GSW

2025-26 Season

GUI SANTOS

Golden State Warriors | Forward | 6-7
Gui Santos
9.3PPG
4.0RPG
2.4APG
20.8MPG
-1.9 Impact

Santos produces at an below average rate for a 21-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.9
Scoring +8.5
Points Scored 9.3 PPG = +9.3
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.8
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.0
Creation +0.6
Assists & Self-Creation 2.4 AST/g + self-creation = +0.6
Turnovers -3.5
Turnovers 1.6/g (live + dead blend) = -3.5
Defense +0.2
Steals 0.9/g = +2.1
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.2
Hustle & Effort +3.5
Rebounds 4.0 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.3
Contested Shots 4.0/g = +0.8
Deflections 1.4/g = +0.9
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.2
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +9.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.2
Net Impact
-1.9
41st pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 57th
10.2 PPG
Efficiency 82th
61.7% TS
Playmaking 77th
2.7 APG
Rebounding 54th
4.4 RPG
Defense 78th
+9.5/g
Hustle 53th
+12.7/g
Creation 50th
+2.38/g
Shot Making 67th
+7.04/g
TO Discipline 11th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Gui Santos spent the first quarter of the 2025-26 season fighting for relevance at the end of the rotation, ultimately serving as an offensive liability in limited bursts. When handed a rare starting assignment on 11/20 vs MIA, he completely derailed the offense. Despite grabbing six rebounds, his aggressive but wildly inefficient 1-for-7 shooting dragged him down to a brutal -9.4 Impact score. He finally found a rhythm on 12/07 vs CLE, logging a season-best +3.1 Impact by dropping 14 points, hitting a pair of threes, and keeping the ball moving with 3 assists. Yet, even when his shots actually fell, his overall floor presence often actively hurt the team. Look no further than his 11/25 vs UTA performance. He poured in 9 points on 3-for-4 shooting in just 9 minutes, but still registered a dismal -7.8 Impact because he failed to grab a single rebound and offered zero peripheral value. Santos must figure out how to contribute beyond empty scoring bursts, or his NBA minutes will vanish entirely.

Gui Santos morphed from a fringe bench piece into a high-usage starter during this stretch, though his actual on-court value remained wildly inconsistent. Take his 01/14 vs POR outing, where he managed just 6 points but generated a stellar +10.7 Impact score by moving the ball for 6 assists and grinding out crucial defensive stops. Conversely, an expanded offensive role often exposed his flaws. Despite pouring in 16 points and grabbing 8 rebounds on 02/09 vs MEM, he posted a -0.9 Impact because defensive lapses and empty-calorie scoring actively hurt the team's overall efficiency. He even logged a massive 39 minutes on 02/24 vs NOP, securing a 15-point, 12-rebound double-double. Yet he still finished with a -3.3 Impact, dragged down by inefficient 6-for-13 shooting and poor offensive execution that stalled momentum. Santos clearly possesses the raw tools to stuff a stat sheet, but he must learn that true winning basketball requires more than just volume.

This late-season stretch was defined by extreme volatility, as Gui Santos toggled between looking like a budding offensive focal point and a detrimental chucker. He put everything together on 03/07 vs OKC, posting 22 points and 11 rebounds to generate a massive +19.5 Impact score driven by relentless rebounding and confident scoring. Just three days later on 03/10 vs CHI, that same aggression betrayed him. Despite scoring a respectable 17 points, he dragged the team down to a -9.4 Impact score because of brutal shot selection and a forced 7-of-19 shooting night. However, Santos also flashed the ability to be a gritty role player when his shot wasn't falling. On 03/02 vs LAC, he managed a +1.0 Impact score despite scoring just five points because he crashed the glass for 10 crucial rebounds and generated extra possessions. To take the next leap, he desperately needs to find a middle ground between reckless volume and consistent fundamental execution.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Santos's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 59% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Santos locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -6.7, second-half: +3.0. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 5 games. Longest cold streak: 16 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

N. Reid 43.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 9
J. Randle 41.7 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
T. Harris 32.3 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.34
PTS 11
N. Marshall 31.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
K. Anderson 28.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 5
B. Coulibaly 27.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Buzelis 26.2 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 7
A. Wiggins 26.1 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 5
R. O'Neale 25.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 5
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Randle 43.4 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.41
PTS 18
N. Reid 38.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 9
R. Gobert 37.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 12
A. Gill 28.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4
K. Anderson 28.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
L. Dort 27.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Thompson 26.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4
N. Marshall 24.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 6
A. Wiggins 24.1 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
B. Sensabaugh 22.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.48
PTS 11

SEASON STATS

70
Games
9.3
PPG
4.0
RPG
2.4
APG
0.9
SPG
0.3
BPG
50.5
FG%
34.9
3P%
72.1
FT%
20.8
MPG

GAME LOG

70 games played