2025-26 Season
NIKOLA JOVIĆ
2025-26 Season
NIKOLA JOVIĆ
Jović produces at an poor rate for a 17-minute workload.
Jović produces at an poor rate for a 17-minute workload.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 14 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Nikola Jović’s start to the 2025-26 season was defined by an immediate demotion to the second unit and maddening offensive volatility. He occasionally caught fire as a primary option, erupting for 29 points, nine boards, and six assists on 11/09 vs POR to earn a +11.6 Impact score through brilliant, aggressive shot-making. Yet, those outbursts were exceptions to a grim rule. Far too often, his erratic shot selection and clunky execution tanked his overall value on the floor. During his 11/13 vs CLE appearance, Jović managed just two points on 1-for-6 shooting, resulting in a disastrous -16.5 Impact score as his forced jumpers actively killed offensive momentum. He did occasionally find ways to help the team survive despite quiet scoring nights. On 10/28 vs CHA, he tallied a modest 10 points but still generated a +6.0 Impact score by taking smart, efficient shots and battling for six crucial rebounds. To survive in this rotation, he must stop swinging wildly between bench savior and outright offensive liability.
Nikola Jović’s mid-season stretch was defined by a maddening pendulum swing between dynamic scoring bursts and crippling shooting slumps. When his perimeter stroke was actually falling, he looked like a genuine difference-maker off the bench. Look at the 12/30 vs DEN matchup, where he caught fire for 22 points on five made threes to generate a stellar +13.1 Impact score. Yet, decent raw point totals often masked deeper inefficiencies in his floor game. During the 12/07 vs SAC contest, he managed a respectable 12 points and six assists, but a miserable -12.3 Impact score exposed the hidden costs of his inefficient 4-for-10 shooting and empty trips down the floor. The bottom completely fell out shortly after his brief holiday surge. Facing 01/02 vs DET, Jović chucked his way to a brutal 1-for-10 shooting night, earning a -12.7 Impact score as his disastrous shot selection actively killed the second unit's momentum.
A severe offensive slump and evaporating minutes defined this brutal stretch for Nikola Jović. He briefly flashed his ceiling on 01/25 vs UTA, pouring in 23 points on 6-of-12 shooting to generate a stellar +11.2 Impact score. That rare positive mark stemmed entirely from his aggressive, efficient shot selection rather than his usual erratic chucking. Unfortunately, that rhythm vanished almost immediately. The regression culminated in an abysmal 02/06 vs BOS appearance where he went scoreless on 0-of-5 shooting in just six minutes. Missing four three-pointers in such a tight window completely torpedoed the offense, resulting in a -12.7 Impact score as his forced attempts actively hurt the team. Things hit rock bottom on 03/21 vs HOU, yielding a disastrous -16.9 Impact score in a mere four minutes of action. When his outside shot abandons him, Jović simply doesn't offer enough secondary playmaking or defensive resistance to survive on an NBA floor.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Struggling. Jović has posted negative impact in 77% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.
Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 27% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.
Defensive difference-maker. Jović consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
In a rough stretch — 11 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 11 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago
Based on 68 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
47 games played