DAL

2025-26 Season

AJ JOHNSON

Dallas Mavericks | Guard | 6-5
AJ Johnson
2.8 PPG
1.1 RPG
0.9 APG
8.8 MPG
-2.8 Impact

Johnson produces at an below average rate for a 9-minute workload. Defensive impact (-1.1/game) is a concern.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.8
Scoring +1.0
Points 2.8 PPG × +1.00 = +2.8
Missed 2PT 1.3/g × -0.78 = -1.0
Missed 3PT 0.8/g × -0.87 = -0.7
Missed FT 0.1/g × -1.00 = -0.1
Creation +0.9
Assists 0.9/g × +0.50 = +0.5
Off. Rebounds 0.3/g × +1.26 = +0.4
Turnovers -1.0
Turnovers 0.5/g × -1.95 = -1.0
Defense -1.1
Steals 0.2/g × +2.30 = +0.5
Blocks 0.0/g × +0.90 = +0.0
Def. Rebounds 0.9/g × +0.30 = +0.3
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +0.5
Contested Shots 1.2/g × +0.20 = +0.2
Deflections 0.4/g × +0.65 = +0.3
Raw Impact +0.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −3.1
Net Impact
-2.8
26th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 13th
4.9 PPG
Efficiency 5th
41.7% TS
Playmaking 26th
1.6 APG
Rebounding 13th
1.8 RPG
Rim Protection 27th
0.09/min
Hustle 7th
0.06/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 31th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

AJ Johnson spent the first twenty games of the 2025-26 season drowning in disjointed rotational cameos and rushed decisions. He occasionally managed to scrape together value without touching the ball, like on 10/22 vs MIL where he posted a +1.4 impact score in just two minutes entirely through flawless defensive positioning. Usually, the speed of the NBA game just overwhelmed him. When his minutes finally expanded on 01/07 vs PHI, he tallied six points and four rebounds but generated a catastrophic -9.8 impact score due to inefficient shot-hunting and a glaring lack of hustle plays. Even a surprising perimeter shooting burst on 12/31 vs MIL yielded eight points, yet his -1.5 impact score remained trapped in the red. Instead of organizing the offense, Johnson consistently derailed possessions by forcing wild, contested attempts early in the shot clock. Until he learns to process the floor rather than panic against pressure, he will remain a severe offensive liability.

This erratic stretch of the season was defined by brutal shot selection and a complete lack of offensive discipline. Even when Johnson found the bottom of the net, as he did on 02/01 vs SAC, his team suffered. He poured in 17 points in 27 minutes that night, yet posted a disastrous -13.4 impact score because his scoring outburst completely masked deep structural breakdowns during his shifts. The coaching staff inexplicably gave him an absolute green light on 02/27 vs MEM, and it backfired spectacularly. He hoisted an abysmal 1-for-8 from beyond the arc to finish with 12 points, generating a terrible -12.7 impact score that cratered the offense. Ironically, his most helpful minutes came when he stopped hunting his own shot. On 03/18 vs ATL, Johnson managed just 3 points but still earned a +1.4 impact score. By abandoning wild perimeter attempts and instead applying relentless full-court defensive pressure, he finally provided genuine value to the rotation.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Johnson has posted negative impact in 84% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 31% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -3.0, second-half -2.6. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 1 games. Longest cold streak: 22 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 66 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Plowden 20.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 5
R. Rupert 17.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
I. Joe 16.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Clifford 15.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 3
M. Monk 15.4 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 7
R. Rollins 14.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
L. Shamet 14.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Carter 13.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 3
J. Clark 12.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
Q. Grimes 12.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

N. Clifford 25.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
R. Rupert 21.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Hawkins 14.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 5
T. Kolek 14.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 3
G. Harris 14.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
M. Monk 14.1 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
J. Fears 14.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Carter 13.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
J. Clarkson 12.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Green 12.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

44
Games
2.8
PPG
1.1
RPG
0.9
APG
0.2
SPG
0.0
BPG
32.4
FG%
22.9
3P%
82.6
FT%
8.8
MPG

GAME LOG

44 games played