CHA

2025-26 Season

XAVIER TILLMAN

Charlotte Hornets | Forward | 6-8
Xavier Tillman
1.5PPG
1.5RPG
0.4APG
6.1MPG
-6.9 Impact

Tillman produces at an poor rate for a 6-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.9
Scoring +1.5
Points Scored 1.5 PPG = +1.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -0.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.5
Creation +0.1
Assists & Self-Creation 0.4 AST/g + self-creation = +0.1
Turnovers -0.9
Turnovers 0.3/g (live + dead blend) = -0.9
Defense -0.1
Steals 0.3/g = +0.7
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.0
Hustle & Effort +1.8
Rebounds 1.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.8
Contested Shots 1.6/g = +0.3
Deflections 0.6/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.6/g = +0.2
Raw Impact +2.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.3
Net Impact
-6.9
4th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 5th
3.5 PPG
Efficiency 33th
54.3% TS
Playmaking 24th
1.1 APG
Rebounding 37th
3.5 RPG
Defense 56th
+7.6/g
Hustle 11th
+7.0/g
Creation 0th
+0.39/g
Shot Making 6th
+2.22/g
TO Discipline 90th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Xavier Tillman’s early season was defined by a frustrating battle against irrelevance at the deep end of the bench. He spent most nights logging brief, empty cardio sessions that actively dragged down his advanced metrics. Look no further than 12/05 vs WAS, where he wandered through five scoreless minutes to register a catastrophic -14.9 impact score simply by failing to generate any tangible box score stats. Yet, when thrust into a sudden starting role on 11/30 vs CLE, he logged 30 minutes and posted a +5.9 impact score despite scoring just 9 points. That positive rating stemmed entirely from his rugged interior effort, as he pulled down 6 rebounds and provided the gritty physical anchor the unit desperately needed. Unfortunately, that flash of utility was short-lived. He immediately returned to garbage-time duty, managing just two points in three minutes on 12/06 vs LAL for a dismal -7.2 impact.

Xavier Tillman’s mid-season stretch was defined by absolute offensive invisibility and garbage-time banishment. He was essentially a ghost on the hardwood. During the 01/18 vs ATL matchup, he logged five empty minutes and missed his only shot attempt, generating a dismal -12.8 impact score. That severe negative rating stems directly from his complete failure to register basic counting stats, rendering him a total non-threat who dragged down lineup efficiency. The futility peaked on 02/22 vs WAS. In just four minutes of action, he posted a staggering -13.9 impact score while failing to score a single point. Even when he finally secured two points and three rebounds during a seven-minute appearance on 02/24 vs CHI, poor perimeter shot selection kept his impact at a negative -6.2. Missing both of his three-point attempts in that contest reveals a fringe big man pressing for relevance instead of sticking to high-percentage interior looks.

Xavier Tillman spent this ten-game stretch anchored to the deep bench, serving as an afterthought rather than a viable rotation piece. Even when handed a rare 17 minutes on 04/03 vs IND, he managed just two points and generated a dismal -9.0 Impact score because his minimal rebounding and total lack of scoring aggression dragged down the unit. A brief cameo on 03/29 vs BOS yielded an even worse -11.3 Impact score in just four minutes. That disastrous rating stemmed from entirely empty cardio and a missed perimeter shot that killed the team's offensive spacing. He was functionally invisible. Tillman did manage to scrape together four points on perfect shooting during a two-minute stint on 04/05 vs MIN, but his -2.1 Impact score revealed the defensive apathy that accompanied those garbage-time buckets. When a big man cannot command offensive attention or protect the rim, his minutes become a severe liability.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Tillman has posted negative impact in 97% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Tillman locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -6.7, second-half -7.1. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

In a rough stretch — 22 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 22 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

E. Mobley 34.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
J. Embiid 28.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Potter 16.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Eubanks 13.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
K. Towns 12.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 3
G. Yabusele 10.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Raynaud 8.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Tyson 6.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 2
D. Hunter 6.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Sharpe 6.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

E. Mobley 36.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 15
J. Embiid 32.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. Eubanks 13.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
M. Potter 11.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 2
K. Towns 9.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 2
C. Whitmore 7.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
G. Yabusele 7.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.83
PTS 6
T. Maxey 6.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 1.32
PTS 9
M. Raynaud 6.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Sharpe 6.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.63
PTS 4

SEASON STATS

31
Games
1.5
PPG
1.5
RPG
0.4
APG
0.3
SPG
0.2
BPG
44.7
FG%
16.7
3P%
25.0
FT%
6.1
MPG

GAME LOG

31 games played