MIL

2025-26 Season

THANASIS ANTETOKOUNMPO

Milwaukee Bucks | Forward | 6-7
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
1.4PPG
0.9RPG
0.4APG
4.4MPG
-7.5 Impact

Antetokounmpo produces at an poor rate for a 4-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-7.5
Scoring +1.0
Points Scored 1.4 PPG = +1.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -0.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.1
Creation +0.2
Assists & Self-Creation 0.4 AST/g + self-creation = +0.2
Turnovers -0.7
Turnovers 0.3/g (live + dead blend) = -0.7
Defense +0.5
Steals 0.4/g = +0.9
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -0.6
Hustle & Effort +0.6
Rebounds 0.9 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.0
Contested Shots 0.3/g = +0.1
Deflections 0.6/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +1.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.1
Net Impact
-7.5
3th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

THE SEASON SO FAR

Thanasis Antetokounmpo’s early season stretch was defined by pure, unadulterated garbage-time chaos. His appearances strictly signaled that a game was already decided, yet his frantic stints on the floor consistently bled points for the end-of-bench units. Take the 10/22 vs WAS matchup, where he logged just two minutes but managed a dismal -11.0 Impact score after missing his only shot and letting the defensive shell completely collapse. Even when he actually found the bottom of the net, the underlying metrics remained ugly. During the 12/07 vs DET game, he scored a season-high seven points in five minutes, but still posted a negative -3.0 Impact because his hyperactive, undisciplined rotations surrendered easy transition looks on the other end. He finally saw extended run on 01/14 vs MIN, playing eight minutes and scoring two points. However, his -5.2 Impact in that contest revealed the hidden costs of his erratic style, as poor shot selection and reckless closeouts dragged down the entire mop-up crew. Ultimately, his infectious sideline cheerleading simply does not translate into functional, positive-impact basketball.

This stretch of the season was defined entirely by chaotic, deeply damaging garbage-time cameos. During the 01/28 vs PHI matchup, Antetokounmpo logged two minutes of empty cardio, grabbing a single rebound while generating a catastrophic -12.5 impact score. That horrific rating stems directly from his complete lack of offensive gravity and a tendency to blow defensive assignments the second he steps on the hardwood. Even when he managed to find the basket, like his three-point outing on 02/22 vs TOR, the underlying metrics remained bleak. Despite hitting his only shot in four minutes of action, his erratic positioning and undisciplined defensive effort yielded a -3.4 impact score. He was similarly disastrous on 01/22 vs OKC. In just two minutes, he missed his only attempt, tallied zero counting stats, and posted a brutal -11.8 impact score. Ultimately, his untamed energy consistently bleeds value rather than creating it.

Thanasis Antetokounmpo’s late-season stretch was defined entirely by empty garbage-time minutes and a stark inability to positively influence the game. During an eight-minute stint on 03/23 vs LAC, he failed to score and missed his only shot. That total lack of offensive threat allowed defenders to completely ignore him, resulting in a brutal -11.3 Impact score. The exact same issues plagued him on 03/25 vs POR, where he managed just a single point and posted a disastrous -11.1 Impact. Even when handed a massive workload on 04/12 vs PHI, his fundamental limitations remained glaring. He tallied stretch-highs of eight points and six assists in 27 minutes, but still dragged the lineup down with a -5.1 Impact. His inability to shoot from the perimeter simply clogged the paint for everyone else, neutralizing any value his passing created. Endless energy on the bench is a nice luxury, but it cannot mask a complete lack of functional basketball production on the hardwood.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Antetokounmpo has posted negative impact in 100% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Average defender. Antetokounmpo doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -7.5, second-half -7.6. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

In a rough stretch — 34 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 34 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 72 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

H. González 10.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Koloko 7.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
L. Miller 7.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Williams III 7.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Carter 6.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
G. Bitadze 6.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 2
T. Jemison III 6.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Ingles 6.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 2
S. Cissoko 6.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Garcia 6.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Carter 8.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Diabaté 5.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Penda 5.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.54
PTS 3
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Cain 5.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 2
H. González 5.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Dillingham 4.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
L. Miller 4.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
E. Harkless 4.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.43
PTS 2
J. Ingles 4.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

34
Games
1.4
PPG
0.9
RPG
0.4
APG
0.4
SPG
0.2
BPG
46.9
FG%
0.0
3P%
56.7
FT%
4.4
MPG

GAME LOG

34 games played