PHX

2025-26 Season

NIGEL HAYES-DAVIS

Phoenix Suns | Forward | 6-7
Nigel Hayes-Davis
1.3PPG
1.2RPG
0.3APG
7.2MPG
-7.9 Impact

Hayes-Davis produces at an poor rate for a 7-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-7.9
Scoring +0.8
Points Scored 1.3 PPG = +1.3
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -0.9
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.4
Creation +0.1
Assists & Self-Creation 0.3 AST/g + self-creation = +0.1
Turnovers -0.8
Turnovers 0.3/g (live + dead blend) = -0.8
Defense +0.2
Steals 0.3/g = +0.7
Blocks 0.1/g = +0.1
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -0.6
Hustle & Effort +1.1
Rebounds 1.2 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.3
Contested Shots 0.8/g = +0.2
Deflections 0.7/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +1.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.3
Net Impact
-7.9
1st pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 0th
1.7 PPG
Efficiency 0th
26.1% TS
Playmaking 4th
0.5 APG
Rebounding 3th
1.6 RPG
Defense 49th
+7.1/g
Hustle 7th
+6.3/g
Creation 1th
+0.70/g
Shot Making 5th
+2.08/g
TO Discipline 56th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Nigel Hayes-Davis spent the opening weeks of the 2025-26 season battling irrelevance at the absolute fringes of the rotation. He flashed brief utility on 10/24 vs LAC, logging a season-high 21 minutes and posting a +8.8 Impact score largely because he actually hit his shots, going 3-for-4 from the field for 7 points. But that fleeting spark quickly faded into a string of empty cardio shifts where he simply existed on the floor without altering the game. Look no further than 11/03 vs SAS, where he wandered through 10 minutes of action to produce zero points and a single rebound, resulting in a brutal -17.1 Impact score. When a fringe rotation player fails to generate any offensive gravity or defensive disruption, their mere presence bleeds value from the lineup. His brief three-minute cameo on 10/27 vs UTA yielded a similarly dismal -16.1 Impact score after he missed his only shot and recorded zero other counting stats. Unless he finds a way to aggressively impact the margins, Hayes-Davis will remain anchored to the end of the bench.

Nigel Hayes-Davis spent this nine-game stretch floating through empty minutes, offering absolutely nothing to justify his rotation spot. His offensive futility reached a painful low on 11/30 vs DEN. Despite logging 13 minutes, he bricked all three of his shots and recorded zero assists. This total lack of playmaking and poor shot-making resulted in a staggering -14.0 impact score, as his empty possessions actively killed the team's momentum. The story was equally grim on 11/14 vs IND, where he posted a -11.7 impact score while missing both field goal attempts in eight invisible minutes. Even when he finally managed to see the ball go through the hoop on 12/02 vs LAL with four points, his impact remained a negative -4.0. He simply bleeds value every second he plays. His inability to rebound, create for others, or stretch the floor creates a massive hidden cost that drags down every lineup he joins.

This nine-game stretch was defined by pure garbage-time irrelevance. Hayes-Davis simply could not find any rhythm off the end of the bench. During a six-minute stint on 12/24 vs LAL, he missed both of his field goal attempts and generated a dismal -11.2 impact score. Even when he managed to knock down a pair of shots for five points on 12/31 vs CLE, his overall impact score remained stuck in the red at -4.0. That negative rating despite perfect shooting stems from his absolute failure to anchor defensive rotations or facilitate for teammates during those fleeting appearances. The bottom fell out completely on 01/30 vs CLE. He logged three empty minutes with zero counting stats, suffering a brutal -11.9 impact score because his passive positioning actively bogged down the floor spacing. When a fringe forward cannot manage even a neutral impact during low-leverage mop-up duty, it becomes painfully obvious why his playing time is capped.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Hayes-Davis has posted negative impact in 96% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -7.7, second-half -8.0. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

In a rough stretch — 25 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 25 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 51 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Collins 16.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. DeRozan 11.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Smith Jr. 8.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
S. Aldama 8.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 2
D. Knecht 8.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 2
B. Carlson 7.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Walker 7.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Murray 6.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.58
PTS 4
T. Hardaway Jr. 6.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
L. Dončić 6.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Collins 14.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
P. Watson 12.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2
D. Knecht 10.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 2
S. Aldama 10.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 2
J. Smith Jr. 9.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. LaRavia 9.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. DeRozan 8.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
O. Dieng 7.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Caruso 6.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Murray 6.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.6
PTS 4

SEASON STATS

27
Games
1.3
PPG
1.2
RPG
0.3
APG
0.3
SPG
0.1
BPG
32.6
FG%
12.5
3P%
50.0
FT%
7.2
MPG

GAME LOG

27 games played