PORTLAND · 2026–27 · OCTOBER 10, 2026 SNAPSHOT

Forecast data & research

44.606 expected wins · approximately 45–37 · central 80% simulated range 32–57 wins.

Independent model independent-basketball-v2. Betting odds and market win totals are excluded from the forecast. Roster, player impact and availability projections include analyst assumptions; the season-total tails have not been empirically validated. This is a frozen preseason snapshot. Site publication does not automatically update it after games.

Numerical results

Exact model state, summary, all 82 forecast slots, all-team ratings and rotations, Portland minutes, roster adjustments and the simulated win distribution.

• summary.json
• forecast-state.json
• games.csv
• team-ratings.csv
• portland-minutes.csv
• rotations.csv
• roster-adjustments.csv
• win-distribution.csv

Method and publication notes

• README.md
• MODEL-README.md
• METHOD-AND-DECISIONS.md
• PUBLICATION-NOTES.md

Complete research archive

The original ZIP includes the report, model code, dependency versions, official statistical snapshots, schedule materials, source register, SHA-256 integrity manifests, forecast history and original market benchmark. The Robinhood screenshots and order previews are historical context, separate from the independent forecast.

Read the Game — Portland 2026–27 independent forecast. Developed with OpenAI ChatGPT/Codex; official NBA statistical inputs and linked reporting; analyst assumptions disclosed. Third-party materials retain their existing rights. No NBA endorsement is implied.