DEN

2025-26 Season

DARON HOLMES II

Denver Nuggets | Forward | 6-9
DaRon Holmes II
3.4PPG
1.4RPG
0.6APG
7.9MPG
-5.8 Impact

II produces at an poor rate for a 8-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-5.8
Scoring +3.3
Points Scored 3.4 PPG = +3.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -0.9
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.8
Creation +0.1
Assists & Self-Creation 0.6 AST/g + self-creation = +0.1
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.4/g (live + dead blend) = -1.2
Defense -0.5
Steals 0.0/g = +0.0
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -0.7
Hustle & Effort +0.8
Rebounds 1.4 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.2
Contested Shots 2.9/g = +0.6
Deflections 0.3/g = +0.2
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.0
Screen Assists 0.6/g = +0.2
Raw Impact +2.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −8.3
Net Impact
-5.8
10th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 25th
6.2 PPG
Efficiency 98th
67.7% TS
Playmaking 42th
1.5 APG
Rebounding 11th
2.4 RPG
Defense 0th
+0.7/g
Hustle 1th
+3.8/g
Creation 4th
+0.97/g
Shot Making 7th
+2.33/g
TO Discipline 54th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

DaRon Holmes II's early season was defined by a jarring transition from deep-bench afterthought to an overwhelmed starter. After logging sparse minutes in October, he briefly flashed promise off the bench on 01/01 vs TOR, scoring 11 points on crisp 4-of-5 shooting to post a nearly neutral -0.6 Impact. The coaching staff immediately thrust him into the starting lineup. Unfortunately, the expanded role exposed his offensive limitations against frontline rotations. During the 01/03 vs CLE matchup, Holmes managed a surprising six assists, yet his dismal 1-for-6 shooting severely damaged the team's spacing, yielding a -12.7 Impact. Things hit rock bottom on 01/06 vs PHI. Playing 21 minutes, he missed all three of his attempts from deep and finished with just two points, resulting in a disastrous -18.8 Impact. He simply lacked the scoring gravity and shot-making efficiency needed to survive heavy minutes, turning his sudden promotion into a glaring net negative.

This eight-game stretch was defined by erratic playing time and an inability to positively influence the floor. Given a rare opportunity to open the game on 01/19 vs CHA, Holmes logged 26 minutes but struggled mightily with his perimeter shot selection. He bricked five three-pointers in that contest, settling for outside looks rather than attacking the paint, which resulted in a sluggish -3.2 Impact score. Things bottomed out off the bench on 01/24 vs MIL, where his passive offensive approach—attempting just three shots in 16 minutes—yielded an abysmal -9.7 Impact. He simply could not find a rhythm in his drastically reduced role, often entering for mere seconds of mop-up duty. Even when he found a spark on 02/20 vs POR by pouring in 9 points on 4-of-7 shooting in just 7 minutes, his overall Impact remained stuck in the red at -3.5. Those quick buckets against Portland looked nice on paper, but his overall value was dragged down by empty-calorie production, poor defensive rotations, and a failure to secure extra possessions during his brief stint.

For DaRon Holmes II, the late spring of the 2025-26 season was an exercise in pure garbage-time futility. He offered a fleeting glimpse of his offensive ceiling during the 03/06 vs NYK matchup, drilling two three-pointers to tally 11 points in eight minutes for a +1.6 Impact score. Yet, even when the ball went through the hoop, his overall presence often hurt the team. Take the 03/29 vs GSW game, where he poured in 5 points on perfect shooting in just two minutes but still registered a -1.7 Impact score. Those hidden costs dragged him down, as his complete lack of rebounding and defensive resistance gave those quick points right back to the opponent. The floor completely fell out during the 03/22 vs POR contest. In a mere two minutes of action, he managed zero points, one rebound, and a disastrous -19.5 Impact score, a staggering negative mark driven by empty offensive possessions and nonexistent defensive effort.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. II has posted negative impact in 96% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 40% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Average defender. II doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -6.9, second-half: -4.8. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

In a rough stretch — 8 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 18 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 45 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

S. Barnes 20.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 5
D. Sharpe 20.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Allen 16.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 3
J. Embiid 16.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
O. Okongwu 16.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 3
E. Mobley 14.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Kalkbrenner 13.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
H. Yang 9.9 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.51
PTS 5
N. Queta 9.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
P. Dadiet 9.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

R. Kalkbrenner 22.2 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 6
D. Sharpe 21.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 6
S. Barnes 20.9 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 7
J. Allen 17.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 4
O. Okongwu 14.9 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 3
D. Barlow 14.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
N. Queta 10.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Diabaté 10.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
H. Yang 10.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
E. Mobley 9.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

27
Games
3.4
PPG
1.4
RPG
0.6
APG
0.0
SPG
0.2
BPG
50.8
FG%
44.4
3P%
78.6
FT%
7.9
MPG

GAME LOG

27 games played