HOU

2025-26 Season

JD DAVISON

Houston Rockets | Guard | 6-1
JD Davison
2.4PPG
1.2RPG
1.2APG
7.4MPG
-7.0 Impact

Davison produces at an poor rate for a 7-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-7.0
Scoring +2.0
Points Scored 2.4 PPG = +2.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.6
Creation +0.4
Assists & Self-Creation 1.2 AST/g + self-creation = +0.4
Turnovers -0.7
Turnovers 0.3/g (live + dead blend) = -0.7
Defense -0.1
Steals 0.2/g = +0.5
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -0.8
Hustle & Effort +0.8
Rebounds 1.2 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.3
Contested Shots 0.9/g = +0.2
Deflections 0.3/g = +0.2
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.0
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +2.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.4
Net Impact
-7.0
5th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 6th
4.1 PPG
Efficiency 30th
51.8% TS
Playmaking 36th
2.1 APG
Rebounding 21th
2.1 RPG
Defense 5th
+3.4/g
Hustle 43th
+8.8/g
Creation 71th
+3.45/g
Shot Making 2th
+2.50/g
TO Discipline 98th
0.02/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

JD Davison spent his first ten games of the 2025-26 season trapped in a brutal cycle of empty rotational minutes. His absolute nadir arrived on 11/30 vs UTA, where a completely invisible five-minute stint of zero points, zero rebounds, and zero assists earned him a staggering -13.4 impact score. When a guard fails to register a single counting stat or even attempt a shot, their passive presence actively drags down the team's offensive spacing. He finally received an extended look on 11/25 vs PHX. Playing a season-high 18 minutes, Davison produced five points and four assists but still posted a -0.7 impact score. That slightly negative rating reveals the hidden costs of a bench player whose lack of perimeter resistance gives back everything he creates on offense. The struggles persisted on 12/06 vs PHX, as a rough 0-for-3 shooting night across six minutes resulted in a dismal -9.5 impact score. Right now, Davison is simply playing himself out of the league.

This nine-game stretch was defined by endless garbage-time irrelevance interrupted by a fleeting illusion of rotational viability. For weeks, JD Davison was merely burning empty cardio at the end of the bench, perfectly encapsulated on 12/24 vs LAC when he posted zero points and zero rebounds in five minutes for a miserable -11.3 impact score. Out of nowhere, he finally earned real minutes on 01/14 vs CHI and responded with a well-rounded 9 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists. His +2.1 impact score that night stemmed directly from this sudden burst of aggressive rebounding and steady playmaking rather than sheer scoring volume. The coaching staff kept his leash loose two nights later on 01/16 vs OKC, but he immediately choked on it. Given 20 minutes of run, Davison forced atrocious shots to go 2-for-9 from the field, dragging his impact down to a brutal -9.1 as his playmaking vanished. By the end of this span, his minutes had evaporated again, leaving him looking every bit like a fringe guard struggling to find a permanent pulse in the league.

JD Davison spent the vast majority of this nine-game stretch buried at the end of the rotation, struggling to find any rhythm during brief cameos. His 01/19 vs NOP appearance set a bleak tone for the winter. He missed both of his shots in four minutes, generating a dismal -11.4 impact score due to complete offensive invisibility. Even when given a longer leash on 02/07 vs OKC, his relatively high eight points in 18 minutes still resulted in a -5.4 impact score. That night, a glaring lack of playmaking dragged him down, as he managed just one assist and failed to organize the second unit. Everything finally flipped during a heavy workload on 04/12 vs MEM. He suffered through an ugly 2-for-9 shooting night, yet his relentless energy drove a massive +6.7 impact score. By ripping down 10 rebounds and distributing 7 assists in 26 minutes, Davison found a way to dictate the game's flow despite the meager scoring output.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Davison has posted negative impact in 93% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Average defender. Davison doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -8.0, second-half: -6.1. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 1 games. Longest cold streak: 16 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 48 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

I. Joe 19.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
A. Dosunmu 10.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. Huerter 9.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Jones 9.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Gillespie 8.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 2
I. Livers 7.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
H. González 7.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Mitchell 7.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Harper Jr. 6.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 2
C. Wallace 6.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

A. Dosunmu 11.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Caruso 11.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 2
J. Goodwin 11.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Harper Jr. 10.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Jones 10.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.66
PTS 7
R. O'Neale 9.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Wallace 9.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Mitchell 9.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Wiggins 7.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.4
PTS 3
I. Joe 7.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.81
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

30
Games
2.4
PPG
1.2
RPG
1.2
APG
0.2
SPG
0.2
BPG
37.5
FG%
25.0
3P%
71.4
FT%
7.4
MPG

GAME LOG

30 games played