DAL

2025-26 Season

AJ JOHNSON

Dallas Mavericks | Guard | 6-5
AJ Johnson
3.3PPG
1.1RPG
1.0APG
9.4MPG
-7.7 Impact

Johnson produces at an poor rate for a 9-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-7.7
Scoring +2.2
Points Scored 3.3 PPG = +3.3
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.8
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.7
Creation +0.4
Assists & Self-Creation 1.0 AST/g + self-creation = +0.4
Turnovers -1.4
Turnovers 0.6/g (live + dead blend) = -1.4
Defense -0.1
Steals 0.2/g = +0.5
Blocks 0.1/g = +0.1
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -0.7
Hustle & Effort +0.9
Rebounds 1.1 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.5
Contested Shots 1.1/g = +0.2
Deflections 0.4/g = +0.2
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.0/g = +0.0
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +2.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.7
Net Impact
-7.7
3th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 16th
5.6 PPG
Efficiency 4th
41.4% TS
Playmaking 26th
1.6 APG
Rebounding 11th
1.8 RPG
Defense 3th
+2.6/g
Hustle 27th
+6.7/g
Creation 62th
+3.13/g
Shot Making 9th
+3.69/g
TO Discipline 27th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

AJ Johnson's first sixteen games of the 2025-26 season were defined by empty garbage-time minutes and a glaring inability to positively affect the game. When he finally earned a nine-minute run on 11/08 vs CLE, he posted a brutal -13.1 impact score, dragged down by poor shot selection as he bricked three of his four attempts. For months, his appearances were nothing more than brief, unproductive cardio sessions at the end of blowouts. He finally saw a season-high 16 minutes on 01/01 vs MIL, tallying eight points on efficient 3-for-5 shooting. Yet, even with his perimeter shots falling, his impact score remained a negative -3.7 because he failed to grab a single rebound and offered zero secondary playmaking to offset his defensive limitations. Two days later, during a 14-minute stint on 01/03 vs BKN, that brief scoring flash vanished completely. Johnson shot a dismal 1-for-6 from the field against Brooklyn, resulting in a -7.6 impact score that highlighted his overall offensive instability. Until the young guard can figure out how to generate value when his shot isn't falling, his minutes will stay firmly restricted.

AJ Johnson spent the middle of the season trapped in a brutal cycle of erratic minutes and empty production. Even when he finally found his offensive rhythm on 02/01 vs SAC, pouring in 17 points over 27 minutes, his overall footprint remained a damaging -5.6 Impact. That empty-calorie scoring masked severe defensive lapses and an inability to elevate the second unit. His shot selection was often his worst enemy. This glaring flaw peaked during an abysmal 01/12 vs PHX outing where he bricked all six of his field goals to post a staggering -11.7 Impact in just 10 minutes. He looked completely lost. Yet, Johnson occasionally found ways to contribute without dominating the ball, notably on 01/10 vs NOP. Despite scoring just six points, he grabbed six rebounds and created enough extra possessions through sheer hustle to grind out a +1.5 Impact.

A catastrophic shooting slump defined AJ Johnson's late-season stretch, relegating him to the deep end of the bench as a severe offensive liability. He opened this bleak run on 02/27 vs MEM by forcing up terrible looks, bricking his way to a 3-for-13 shooting night and a -6.9 Impact score. His minutes quickly evaporated. The shot selection completely bottomed out on 04/08 vs PHX, where an abysmal 1-for-11 shooting performance yielded a -8.7 Impact score. Even when the ball finally went through the hoop on 04/12 vs CHI, the underlying metrics painted an ugly picture. Despite pouring in a stretch-high 20 points, Johnson registered a brutal -10.5 Impact score. Those empty-calorie buckets came with massive hidden costs, as poor defensive rotations and a stubborn 0-for-3 night from beyond the arc actively hurt the team while he was on the floor.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Johnson has posted negative impact in 94% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 31% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -8.3, second-half -7.2. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

In a rough stretch — 16 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 19 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 66 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Plowden 20.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 5
R. Rupert 17.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
I. Joe 16.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Clifford 15.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 3
M. Monk 15.4 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 7
R. Rollins 14.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
L. Shamet 14.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Carter 13.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 3
J. Clark 12.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
Q. Grimes 12.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

N. Clifford 25.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
R. Rupert 21.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Hawkins 14.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 5
T. Kolek 14.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 3
G. Harris 14.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
M. Monk 14.1 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
J. Fears 14.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Carter 13.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
J. Clarkson 12.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Green 12.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

48
Games
3.3
PPG
1.1
RPG
1.0
APG
0.2
SPG
0.1
BPG
32.4
FG%
21.1
3P%
85.0
FT%
9.4
MPG

GAME LOG

48 games played