 60.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 4
B. Mathurin 55.8 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
C. Cunningham 46.7 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
FG% 22.2%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
A. Wiggins 44.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 71.4%
PPP 0.41
PTS 18

SEASON STATS

68
Games
28.7
PPG
7.0
RPG
5.2
APG
1.0
SPG
0.4
BPG
47.5
FG%
34.5
3P%
79.7
FT%
34.3
MPG

GAME LOG

68 games played